What Could’ve Been: 2023 Draft Looms Large
By Luke Leavitt
As if this season did not end on a sour enough note for the Green Bay Packers, the Super Bowl between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will pack one final blow.
2025 First-Team All-Pro wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba of the Seattle Seahawks will likely line up across from 2024 Second-Team All-Pro and 2025 Pro Bowl cornerback Christian Gonzalez of the New England Patriots for a majority of the game. It’s a matchup that will certainly represent two of the NFL’s best at their respective positions—both of whom were passed over by Packers GM Brian Gutekunst in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Green Bay would select Outside Linebacker Lukas Van Ness of Iowa, a player who has shown sparks of his potential, but nowhere near what Gonzalez and Smith-Njigba are proving to be.
Coming off a 2022 NFL Draft where Green Bay had selected Christian Watson & Romeo Doubs, you can see why Gutenkunst may have felt confident with the future of the room. However, Green Bay in the round after JSN’s selection would take Jayden Reed with the 50th overall pick. All 3 players have provided very solid contributions for Green Bay and seemingly will continue to do so.
The question is why pass on the obvious talent at hand, if that’s where you’re going soon after? Many observers believed that Jaxon Smith-Njigba was a missing weapon for the offense and that the Green Bay Packers should have selected him in 2023 based on his suitability as a top slot receiver to assist new starting quarterback Jordan Love.
JSN's ability to work the slot, execute intermediate routes, have proven key benefactors to the success in his quarterbacks Geno Smith, and especially Sam Darnold. Now in his third year, coming off back-to-back 100 reception years, this year with nearly 1800 yards, he may just be in the top 3 conversation at the position.
The cornerback avoidance lacks reasoning however. Ranking as ESPN’s 8th overall prospect coming into the draft, along with Green Bay having continued issues at the cornerback position, it really seemed like his unexpected draft day drop would fall right into the Packers lap.
Jaire Alexander had a pro bowl season in 2022, but 1st round pick Eric Stokes would miss 9 total games in 2022 due to hamstring & ankle injuries. Rasul Douglas was a terrific find in free agency, but the position clearly needed solidification.
6'1", 205 pounds, 4.38 speed, and outstanding fluidity are an uncommon combination. Gonzalez has established himself as a shutdown corner as of late 2025. Dominating opposing WR1s with his superior agility, fast closing speed, and sophisticated route awareness.
Back to the 2023 draft, Green Bay would elect Carrington Valentine out of Kentucky in the 7th round. Fast forward to the 2026 NFL playoffs, Valentine would act as one of Green Bay’s starting cornerbacks on the outside and would end up letting the game-winning completion against the Bears. Once again, Green Bay would address a position of need with a pick later on. Thus, leaving a proven immense talent in college on the board.
There is no telling how a draft pick will pan out in the NFL, however taking the best available player on the board is hard to argue with. Whether it is TJ Watt, Christian Gonzalez, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, or Cooper Dejean. Proven collegiate talent in positions of need have been passed upon by Green Bay for a near decade now, and maybe it isn’t a coincidence a super bowl appearance has done the same.
The two players that fell into the Packers lap at big positions of need at the time
Turned into Elite players who contributed massively & will face each other in the Super Bowl. 🙃🙃 pic.twitter.com/YU93RUMkIW
— TitletownTalks (@TitleTownTalks) January 26, 2026
Gute drafted LVN over JSN
They drafted Jordan Morgan over Cooper Dejean.
They Drafted Kevin King over Tj Watt.
These are the decisions that have kept the Green Bay Packers away from the big game since 2010. It’s truly shameful. Just painful all around.
— Chicago Cheesehead🧀 (@Packermomo17) January 26, 2026
JSN did this once in college and Gute said nope LVN it is. 😫 pic.twitter.com/BCihMustVC
— Relax (@RELAXasf) January 26, 2026
Christian Gonzalez in the playoffs
- 19 targets
- 36.8% completion percentage allowed
- 0 TDs allowed
- 4 forced incompletions
- 45.3 passer rating when targeted pic.twitter.com/QI3YhjTgbX— PFF (@PFF) January 21, 2026
PLEASE SUBSCRIBE TO OUR CHEESEHEAD NATION WEEKLY NEWSLETTER HERE.
