Navigating The Pass Catcher Situation

Should the Packers stand idle at receiver and tight end?

In 2025, the Packers offense was many things. Somehow wildly effective, while still completely underperforming their own standard, might be a good way to put it. The lion’s share of the blame belongs to the offensive line, as has been explored a thousand ways by a thousand people. It’s there that I’d expect a good portion of the team’s attention to be spent over the offseason. But, in the interest of avoiding tunnel vision, I decided to take a look around the other positions on that side of the ball. In doing so, I recognized something pretty quickly. To me, the one thing that the Packers should avoid expending energy or resources into would be to acquire any more options at wide receiver. 

In all likelihood, Romeo Doubs has already played his last snap as a Green Bay Packer (and what a way to go out, with 124 yards and a touchdown in the playoffs). We’ll miss Romeo, but it’s simple math that will force the Packers to show him the door. Spotrac estimates his next contract extension to be in the range of a $12 million dollar range (although I’d hazard a guess that he will get much more than that). 

As an organizational practice, the Packers will tell us what they want to do a few years down the line, when making selections in the draft. We know that would likely be letting Rasheed Walker walk in free agency, after the selection of Jordan Morgan. We knew that the Packers could afford to let Aaron Rodgers leave after the selection of Jordan Love. By taking both Matthew Golden and Savion Williams in the 2025 draft, the team signaled the departure of Dobbs, and at least one other receiver to come next year when Christian Watson, Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks are all up for extensions. 

Conventional wisdom says that Watson will be extended sooner rather than later, which would leave Reed and Wicks as the last two receivers available for their own extensions. However, you have to remember that Tucker Kraft and Luke Musgrave will also be eligible for extensions as well. Again, this is an obvious choice: extend Kraft and let Musgrave walk. 

According to Spotrac again, Watson’s market value is estimated at $15.6 million per year, and Kraft is at $15.5. Those numbers still seem a little low to me, so I found some close comparisons, for the sake of a more appropriate conversation. 

For Watson, any conversation about a long term extension starts by comparing the contract that Jameson Williams signed with the Lions a year ago. Williams’ contract was a three year, $80 million dollar deal, for an average payout of $26.6 million a year. Should Green Bay choose to re-sign Watson before the season begins, I’d be interested to see what they do with the one year, $13.25 million contract that the two sides agreed upon in September. The team could choose to keep this year’s structure intact, and tack the new years onto the back end, thus keeping another year of below market pay for Watson. Alternatively, the Packers could sign Watson to the same $80 million dollar figure, make it a four year deal, and agree to void the current contract. This would spread Watson’s pay out a bit, making him $7 million more expensive next season, but $6.6 million cheaper for the subsequent three years. Food for thought. 

For Kraft, the closest comparison should be Trey McBride’s four year $76 million contract, for an approximate value of $19 million per year, second highest among tight ends. I don’t think Kraft earns more than McBride’s contract (unless he goes nuclear next season and winds up more expensive, a great example of why it’s always smart to re-sign your star players as soon as possible). However, I do think Kraft has earned a contract that would top the third highest paid tight end, TJ Hockenson who is paid $16.5 million per year.Paying Kraft  $18 million per year seems like a fair compromise, give or take some pocket change. That’d end up being worth $72 million per year, not bad for a player from a small town of less than 500 people. 

It’s pretty obvious that Watson and Kraft will get their extensions from Green Bay, but the question will be where that leaves Musgrave, Reed and Wicks. 

If we take the entire group of Doubs, Watson, Reed, Wicks, Kraft, and Musgrave, and suppose that only half of them will get extensions, then it comes down to either Reed or Wicks. Which one that will ultimately depend on the 2026 season itself, though it’s clear that Reed is the better player. Will that mean that he’ll be too expensive to re-sign? I doubt the Packers have an appetite for a third ~$20 million dollar pass catcher on the payroll. Even Wicks (assuming a similar statistical output in 2026 as he saw in 2025, 332 yards and 2 touchdowns), could earn a contract above $10 million. For reference Tutu Atwell is currently sitting on a contract with that value per year, despite his best season being 483 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2023. Could the Packers afford to pay ten million a year to their fourth or fifth receiver? 

Musgrave’s contract is another question mark. It’d certainly be cheaper than a Reed or Wicks extension. The closest comparison I can find is Adam Trautman’s contract with the Broncos as a #2 tight end, at $7.5 million per year. Cheap enough for a contributing player, sure. The question would come from whether the Packers want to even keep Musgrave around. He’s struggled to really define his game with the Packers, or to develop from his college self, as Kraft has. Perhaps another year of development could be the ticket for Musgrave, who is still only 25, and we could finally see if he and Kraft form a two headed monster at TE. If he doesn’t see a significant breakout however, a change in scenery could ultimately be in both parties interests. 

