Packers at Ravens: Gameday Preview - 2021 Week 15

The Packers are in control of the #1 seed in the NFC. The Ravens just lost control of the #1 seed in the AFC. As they prepare to face off, both teams are missing key players due to injury.

The last time these teams met was 2017, when the Ravens embarrassed the Packers at Lambeau while Aaron Rodgers was out with a broken collarbone. Brett Hundley threw 3 interceptions as the Ravens rolled 23-0. This time, the Ravens might be the team without their starting quarterback.

 

WHEN THE RAVENS HAVE THE BALL

The big story is around Lamar Jackson, who is listed as questionable after missing the entire week of practice with an ankle injury.

When healthy, Jackson is a good passer with incredible running skills. Even after missing two games, he's still the Ravens leading rusher and was putting together an MVP season before getting hurt. If he plays, he won't be able to run like he normally does and without that, the passing game, which depends on Jackson's movement to buy time and open up coverage, won't be as potent as it was earlier in the year.

Backup Tyler Huntley led the Ravens to a road win over Chicago in his lone start. Make no mistake about it, he was a game manager, but he showed that he can handle the Baltimore offense without looking lost. The Ravens leaned on their defense that game to win with Huntley (but they'll be facing a more capable offense in this matchup).

Regardless of who starts (a healthy Huntler or a hobbled Jackson), Baltimore will not have the passing attack to tilt the game given the way the Packers secondary and pass rush have been playing. Rasul Douglas and Eric Stokes have been smothering receivers while Darnell Savage and Adrian Amos continue to hold down the back end and limit deep pass opportunities.

Wide receiver Hollywood Brown, a 5'9 waterbug with 4.32 speed, is the dynamic play maker of the Ravens receiving corps, but has been battling illness. Sammy Watkins is a shell of his former self and Rashod Bateman has not made his mark yet.

Tight End Mark Andrews leads the team in targets, yards, and touchdowns. He will no doubt be the focal point this week, and the Packers may put a cornerback on him.

When the Ravens decide to run, they have a solid duo in Devonta Freeman and Latavius Murray. Neither one has been special this year, though, as the Ravens depend on their quarterback (Jackson or Huntley) for a good chunk of their rushing production.

Ravens left guard Ben Powers will miss today's game. Left tackle Andrew Villanueva and right tackle Patrick Mekari were both limited in practice this week and are listed as questionable. Tyre Phillips, who is the backup at both tackle spots, is also listed as questionable. Baltimore will be able to put a line together, but whoever plays probably won't be at 100%.

That will make it a little easier for the Packers to handle being without Kenny Clark who is on the Covid list. TJ Slaton filled in admirably when Clark missed the Chiefs gams and will be counted on heavily today.

 

WHEN THE PACKERS HAVE THE BALL

Aaron Rodgers hasn't practiced all week due to injury, either, but he's been able to effectively play through his ailment and adapt his throwing base with little issue. The passing game has been heating up and Rodgers has thrown 10 TDs, 0 interceptions, and over 1,000 yards in his last 3 games.

Meanwhile, the Ravens, who lost All Pro cornerback Marcus Peters in the preseason, lost All Pro cornerback Marlon Humphrey a few weeks ago. Starting safety Deshon Elliot suffered a season-ending bicep tear last month and now safety Chuck Clark, the Raven's defensive play caller, may not play as he is on the Covid list. As if potentially missing all four starting defensive backs wasn't bad enough, Chris Westry, the next cornerback on the depth chart, is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Good luck covering Davante Adams with a backup corner on a bad knee.

Things should be pretty easy for Aaron Rodgers, who, throughout his career, has dominated backup defensive backs whenever he's faced them. He has the quick processing and release to take advantage of any hesitation on the part of backups.

I expect that be the case today.

The biggest benefactor of the secondary injuries may actually be the Packers offensive line. Elgton Jenkins is out for the year, David Bakhtiari and Josh Myers are still out, and now Billy Turner is missing. The team is somehow functioning, but the offensive line is thin and a liability. If Rodgers can find his targets much quicker against a beat-up secondary, the offensive line (missing their four best players) won't have to maintain their blocks as long. 

Making matter worse for Baltimore, defensive lineman Calais Campbell, yet another All Pro, is doubtful for this game with a thigh injury.

The Packers have a fantastic running game, but have shown that they clearly prefer passing the ball. That could work out well this week, as the receivers have their way with a 2nd string defensive backfield.