__________________________
Luke Leavitt is a Contributor for Cheesehead TV, covering the Green Bay Packers. A Manchester by the Sea, Massachussetts native, Luke is a lifelong Packer fan, and 16-year shareholder. Keep up with Luke on X @LukeLeavitt7
__________________________




Comments (85)
ricky
January 29, 2026 at 06:17 pm
For the umpteenth time: draft good football players, not athletes. Indy drafted Anthony Richardson, for example, because he was a great athlete. But a good QB? Not really. I still remember people on this site saying the Packers should draft Watt, and being bitterly (and correctly) disappointed when King was chosen instead. Because King's major problem was if a receiver got behind him, he was lost. Will things change this year? Doubtful. All we can do is hope.
CHEESEHEADDALLAS
January 30, 2026 at 10:07 am
Just think are Gm gets paid more money to keep making dump ass choices hell is coming to the stockholders meeting this year and hell is coming with me time to demand accountability.
KenEllis
January 29, 2026 at 06:33 pm
Thanks for acknowledging just how brutal round 1 of the 2023 went for Packers fans.
Would be awesome to have a 3rd year All-Pro at WR (JSN) or CB ( Gonzalez), instead of a player everyone hopes will finally have a break out season in year 4.
For far too long uncomfortable, but indisputable, facts have been explained away or ignored in Packerland. Well done Luke.
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 06:41 pm
WHATS THE BIG DEAL ON THAT MISS.
TOMMY DEVITO BEAT US IN NEW YORK AND HES GOING TO THE SUPER BOWL
WHAT DOES THAT TELL YOU. AND I DONT CARE IF HES THE BACKUP
WE HAD THE BEARS BEAT TWICE. NOPE.
MY POINT IS. I DONT THINK TOMMY DEVITO. OR. IE. TD. =. Tommy Devito….
LOSSES TONTHE BEARS TWICE .
TOMMY DEVITO GOING TO THE BIG DANCE.
THE THING ABOUT IT IS LVN. DIDNT EVEN START AT IOWA
BUT IF NOBODY KNOWS. THE PACKERS FOR A FIRST ROUND PICK. WANTS TO DRAFT AND DEVELOP THEM IF NOT THEY SAVED MONEY SO THAT THEY DONT NEED TO PAY THE SECOND CONTRACT.
UNFORTUNATELY WE DID THAT WITH GARY. WAS A DRAFT AND DEVLOP GUY. AND PROBABLY NEVER SHPULD HAVE GOT THE BIG MONEY.
IF WE DRAFT SMITH. WE WOULD HAVE A PROBLEM PAYING HIM IN A FEW YEARS FOR SECOND CONTRACT. IF DRAFTED IN SECOND ROUND GUY. THEN WOULD PAY
WE DRAFTED GOLDEN BECAUSE WE DIDNT WANT DETROIT TO DRAFT HIM.
NOW WILL HE BE A GREG JENNINGS AND WANT OUT LATER. PROBABLY
OH WELL. TOMMY DEVITO. GETS TO SUPER BOWL BEFORE PACKERS
I WONT BE ABLE TO SLEEP FOR NEXT 365 days
I bet he gets playing time if they are up on Seattle
Or MSYBE MAYE GETS HURT. TOMMY COMES IN AND LIGHTS IT UP.
golfpacker61
January 29, 2026 at 08:14 pm
Why are you yelling? Just make your point.
TKWorldWide
January 29, 2026 at 08:29 pm
Put down the glue.
TXCHEESE
January 30, 2026 at 10:44 am
Stockholder, is that really you? Put down the pipe man!
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 06:49 pm
I think bring Tommy Devito in next year
Since he’s going to Super Bowl. Maybe show how it’s done
I would sign Trey lance over Rider
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 07:09 pm
Tommy at the Super Bowl warming up
And giving thumbs down
Tommy will be in Santa Clara.
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 06:55 pm
Let’s see Morgan. From az. Probably likes warm games vs cold
Dejean played at Iowa. Cold games
Like dejean last year gets a pick in Super Bowl. I bet gonelz gets one vs Sam D
Two x packer employees now gms. For the teams in the Super Bowl…..
Also just TO LET YOU KNOW. WE DIDNT DRAFT RODGERS. HE FELL INTO OUR LAP…..