All that in mind, what should the Packers do about it? To me, the answer is two-fold. Avoid adding a wide receiver, add a tight end. 

Adding a wide receiver in free agency would be unlikely to produce the results that some Packers fans seem to think it would. Since the departure of Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams, a key facet of the Matt LaFleur offense has been to overwhelm the defense with a plethora of receiving options at all levels. Those options are still at full capacity, even with the departure of Romeo Doubs. Watson, Reed, Golden, Wicks and Williams is a full receiving room, and adding a name at the top would only hamper the potential of the others. The time has come for the Packers to put full faith in Golden, and see if Williams has a place as an outside receiving threat, beyond being the subject of sweeps and bubble screens. 

Could the Packers take another rookie WR, a year after selecting two in the top 100 picks of the 2025 draft? Sure, but I don’t think they need to. To me, you wait until after the 2026 season, go into with Watson, Golden, Williams and one of Reed or Wicks, and then back fill the roster from there.

That said, I do have a giant caveat that if the Packers do finally decide to select a returner-only wide receiver in the draft this year, I’m all for it. But they shied away from those body types under MLF, who prefers his receivers bigger. But we also said Green Bay wouldn’t take a pass rush specialist before last year either, so you never know. 

I think there’s a much better chance for the Packers to add a tight end this offseason, either via free agency, the draft, or both. 

Considering the marked rise in usage of “heavier” positional groups across the league this season, I think there’s certainly an appetite in Green Bay to dip their toes into that world. But the superstar in the room, Tucker Kraft, will be coming off a torn ACL. We’ve already addressed the Musgrave of it all, and Green Bay is extremely thin at depth behind him. FitzPatrick will be unavailable next year with an achilles injury, and mid-season pickup Josh Whyle will be a restricted free agent. 

I think there’s definitely a chance that the Packers could add a mid to low-tier free agent to bolster that situation a bit. Think Noah Fant for $3 million, or Tyler Higbee for $5 million. I could absolutely be talked into that. You know what’s an even better option though? Take a tight end late in the draft, pay them only $2.3 million to be the third tight end behind Kraft and Musgrave, learn for a year and be ready to step up to take Musgrave’s place in 2027. Hell, let’s do both. A cheap veteran free agent to compete with Musgrave this year, and a late round TE to develop behind them? Sign me up. 

Obviously, the Packers will need to be extremely wise about where they want to spend their limited resources this offseason, but staying pat at WR while making a few additions to hedge your bets on the tight end position makes sense to me. Whatever way they go, the Packers should first focus on locking down Watson and Kraft long-term, and fill in from there.

 

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Co-Owner of the thirteen time world champion Green Bay Packers. Sometimes I write about them. Follow me on Twitter at https://x.com/kjones_in_co and on Substack for film breakdowns!

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Comments (21)

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T7Steve's picture

February 23, 2026 at 06:09 am

Those who stand idle tend to get passed (pun intended).

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Since'75's picture

February 23, 2026 at 06:45 am

A lesson learned in 2020.

Could have possibly cost the Packers a trip to the Super Bowl.

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T7Steve's picture

February 23, 2026 at 07:03 am

Doesn't mean they can't do things to improve without getting a new possibly expensive player. In the NFL if you stand pat even if you just won the Super Bowl, you will get passed by.

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Since'75's picture

February 23, 2026 at 03:44 pm

The Packers did two things in 2020 to stand pat after losing in the NFCCG.

They kept as many players as they could, restructuring deals and kicking the salary cap can down the road, and...traded up for a 1st round QB to sit on the bench.

Standing pat.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

February 23, 2026 at 06:27 am

This is one year where I'd find it almost impossible to pick a WR in the draft, even if I thought the guy was by far the best player available.

As far as TEs, I think Dallen Bentley of Utah would be a great addition. Unfortunately, we'd probably have to take him with pick 120 (our third pick), but he's kind of halfway between Ed West and Tucker Kraft. I think he'd make a great #2 TE.

On the other hand, we can probably wait a year; Kraft/Musgrave/Whyle is a solid group for this year.

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Coldworld's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:11 am

I could see us taking a developmental TE and in some ways I’d be pleased. However, I do not want to carry 4TEs again when only one of them is really good. So unless it’s a block first TE whom we never seem to draft or roster, bring Whyle back and see what a year does for him. See if LaFleur can figure out how to use Musgrave and use that pick on a corner or one of the other holes on the roster.