 

OTHER NOTES

The Packers have the worst special teams unit in the NFL. The Ravens have the best. This really could swing the game. If the Packers let every punt drop and every kickoff go through the end zone, while sending all their punts out of bounds and all their kickoffs through the end zone, it would be a billion times better than their last game. We can only hope.

Amari Rodgers's dad, Tee Martin, is the Ravens wide receivers coach.

 

FINAL THOUGHTS

Injuries have really clouded this game. There are multiple All Pros missing from both teams, both starting quarterbacks are dealing with serious injuries, and there are a ton of other injuries to key starters from both teams.

The Packers have weathered them better and I expect that to continue.

The injury matchups clearly favor the Packers. I can't see an Aaron-Rodgers led team losing to a squad of backup cornerbacks. Green Bay should move the ball pretty easily through the air and I don't see the Ravens being able to keep up. They'll probably try to pound the ball and slow the game down, but even with Kenny Clark out, the Packers should be able to stack the box and let their defensive backs hold down the fort against an injured or backup quarterback. 

Of course... special teams in still a concern.

They will probably screw up. Even if they plan to play more starters on special teams, the increase in talent won't immediately cover the lack of familiarity as guys try to learn new roles late in the season. I'm counting on special teams botching things up and giving up big plays to help the Ravens beleaguered offense, but I don't think they can swing the outcome of a hot Packers team against a word-down Ravens squad.

Packers 33, Ravens 20

 

 

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Bruce Irons has played, coached, and studied football for decades. Best-selling author of books such as A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Draft, A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Salary Cap, and A Fan's Guide To NFL Free Agency Hits And Misses, Bruce contributes to CheeseHeadTV and PackersForTheWin.com.

Follow Bruce Irons on Twitter at @BruceIronsNFL.

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Comments (24)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Hematite's picture

December 19, 2021 at 06:29 am

The Packers probably won't run the ball much in this game, hopefully Rodgers gets the running backs involved in the passing game.
The Packers need to control the Ravens running game and make them try to beat us through the air.
GO PACK GO!!!!!

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Spock's picture

December 19, 2021 at 06:43 am

"Baltimore will be able to put a line together, but whoever plays probably won't be at 100%." You could say the same thing about the Packers' OL! I agree that the advantage should be w/Rodgers even with the -weekly- makeshift OL. Sounds like the Ravens have some pretty easy marks for Arod to throw against. God help us if the "Special" teams suck even half as much as last week. I (as always) expect the Pack to win, but I'm crossing my fingers and toes and throwing salt over my shoulder every time the special teams for the Packers are out there. :)
GPG!!!!!

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Since'61's picture

December 19, 2021 at 09:41 am

Spock, I hope that you have a huge supply of salt. Stay safe
Thanks, Since ‘61

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Spock's picture

December 19, 2021 at 01:19 pm

'61, LOL. Yeah, I'm a cook and baker so have LOTS of salt (regular, sea salt, pink salt, curing salt [for my homemade bacon and pastrami], smoked salt, etc.) Hopefully, I won't need to run through all of those! :)

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dblbogey's picture

December 19, 2021 at 01:49 pm

Every special teams play makes my stomach hurt. It sounds like the Ravens are beat up even worse than we are. It's time for a blowout win.

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BruceIrons's picture

December 19, 2021 at 02:12 pm

Both offensive lines are beat up. Both teams missing All Pro cornerbacks. Both teams stud defensive linemen are hurt. It's wild. The Packers look like they have better depth though. Special teams seems to be the only thing that could ruin this.

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egbertsouse's picture

December 19, 2021 at 07:46 am

Who cares about this turkey of a game? Half of the Ravens are in the hospital, Rodgers will throw for 5 TDs against this DIII secondary. Packers by 28.

More importantly, did you see the game yesterday? Jonathon Taylor for MVP! On Wisconsin!!

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dobber's picture

December 19, 2021 at 11:02 am

Why is Baltimore 8-5, then?

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Rossonero's picture

December 19, 2021 at 08:24 am

I watched that Bears-Ravens game recently to get a glimpse of our two upcoming opponents.

It was brutal. Huntley only threw one deep pass late in the game when they had to, otherwise everything was dink and dunk all over the place. It was enough to beat the Bears, but won't be enough today.

My hope today is better special teams play and to get through the game healthy.

Packers 34, Ravens 19

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BruceIrons's picture

December 19, 2021 at 02:13 pm

I saw that, too. I'm not expecting much from Huntley. He didn't look good against the Bears. The injury to Jackson gives me more confidence than the injuries to their secondary.