BESIDES THE KEVIN KING DEAL. I WONDER IF RODGERS TALKED TOBSCOTTY MILLER IN PITTSBURGH AND SAYING. YOU GEAT KEVIN KING. EXPLAIN THE CALL
HEVSAT BACK AND LAUGHED AND SAID AARON BRADY WASCWAITING FOR THAT ONE ON ONE
ALSO HE FELT BAD FOR YOUAND THREW 3 PICKS. BUT YOU COULDN'T GET IT DONE
AND WE KNEW MLF WOULD PLAY CONSERVATIVE
Packers0808
January 29, 2026 at 08:36 pm
Huh?
Joster11
January 30, 2026 at 08:15 am
I agree--huh?
I can never get past Snap's poor grammar, so I skip the readings and automatically give a thumbs down to what are most likely inane posts.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 08:31 am
Every once in awhile, someone comes along and makes me question the value of freedom of speech.
Starrbrite
January 29, 2026 at 09:47 pm
You’re yelling again…
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 07:02 pm
Now. We don’t have first round picks
Also 4th and 29 in Philly. 4th and 8
GREAT DEFENSE HAFLEY WAS ON ZILLOW LOOKING FOR HIS HOUSE
ANYTIME COACHES START INTERVIEWING IN PLAYOFFS YOU WILL LOSE. HAPPENS ALL THE TIME
JUST LIKE WHEN WE BEAT DALLAS. DEFENSE COORDINATOR HAD. COMMANDER JOB. AND GAVE ONE TO JERRY BEFORE HE LEFT. TO HELP OUT HIS BUDDY MLF
ITS SO OBVIOUS TO FIGURE THIS STUFF OUT
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 08:45 am
Who really killed Kennedy and Hoffa?
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 07:08 pm
AS TIME GOES ON YOU WILL REALIZE WHAT AARON DID. WITH LESS THAN CURRENT TEAM
ACTUALLY IF HE STUCK AROUND THE LAST TWO YEARS PROBABLY IN THE SUPER BOWL
HE WOULD HAVE BEAT BROWNS . DALLAS. CAROLINA AND HAD HOME FIELD THROUGHOUT
Snap the ball
January 29, 2026 at 07:12 pm
Didn’t sign either of the WATTS BOYS. HOW DISRESPECTFUL AND DISGUSTING
BOTH COULD HAVE BEEN ON THE TEAM. AT THE SAME TIME. A FEW YEARS BACK IF WE DID IT RIGHT.
stockholder
January 29, 2026 at 07:59 pm
It came down to draft Needs.
Drafting need over BPA (Higher Rated)
You never leave a All-pro for someone else.
(The Golden Rule of the 1st Round. )
Gute never followed it.
Morgan #40. Dejean #19
jannesbjornson
January 30, 2026 at 11:10 am
He was talking about the 2023 draft, but the list is long for the talent, not taken poem. They needed a guard, they didn't take Barton. Lassiter is a better CB than DeJean who s limited to nickel.
splitpea1
January 29, 2026 at 08:23 pm
All textbook examples of going into the draft with a predetermined mindset instead of letting it come to you and selecting the best player available with the experience to back it up--and there's a couple more to boot. Add a dash of being preoccupied with pass rushers with big R.A.S. scores and this is what you get: a team with a reasonable amount of talent across the board, but hardly any stars. And the Packers don't do themselves any favors with their protracted development of potential stars; seniority and rigidity to an established process seems to be the preferred method.
It's tough to win Super Bowls without current stars and future HOFers.
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 09:04 am
OK Split, "All textbook examples of going into the draft with a predetermined mindset instead of letting it come to you and selecting the best player available with the experience to back it up--and there's a couple more to boot. Add a dash of being preoccupied with pass rushers with big R.A.S. scores and this is what you get."
I will give you the being enamored with big R A S scores, GB is crazy over these. But as far as going into the draft with a predetermined mindset, that's actually called having a draft plan and that's pretty important to fixing the weak positions on your team. It's worked pretty well with the Safety & WR groups. We tried to use it on the TE and DL groups to mixed success.
Regardless if a team has a big cash stash every year to drop on FAs, they still have to prioritize their actual BIGGEST needs. GB didn't last year when DT & CB were the 2 biggest needs and look where it got us. Now a year later, and no first round pick, we still have the same biggest needs. And since each year some other position group gets weaker, add OL to the "Biggest Needs" priorities.
Drafting only the "Best Player Available" is a luxury that few teams can afford. Regardless of extra comp picks, trades we make for extra picks, or who we don't resign, THe first 3 picks need to be DT, CB & OL. Last year was not the year to stand pat with our first pick & spend it on a WR. The Top 4 DTs all went before #22, but there were plenty of solid CBs available into the 3rd round.