At WR, I simply don’t see space either, however, Reed and Wicks are entering the last year of their rookie deals (I’m assuming Watson is resigned). Ordinarily that would suggest adding young talent. I think slot is covered, but depth on the perimeter is questionable. Perhaps Savion will be a true perimeter WR this year. Perhaps Golden can replace Doubs, though Wicks looks a better bet physically in that role, but he’s now a rental. Do we trade Reed to open up the slot for Golden? If not, are we going to pay him?

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crayzpackfan's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:48 am

That's interesting. A part of me also sees Golden as a slot guy. His size, at least for now, seems to suggest being outside will hold a steeper learning curve. I think he could be dominant at the slot if utilized.

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golfpacker61's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:28 am

"This is one year where I'd find it almost impossible to pick a WR in the draft, even if I thought the guy was by far the best player available."

Agree PEO, with no first-round pick in this draft, we need to maximize the picks we have. We have too many other needs including the 2 biggest from last year, CB & NT.

I don't think we can move TE above those needs and OL too. Depending on what TEs fall to later rounds, Sam Roush-Stanford & Tanner Kozoil-Houston would be good ones. Honestly there will be a lot of good, cheap Free Agent TEs available including my favorite FA crush, Charlie Kolar-Ravens. He is better than Musgrave blocking and receiving and projected to get only $1.5 million annually. We should definitely keep Whyle as he is easily as good as Musgrave and cheaper.

Maybe GB scores some extra picks by trying to trade Musgrave, Gary, Wicks, and Lloyd.

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dobber's picture

February 23, 2026 at 07:51 am

As was mentioned in the article, the Packers look ahead in their drafting and start to fill before they're in "dire straits". They start dumping in picks when it gets tight. If they're awarded two 7ths as comp picks, that brings their 2026 allotment to 8 picks, total...that's fine for taking developmental guys late without straining their ability to address areas of more immediate need early.

Free agency and how they fill OTHER positions will tell us a lot about how the Packers will approach the draft, which will tell us something about what they plan to do with the guys currently on the roster. I think Wicks will be allowed to leave town when his contract is up--he'd have to have a monster season not to and, even if he did blow up, the Packers might still let him walk. I'm not sure about Reed. I think Savion Williams' development impacts what happens with Reed since I think they fill similar roles in the offense.

I think they'll need to back-fill at WR behind those two guys with a late draft pick--Kalani points out that someone who can return kicks or punts would have value (and I agree) but I think we're making more of the "Packers norms" than there is there, anymore. They bypassed their norms for Reed and Golden. Many of the top pass-catchers right now aren't the Megatron or Anquan Boldin types that were coveted for a long time. If you're going to play 2 TEs with regularity, your WRs don't need to be as effective as blockers.

I don't think it's a foregone conclusion that Watson's going to get Jameson Williams money--maybe with the cap continuing to blow up, the inflation of salaries will push him there, but his inability to stay healthy and his lack of top-end production puts a damper on his earning power. Supposedly they're already talking extensions, but I'm hoping the bonus structure is team-friendly.

Musgrave is only average. He runs well without the football. He's barely an average blocker. IF the Packers decide to retain him, he won't be terribly expensive. My guess is he'll get a decent FA contract outside the organization, but one that teams can cut without too much cap impact. When they pay Kraft, it seems foolhardy to invest big money behind him. They'll need cheap vets and rookie contract guys there. They need a true Y behind Kraft right now as well, and that's what I'd be looking for in a FA or late-round pick. Whyle is on his RFA this year, and he seemed to be overshadowing Musgrave at times. They should be able to bypass his RFA and sign him for meaningfully less than the tender if they want him back.

"Take a tight end late in the draft, pay them only $2.3 million to be the third tight "

Jeepers creepers! What late round TE is going to command $2.3M?

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golfpacker61's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:17 am

"I don't think it's a foregone conclusion that Watson's going to get Jameson Williams money--maybe with the cap continuing to blow up, the inflation of salaries will push him there, but his inability to stay healthy and his lack of top-end production puts a damper on his earning power." Agree 100% Dobber.

Watson has missed over 25 games in 4 years. 8 games in 2025 alone, and availability is the biggest thing in Pro sports. He is going to get a bigger contract regardless. Maybe he will return some of the respect GB showed him when he was hurt so much.

Getting rid of players too early rather than too late might apply to Musgrave, Wicks, & Lloyd this year. Some fly by night coach named Belichick was successful that way.

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BuckyBadger's picture

February 23, 2026 at 08:24 am

You don't ever sit idle at any position other than maybe QB but even than you are always scouting the later picks to see where you might find a diamond in the rough.