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Swisch's picture

December 19, 2021 at 08:48 am

Once upon a midnight dreary,
while I pondered weak and weary,
on the Packers/Ravens score.

Methinks the Ravens will have less,
at best a tie is my guess,
but I venture, never more.

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stockholder's picture

December 19, 2021 at 09:19 am

My biggest fear isn't the score. It's keeping Campbell in the game. He's brought so much to this defense. We just can't lose him. My other fear is Bahk. I can't but think. The longer he's out. The greater the chances he won't be here next year. While everyone thought Z. Smith was going to save this Defense. IF this guy can't stand up. Why pay him? My positive player to watch is Slayton. Change is coming to this DL. And No matter how we view this OL. Rodgers will find a way to win it.

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dobber's picture

December 19, 2021 at 11:01 am

" My other fear is Bahk. I can't but think. The longer he's out. The greater the chances he won't be here next year."

He's not going anywhere...the accelerated hit to the cap is unmanageable. Releasing him or trading him after Jun. 1 doesn't help much, either, after making room for him in the first place. Besides, with Jenkins likely unavailable until midseason, that would be akin to shooting yourself in the foot while peeing on an electric fence.

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Since'61's picture

December 19, 2021 at 01:06 pm

Cookie for your last sentence Dobber. Stay safe.
Thanks, Since ‘62

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Spock's picture

December 19, 2021 at 01:24 pm

Agree with '61 that last sentence is a gem! I once saw a dog pee onto an electric fence; it's something I'll never forget! Another cookie from me (and I make really, really, good cookies).

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BruceIrons's picture

December 19, 2021 at 02:14 pm

Agree, for the rest of the year, injuries are the only thing I'll be worried about.

On the positive side, they've shown they have the depth to weather injuries and maybe balance their budget in the offseason without becoming basement-dwellers.

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Coldworld's picture

December 19, 2021 at 09:28 am

Don’t sleep on their rush, the stats most look at are deceiving. They can get pressure and disrupt. Running the ball to keep their box heavy makes a lot of sense in this game. It will help keep Rodgers upright, keep our D off the field longer against a run first team (tiring) and it will help the passing game if we can pull safeties up or cause them to hesitate. Get well ahead and I don’t see them competing. Let them all out rush and we might shout ourselves in the foot. Running needs to be part of our game plan today.

I just hope STs don’t turn this on it’s head. Theirs are probably the league’s best.

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PeteK's picture

December 19, 2021 at 09:55 am

Agree, running attack will be used and not sparingly.

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PatrickGB's picture

December 19, 2021 at 10:10 am

Cold, I agree. And what worries me most about their pass rush is that it could lead to an aggravation of Rodgers toe or even worse. Packers will want to pass a lot but that means a heavy dose of pass rush against backups on our line. So our offense will need to, at least try, to run the ball even when it’s not productive.

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dobber's picture

December 19, 2021 at 11:00 am

As you note, Baltimore's raw sack numbers aren't high, but they're 3rd in the league in blitz pct, and top 10 in knockdown and pressure rates. They can create mayhem. When they show blitz inside, run at the edges. Calais Campbell is unlikely to play...that's a big loss, there.

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BruceIrons's picture

December 19, 2021 at 02:16 pm

Their rush is tough, but with Campbell out and a beat up secondary, I think the Packers should be able to handle it with quick passes.

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Since'61's picture

December 19, 2021 at 09:59 am

I think the Packers need to have Jones and Dillon combine for 30 touches this game. It doesn’t matter what the run/pass balance is as much getting the ball into the hands of our playmakers. Jones can score from anywhere on the field via the run or the pass. Dillon can keep the chains moving via either the run or the pass. I see them as the key for our offense against the Ravens. Beyond that we should test the Ravens secondary by spreading the ball to Adams, Lazard, MVS, Lewis and Deguara. Make them cover the whole field and utilize every weapon.

On defense if we can contain the Ravens run game and make them one dimensional we should be fine. If Jackson plays we should keep a spy on him, bad ankle or not.

STs are my only concern in this game. If the game is close our STs could cost us. Out of the end zone on KOs and punt out of bounds.

As long as the Packers don’t beat themselves we should take this game. I like the Pack 31 - 17. GPG!
Thanks, Since ‘61

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BruceIrons's picture

December 19, 2021 at 02:16 pm

Of all the games this year, this is the one I'm least focused on establishing the run. Still gotta have balance, though.

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Rick5952's picture

December 19, 2021 at 12:06 pm

I’d rather see a hobbled Lamar Jackson then a healthy Tyler Huntley. That guy is slippery!

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