I would have had a predetermined plan to prioritize DT & CB, and when DT blew up in our faces, worked really hard to trade back for extra premium picks so I could fill 4 needs in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.
Packers0808
January 29, 2026 at 08:37 pm
Hackett gone now too. If we have had such bad coaches why is everyone poaching them?
dobber
January 29, 2026 at 09:50 pm
Aside from Mannion, it seems like everyone's going to Miami. I think the replacement of Ansley is evidence that LaF is letting Gannon pick his guys. The defensive staff is going to pretty much be new.
Not a fan of Hackett, so I don't mind seeing him move on. I do think Mannion was doing good work, so I'm sad to see him go.
Packers0808
January 29, 2026 at 11:37 pm
You are probably right on the LaFluer part.
Joster11
January 30, 2026 at 08:16 am
I'm very disappointed about James Campen; the OL needs his fire. McCarthy snatched him up quickly.
dobber
January 31, 2026 at 08:01 am
Well, he wasn't coaching, he was scouting...but yeah, the OL needed something.
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 09:10 am
I would choose Miami as a destination over GB too, even though I love the Packers and don't give a $hit about the Dolphins. Other than Hafley, at worst right now this is a lateral move for these coaches. They now have a 3–4-year window to have success, probably similar to what they would have in GB. Why not live and play in Miami?
Getsy is an easy replacement for Manion, we lose nothing with that trade. I do wish we had signed the Eagles LB coach, but clearly our new DC knows them both and got the one he wants.
dobber
January 31, 2026 at 08:04 am
"They now have a 3–4-year window to have success, probably similar to what they would have in GB."
Anymore I'd say 2-3 years is where you need to be making hay. Enough teams are turning things around in short order that many owners seem to be less and less tolerant of playing a longer game.
golfpacker61
January 29, 2026 at 08:53 pm
Wow, I was actually kind of excited about this article until Snap the Ball hijacked it. It looks like that is your M O Snap, judging by alot of your previous posts.
I will just comment with this. Sometimes the obvious choice is the best one, stop trying to overthink it. If your team needs an Center, and one guy is rated as the unanimous best Center(Creed Humphrey) by far, and you instead select a guy who didn't make the Top 10, you probably should hand the selection duties to someone else.
I just read an article from Sports Illustrated, and I am not saying they are the "Bible". Top 100 players in the NFL for 2026. We had 3on the list, and 1 of them we just traded for, Parsons. The other 2 were Jordan Love @ #59 and Kraft @ #89, both of who we drafted. The lack of Packers on that list probably has something to do with why we haven't won anything substantial in a while.
I don't care what people say about hindsight. Can you imagen how good we would be with even 1/2 of these guys on our team?
Creed Humphrey- Josh Myers
T J Watt
Cooper DeJean- Jordan Morgan
Christian Gonzalez
Devin Lloyd- Quay Walker
Smith Njigba- Van Ness
Patrick Queen-Love
Tyson Campbell- Eric Stokes
Amon Ra St Brown- Amari Rodgers
George Karlaftis- Devonte Wyatt
Travis Jones- Wyatt instead
Will McDonald- Van Ness
Christian Wilkins or Jeffrey Simmons- Rashaan Gary
Montez Sweat- Darnell Savage
That's just a small sample of what we missed, pretty much all were positions of need for GB in those years. Pretty much everyone else saw it.
Starrbrite
January 29, 2026 at 09:55 pm
A good list Golf.
LambeauPlain
January 30, 2026 at 06:17 am
Hindsight is perfect vision. A fan from ANY NFL team could make a similar list, Golf. And Luke could write a similar article about every team's GM of Personnel draft selections.
Have any teams passed by as many or more "what ifs" in the draft? Or is this just a Packers issue? We all know the answer...we don't know. Using the Packers as a microcosm to create a narrative of poor drafting might be valid but have to compare ALL the NFL teams over the same time frame. Might find out the Packers lead in "what ifs", are about average, or better than most teams.
Drafting, like recruiting and hiring is most definitely unpredictable.
Gutey usually passes on my draft crushes as a fan. (he did draft Watson in the 2nd, Doubs in the 4th...and drafted Kraft to my wishes in the last few years, that's about it)
But every Team passes on prospects who become good NFL players. Every Team drafts first round prospects who aren't as successful as players who were passed by. Coaching, injuries, off field issues, work ethic and motivation are as much, if not more indicative of future performance vs draft position.