You draft the positions that fall to you. Sure you prioritize them if they have the same grade but you don't pass on talent because it doesn't fit a current need as needs change weekly in the NFL. Pass catchers won't be a priority but they will all be scouted and if one they think can help falls to them and is too good to pass up you take them. Never hurts to be over the top at any position either. The Vikings didn't "need" Moss when they drafted him as they had Chris Carter but the duo sure help them out. Packers don't need a WR but if a guy with over the top talent falls to them somehow you draft him. They don't need a TE but depth there could sure help and having another Kraft would be great.

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TKWorldWide's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:14 am

Ted Thompson said you are always one injury away from a “need” at any position.

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PeteK's picture

February 23, 2026 at 10:17 am

All true, if you have a good O line.

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GregC's picture

February 23, 2026 at 12:16 pm

They did that last year by taking Savion Williams in the 3rd round. Hard to see them taking a WR any sooner than the 5th round this year, and probably not even then. Maybe they could take a flyer on one in the 6th or 7th round.

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golfpacker61's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:51 am

I wish we were sitting on 10 picks right now. Maybe we can pick up a couple more thru player trades or trades during the draft. Malachi Fields would be a great WR to draft in the 3rd round, size, speed, and great hands. At best GB will take a "Flyer" WR in the 7th this year, but more likely will sift thru the UFDA marker. A couple guys I like late are J. Michael Sturdivant-WR-Florida and Hykeem Williams-WR-Colorado. Both have above average size & speed, but they also possess great hands. Sturdivant had decent stats last year, and Williams is a pure potential guy with 4.3s speed.

I personally think it is the perfect time to move on from Luke Musgrave before he gets injured again. His stock is at its highest level since he was overdrafted 3 years ago, mainly because he had his best season in GB and managed to stay on the field. Kansas City needs cheap TEs badly. Swing a trade. Whyle is as good or better anyway. GB should hit the FA market for a veteran, cheap TE like Kolar from Baltimore or Hooper from New England. Sam Roush-Stanford would be a solid pickup if he made it to the 6th round, he is a good all around TE.

GB is loaded at WR even with losing Doubs. One of the many "mock trade" articles lists Dontayvion Wicks as a "Dream" trade pickup for the Eagles, and they thought he could fetch 5th round pick. I would make that trade all day long, he is a free agent next year anyway. That would be a fair trade and that would be a bonus pick to grab a WR to replace him, resetting the salary clock.

That same "Mock Trade" article listed the 49ers dream trade target was Rashaan Gary, if only it was true.

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Turophile's picture

February 23, 2026 at 09:58 am

Doubs is gone (it will be a fairly pricey 2nd contract for him), to allow Golden to take plenty of snaps.

The only WR need in the draft is for a PR/KR (or failing using a pick there, get a UDFA) and that position could also be filled by a CB or RB.

The TE need is for a good no.2, and he must be a solid blocker (I don't think Musgrave is here after his rookie contract expires) - there are at least a half dozen guys out there who can fit that bill. Should start looking at round 5 onwards.

Earlier picks (assuming the value is there at the pick) should be CB and O and D lines. it's what most fans (but not all) want. i'm predicting, in order, DT, CB, any OL position.

That's it, really.

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stockholder's picture

February 23, 2026 at 10:02 am

I Loved the comparisons:
If 1 guy makes this amount.
Then this is the figure he should get.
Well maybe it's just time to trade them instead.
Like TJ Hockenson.

Seriously- these guys are damaged.
They may not be able to live up to their contracts.

And my example is Jenkins.
The oft injured player should be traded
while they can.

The position risk is there as they age too.
Example Bahk.

The "All in" is just wording; if the rest
doesn't match up to the players window.

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stockholder's picture

February 23, 2026 at 10:12 am

Truthfully I'd trade Watson.
4 yrs at 80 mil. ???
When the room is stacked?
Injuries -injuries- injuries.

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PeteK's picture

February 23, 2026 at 10:23 am

His upside is so enticing, but I would keep him for this year to help develop the youth.

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splitpea1's picture

February 23, 2026 at 10:54 am

Draft a WR/KR type (whichever body type they come in) with one of those late picks and add a solid blocking TE (and train him to play special teams effectively) as well. These shouldn't be difficult holes to fill.

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jont's picture

February 23, 2026 at 11:24 am

I don't know the salary cap implications, but based on performance I'd say good-bye to Musgrave. I just don't see losing as much of a loss, and another "Mr Potential" would be no worse so in the draft room, try again.

It just hasn't come together for him, this is a win now league, and the Packers show too much patience sometimes.

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