ALL NFL teams passed on Favre in the first round. 23 teams ignored Rodgers in the first round. Brady was ignored until the 6th round. All NFL teams passed by Bart Starr for 16 selections until the Packers drafted him in the 17th round!
I am certain Team Gtuey would like to go back in time and change decisions made at the time with the info available now.
I have several decisions I'd like to change, like buying even more Apple stock in 2006 and ignoring my IT director who begged me to buy Google when it issued its first IPO.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 06:32 am
Watson was a second.
How about Joe Montana chosen in the third? EVERY team passed on him at least twice. Except for trades they might’ve made and I am not going to go back and check.
LambeauPlain
January 30, 2026 at 06:44 am
I corrected the error...thanks...got distracted on the phone.. I was going to write I was perplexed when Watson wasn't selected in the first but fortunately fell to the 2nd.
dobber
January 30, 2026 at 07:31 am
"I am certain Team Gtuey would like to go back in time and change decisions made at the time with the info available now."
Recognizing picks that haven't panned out is one thing, but litigating past picks is about like that person who got up this morning in -10 degree weather and went for a 5-mile run...just because.
It's self punishment.
It fixes nothing.
Eyes forward.
Coldworld
January 30, 2026 at 10:22 am
Almost every draft from every GM is susceptible to this. The draft success rates, even in round one, are sufficiently low that it’s inherently inevitable. Once in a while a GM beats the odds (probably with the aid of a good dose of luck as it’s usually a one off). The rear view mirror of this guy over that is therefore the most vapid of fan laments.
I think it’s legitimate to criticize Gute for his positional choices and draft in 2025. That was a future draft in a supposed time of urgency. One at odds with the subsequent signing of parsons and accurate self assessment at CB and DT most obviously.
That aside though, his first rounders, but if you look at the list only one is out of the league I believe (Savage), though it’s possible injury might mean that Jaire joins him permanently.
CB Jaire Alexander, EDGE Rashan Gary, S Darnell Savage, QB Jordan Love, CB Eric Stokes, LBs Quay Walker & Devonte Wyatt, EDGE Lukas Van Ness, OL Jordan Morgan and WR Matthew Golden.
Wyatt may well be resigned/extended by us. Love of course is a fixture. The one really valid criticism is that there’s no standout player since Alexander, aside from Love. He hasn’t hit on a blue chip non QB since 2018.
However, that’s a fairly thin critique. The real fan problem here are the recent picks and the overall lack of players kicking on and developing significantly after time here. Walker has never broken out, Wyatt may have enough to be a positive but has not stayed healthy, but Van Ness looks to have been an over draft and Morgan remains an enigma.
If Morgan turns out to be a competent T, I think a lot of the ire turns to how he’s been handled, rather than the decision to pick him. If LaFleur actually finds a role for Golden, then he may be a game changer as well—the talent is there but the fit so far isn’t obvious. I question the pick for roster fit but not talent. Why on earth could LaFleur not get him the ball in space till the playoffs? Particularly with Reed missing time!
Usage aside, it’s possible to look at this group as a whole and observe that the difference between that group being good and meh might just be deficiencies in coaching as much as identification. Morgan appears to have been held back as a result of coaching decisions on what he should be.
Stokes was brought into play a coverage type that we abandoned and also injury hit. Walker had all the talent physically, but it’s never fully been unlocked. I’d he really the best Mike on last years roster or simply there due to the pro decisions and miscast?
Van Ness does seem to be a poor choice in hindsight: just a good depth piece from a high pick though, not a total bust. Morgan may be a bust or a good pick delayed in delivering. Overall, it’s just not a group that’s exciting anyone right now. Outside of Love, it’s just been OK in terms of output. Not terrible. There are no Ahmad Carroll, Tony Mandarich or even Brian Brohm types.
Some of that may well be as much due to coaching post arrival as the selections. Some of that may be due to drafting/recruiting with too much focus on what coaches want jarring with other picks based on talent assessment that don’t seem to fit. I think the contradictions within our structure are starting to show and play a role in these problems as well.
I do not think we are always adhering to a clear and consistent strategy or really seeing a unified vision between coaching and FO. More an attempt to try and keep the peace and give everyone something. Overlay that over no stellar recent picks and that’s where we are. It is one reason why I think not cleaning house and resetting the leadership fully was a huge mistake
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 12:59 pm
It's a fan forum for everyone and their opinions Dobber. I think it's relevant to talk about because it keeps happening every year. It's an ongoing problem that needs to be fixed. Everyone knows the definition of insanity. For GB, it's not picking the highest rated players at our positions of need when the choice is so obvious. And soley depending on R A S scores and projection to make picks and then wondering what happened.
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 09:22 am
OK Lambeau, then I will throw this to you instead. Forget all the players on that list and just give me 5.
Creed Humphry was so obvious a choice it hurts the most. Center has plagued GB since that colossal blunder. We would have the All-Pro Center now
Devin Lloyd over Quay Walker, no question on the 5th year option for Lloyd. Lloyd ranked #1 in that draft & Walker was like 8TH.
Tyson Campbell over Eric Stokes- CB would not be a Biggest Need now-Stokes wasn't even the best CB on Georgia's team that year, and they both had great R A S scores
Cooper DeJean over Jordan Morgan-weakens OL but was Morgan worthwhile of a 1st round pick, DeJean easily was. And our CB room would be a strength. We could have traded Alexander when he still had value.
T J Watt over Kevin King-Ten years later we would still have a Pro Bowl Edge rusher
It's just as easy to complain about hindsight as it is for me to bring up the obvious choices we should have made. Oh and all those players would be on that Top 100 team.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 06:37 am
“Pretty much everyone else saw it.”
Who is “everyone else”?
And
That statement is simply not true.
How about this, from a teenager:
“Everyone else gets to stay out until 2 AM! I am the ONLY ONE who has to be home by midnight!”
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 09:29 am
I am talking about the majority of the NFL prospect rating services and the talking head "Experts" on the draft shows. it's a weak argument to not see how much better all these players were and we came up with our own formula to draft someone else who failed.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 10:02 am
Teams evaluate players differently. The worst example, of course, is Myers over Humphrey, granted. They DEFINITELY got that one wrong!
Many years ago in the pre-draft run up, Mike Golic said there is a TON of agreement among teams’ evaluations as to who the best college players are. The variability comes in when they PROJECT (crystal ball) how well those players will do in the NFL.
Are you suggesting that GB should just eff all their scouting and just go with the “talking head experts”?
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 01:04 pm
No, but what we are doing now sure as hell doesn't seem to be working. Maybe we need to revamp our scouting dept.
Better yet, let's just keep the status quo and never sniff success in the playoffs ever again. That's a great plan.
Bitternotsour
January 30, 2026 at 01:23 pm
That went wonderfully well for the Raiders... Hire a "draft expert" pundit. Stay the Raiders.
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:12 am
Gute’s 2022 draft was his best draft and the two first round picks were not very good.
Quay at 22 (Chiefs got Chenal in 3rd round who is much better).
Wyatt is finally showing some progress.
Go compare Chiefs & Packers drafts (2021 ouch) and it becomes clear which team is a dynasty and which one is not.
Average GM will not get us to 14
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:14 am
In 2021 Chiefs drafted Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith and signed Joe Tuney. Two all pros and Smith is better than any of our interior O linemen.
jannesbjornson
January 30, 2026 at 11:40 am
Trey Smith was the best O lineman in the SEC, but personnel people were scared off by his heart condition, which was diagnosed and treated. We were howling for them to snag him as he fell through the draft order. Another critical error. He was focused on Newman and Amari Rodgers.
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 01:05 pm
Woow, so we picked Amari Rodgers over Amon St Ra. That one really hurts too.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 03:50 pm
Amon was a 4th. Lots of teams passed on him.
Since'61
January 29, 2026 at 09:54 pm
I'm not sure if it's a matter of incorrect draft selections or how the players coached. I think that in the case of the Packers it's a combination of both drafting and coaching. I also think Murphy, now Policy, and the Executive Board are fine with where the team is at and has been over the last several years. They're a non-profit organization with secure revenue streams from the NFL revenue sharing and a stadium sold out for 20+ years plus donations from the fans whenever they hold a "stock sale".
As for the draft it's a crap shoot but Gute seems to have missed some obvious selections such as Creed, Watt, JSN and Gonzalez plus others. He's had 8 years as GM to field a championship team and he hasn't come close since 2020. In fact the Packers have finished further away from the SB since then. If the league did not expand the playoff format the last playoff appearance for the Packers would have been 2021.
This offseason is a major turning point for the Packers. This year's FA and draft could determine the Packers direction for better or worse for the next 2-3 years. Time will tell. Thanks, Since '61
LambeauPlain
January 30, 2026 at 06:56 am
He also gave LaFleur and Barry half a starting defense of first rounders.
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:25 am
Average first rounders by an average GM. He’s just Gute enough to not get fired. The worst kind. It’s about the GM not the coach.
We can’t evaluate MLF without giving him enough talent.
“It’s about the Jimmy’s and Joe’s not the X’s and O’s”
NickPerry
January 30, 2026 at 06:04 am
"Green Bay would select Outside Linebacker Lukas Van Ness of Iowa, a player who has shown sparks of his potential, but nowhere near what Gonzalez and Smith-Njigba are proving to be."
Sparks? Van Ness hasn't shown shit. Sparks...HA!
Common man...
LeotisHarris
January 30, 2026 at 10:27 am
As you wish:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_V-rqckzFg
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 03:54 pm
“Common man”…ha!
Common vs C’mon
Wait….Common is a hip hop artist/actor, right?
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 06:17 am
Very painful examples, but this kind of second guessing is painful for any team, and here’s why:
At any point in the draft, when you say “Green Bay took player X when they could’ve chosen player Y”, the names available for player Y include EVERY SINGLE PLAYER available at that spot. Literally hundreds of names, but the example used as player Y is a cherry-picked guy who’s since become a stud.
Let’s get specific: JSN has been a monster, LVN has been (very) disappointing. But to assume JSN would have provided the same production for GB that he has in Seattle is a bit of a (non-Lambeau) leap. Different team, different players, different system, different coaches.
If the Bears had taken Mahomes instead of Trubisky, would Mahomes have become for Chicago what he’s become in KC?
I am not down-playing the painful, missed opportunities. I’m merely trying to say “sure, they could’ve had JSN or Gonzales, but they ALSO could’ve had about 200 other players, and it’s anybody’s guess how they would’ve performed.”
NickPerry
January 30, 2026 at 06:49 am
"If the Bears had taken Mahomes instead of Trubisky, would Mahomes have become for Chicago what he’s become in KC?"
Doubtful, but I'm still quite happy the Bears screwed up that one too!
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 08:32 am
Same here, amigo!
golfpacker61
January 30, 2026 at 09:36 am
Yeah, but TK, Green Bay shouldn't have been even "Considering" drafting 180 of those 200 players at those positions in those years when we picked. I am talking about premium picks not 4th round and later picks. Ist & 2nd round players that make or break your team.
The point I am trying to make is more times than not the player we should be picking with our premium picks each year, is probably staring us right in the face. And it sure seems like the obvious, better, highest rated player, at the 'Position of Need" was right there to grab. Huge missed opportunities and with 1/2 dozen of these players we probably would have been contenders instead of pretenders!!
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:37 am
The point is our GM has not chosen well over 8 years. That’s why we are not contending for a SB. Other GM’s are much better than ours.
Houndog
January 30, 2026 at 07:40 am
Gee thanks, Luke!
Thanks for the painful reminders of what might have been, and the even more painful reality that Gutey's been extended despite his shit record!
My morning had actually started out pretty well, but noooooooo, you just had to remind us, din'tcha!
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 08:37 am
How come nobody here is lamenting Washington taking Emmanuel Forbes at corner one pick before NE picked Gonzales? They cut him halfway through his second year. The Rams picked him up, and he has played well for them. Even made it to the NFC Championship game. Was it totally because of Forbes? Cause and effect much?
Oh, and I know the reason no one is complaining about that pick. This is a Packer site, of course.
I’m simply pointing out that other teams screw up too. It’s not just GB.
49ers trade up to get Trey Lance? Then the following year they pick Purdy in the 7th? So, is San Fran good at evaluating college QB’s or not?
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:40 am
Because we don’t love Washington. Other teams GM’s make mistakes too but honestly would you rather have SF’s GM or Gute? Same ? For KC, PHl, SEA, NE, BAl etc… He’s not Gute enough.
Boneman
January 30, 2026 at 08:43 am
The comparisons hit home because they are NOT random. Watt, Creed and JSN were heavily mocked to the Packers or were rated as better players by a huge majority of analysts. Look at Howie R for Philly as a good example of someone who attacks the draft logically and without his own idiosyncrasies and bias. He get's the best player available even if it is redundant to everyone else. It always seems to either work out or he quickly changes gears and moves on. Gute should take a lesson. It's just frustrating when so many of his draft moves are always the same, hope that the player improves and proves us all wrong. The phrase, "I hope I'm wrong", is too common for Packer fans.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 03:56 pm
‘I shall not be mocked!” said John Elway to the Colts.
Turophile
January 30, 2026 at 09:25 am
coulda - shoulda - didna. Happens every year to every team. There is always someone who turns out better than at least one, of any teams picks.
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 09:54 am
Well put, and far more succinctly than I did!
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:42 am
Not this often. Can’t win 14 with average drafts.
marpag1
January 30, 2026 at 10:40 am
Yes, Gutekunst is truly an idiot who does not choose good players and doesn’t even know how.
And yes, during Gutey’s reign of terror, the Packers have the fourth most regular season wins in the league, trailing only KC, BAL and BUF, and they have also been to the playoffs in more years than any team during that stretch except for KC, PHI and BAL.
Imagine how FRICKIN’ AWESOME our coaching staff must be to do so well with such inferior talent!
Oh, wait… we hate the coaches, too. I keep forgetting.
LOL.
13TimeChamps
January 30, 2026 at 10:51 am
"Oh, wait… we hate the coaches, too. I keep forgetting."
Too funny!! But spot on.
TXCHEESE
January 30, 2026 at 10:59 am
Can I get an AMEN!
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 11:43 am
Glad your happy with mediocrity
marpag1
January 30, 2026 at 11:51 am
Being 4th out of 32 is a percentile ranking in the top 9-10%. Is that what you understand as 'mediocrity?' Do you know what the word means?
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 12:24 pm
Inconceivable!!
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 12:36 pm
Look at those numbers the last 4 years. What’s the trend. Mediocre.
Bear
January 30, 2026 at 10:54 am
20 years counted.
According to Pro Football Reference, most drafted players are busts. the only problem with their system is they don’t take into account the round they where picked. But anyway…
16.7% don’t even end playing for the drafting team (20 years average) 37% are considered ‘useless’, or busts. 5.3% are ‘poor’. Busts such as Jamarcus Russell are here.
So 69% are ‘poor’ or worst.
10.5% average
12.3% good 6.8% great 1% legendary
That gives 20.1% good. 2 out of 10.
Leatherhead
January 30, 2026 at 11:41 am
Most of the guys that are drafted in the Top 100 end up signing a second contract. If you draft a guy there, you hope that he stays healthy and keeps improving. If you have an early pick, you hope he's going to be a real game changer, but he usually won't be, even though he's good enough for a second contract.
I think we overestimate the contributions we expect from the guys we draft.
dobber
January 30, 2026 at 11:56 am
On a different front: Vikings can Kwesi.
marpag1
January 30, 2026 at 12:01 pm
I find that pretty surprising, but I guess it makes sense that shipping Darnold to the Super Bowl while keeping JJ McMuffin as your quarterback might get a dude fired...
TKWorldWide
January 30, 2026 at 12:26 pm
I was about to say the same thing!
dobber
January 30, 2026 at 12:39 pm
He's run their cap into the turf and while he's had some draft hits, he's given away several picks for deadline vets.
In the end, Darnold was probably the breaking point, but I can't imagine he wasn't responding at least somewhat to Zygi's wants.
Bitternotsour
January 30, 2026 at 01:14 pm
Hard to fathom that OConnell didn't sanction the move to the boy quarterback. That had to be organization-wide assessment.
This is not to say that O'Connell should be fired, just that Qwesi is a fall guy. Also, fuck the VIkings in the neck.
dobber
January 31, 2026 at 07:56 am
I agree that foisting off a QB the HC doesn't think he can win with on the team would've been a bad move, and probably one where that sentiment would be hard to hide from the public. My take was that they decided to spend their flagging cap on their lines and hope that even a schmuck would smell like a rose throwing to Addison and Jefferson. Bottom line is that their cap is blown and their roster is aging. They're going to have to blow it up, and they should've done it a couple years ago.
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 12:42 pm
Nine
Oxymoron 3339
January 30, 2026 at 01:59 pm
Supposedly Head Coach And DC said they were going to resign if they didn’t fire him. Nine!!!
GreenandBold
January 30, 2026 at 06:09 pm
Bottom line is you’ve got to hit your picks especially the first rounders or you’re just chasing your tail and trying to fill holes in your roster . Gute can’t do either . Yet he is still GM . It’s like we’re going back in time before Ron Wolf was hired . SMH