Good recap. Anything after #10 is roster turnover material. A couple in the top 10 could be considered much the same. MVS is a decent #3 WR when healthy and Rodgers is throwing to him. I had high hopes that Darnell Savage would be our Harrison Smith but I don't think he plays very smart. At this point, I wouldn't be throwing second contract money at him.

Given that we are selecting at the bottom of the rounds, Gutenkunst is doing okay, maybe a B-. After Jimmy Graham, he has done much better at free agency other than he emptied the wallet and now the bill is due. His drafting needed to be better if we hoped to avoid the rebuild. Entertaining Rodgers, Adams and other big ticket contracts is a very shortsighted approach AND too late for this team.

Out of all these picks (thanks for your homework), here’s what I have. Gonna be lazy with names, but you guys and gals know what’s up.
1st round- 3.5 fantastic picks (.5 is Savage) and one TBT
2nd round- 3 fantastic picks
3rd round- a wait and see. Otherwise not so good
4th round- 1 good pick
5th round- I’d say 2 solid picks
6th round- 1 good pick
7th round- nada
FA’s He’s had some pretty damn good results on that front.

I agree with the top ten rankings except for MVS. He should be ranked #10 or lower. After 4 seasons in the league he is way behind where he should be in his career. He has yet to become a good route runner, he is unable to get separation on most plays despite his speed and his catch percentage was below 50% in 2021 down from his previous 2 seasons. I would be fine if the Packers cut him loose in FA. The reality is that he has been a marginal receiver at best and he still has a long way to go in his evolution into a legit #2 or even #3 NFL receiver. Four seasons of marginalness is enough. Thanks, Since '61

After reviewing this list, the track record isn't too impressive as far as finding major contributors beyond the second round. Runyan may be an exception. We also have MVS and Newman, but I wouldn't classify them as gems. The last really solid third-round pick we had (or so it seems now) goes all the way back to Morgan Burnett in 2010; I have no idea what the Packers' third-round approach is, but if you're selecting a player in the top 100, you should be able to do much better....

The mid-to-lower round picks haven't helped the special teams much, either; it can't all be the coaches' fault.

Drafting for need and immediate impact (Alexander, Savage, Stokes) in the early rounds should be the norm if you're a contending team. I know Gary paid off handsomely, but I would hope that we minimize taking developmental players that early (QB is a bit of an exception). If you're a rebuilding team, taking project types in the front of the draft is much easier to swallow.

Lost in all of this is the success Gute has found through other avenues: Lazard, Douglas, Campbell, and Barnes--all winners. It seems like there is a lesson to be learned here when comparing these pickups to some of our less-than-stellar draft selections, though I'm not exactly sure what it is.

One of the exciting questions for 2022 is whether MVS steps up into stardom.
When I think of Marquez, I think of the playoff game against the Bucs in which he excelled with a variety of receptions, including a deep ball for a touchdown early on and an intermediate catch over the middle in crunch time (as I recall).
I'm guessing that MVS has been underutilized, and that with more targets next season, he'll have more than 60 receptions, with 10 or more of them over 30 yards, and about 10 touchdowns. That would be as part of a well-balanced passing attack with Jordan Love as quarterback spreading around the targets.
I think MVS is not only a rare deep threat, but a versatile receiver who can catch passes all over the field. He seems a good blocker. I'd keep him on a second contract as a bargain compared to Davante on his third.
So, all-in-all, I'm predicting big things for MVS over the next few seasons.
P.S. With Lazard and Amari Rodgers, I think the Packers are in good shape at wide receiver for next season. Let's draft a guy or two at the position, and as high as the first round if someone special is available (though tight end is more of a need). Also, I'm hopeful that one out of the trio of ESB and Taylor and Winfree can be a significant contributor to the Packers.

LOL. I look at it, and see why the Sts Stunk. Let's include some of the picks used, to go up for these guys. Anyone can pick the top 30. (I'll bet Kiper has a higher success rate. ) But I'll give Gute the ole college try. So whats to Love== The gamble? Power? Need? Upside? Ok their Packers. {I got it.} I would be shocked if Gute ever traded down. So forget about the value. TT did. But Gute doesn't. So how can we change Gutes thinking? It's not going to happen if you believe he walks on water. How many have given up trying to figure him out. It's obvious the underwear olympics is his pipe dream. So lets go for speed this draft. I have 2 wrs, a Edge, a LB, 2 RBS, a TE that fits this board. Sorry DL. If he did take 1 early, He might go to Canada.

Amari did not have the burst and wiggle that I thought he was supposed to have. Gute has done a very good job overall especially when you consider that we drafted at the bottom. However, much might hinge on the Love pick.

I give alexander, Dillon, Jenkins high marks. They play like winners.
Gary and Stokes are second tier. Want to see way more out of them.
MVS and St Brown should have lit it up by now and what you see is what your going to get. They aint developing any more.
The rest are so so. Meyers may be good but we havent seen much yet.
Degura is too dam slow for a te. By the time he gets open the QB was planted into the turf. Jean Charles and Josh Jackson should be Div 1a material.

So. Many. Words.

I got stuck in the all the significant adjectives and immediate impact verbs.

What would the rankings be if players weren't ranked "as the Packers general manager"?

My biggest complaint with Gute and it was with TT near the end - some really bad mistakes. Like last year with Amari. Could have had The Other St Brown. The point is what is happening with the scouting department. Apparently TT did most of the watching and scouting - and he made most of the decisions with the group. The GM does make the final call - but the Packers have been historically bad on drafting QB's ever since TT picked AR. I am not going to name them but under the Holmgren regime 3 or 4 went on to play /start for other teams and most for several years. We have had NONE. It also appears that our scouting is weak and especially for evaluating players who can also TACKLE and play special teams once again TACKLE - is not being assessed or valued. My final note - people have been dumping on MVS - we are a different team when he is on the field and Adams is a different player when MVS is on the field - yes he has have a few bad drops and a few really hard catches that we called drops - but he does stretch the field when used properly which in some cases he wasnt - but just look at the Minnie game reception and we should have won that game if our Dbacks hold onto Cousin's passes to them.

I thought Gute drafted better than this, but when you list them all together, it doesn’t look good. It’s not so much the Never Weres and Nobodies at the bottom, but the top that worries me. Jenkins was a great pick, and yeah, the wheeling and dealing to come up with Alexander and an extra first was impressive. Stokes, sure, Gary yes, but he took so long to develop you have to ask whether he was worth the 12th pick. MVS #5? Really? They haven’t got much production out of him, so if that’s your #5, you’re in trouble. On the positive side, some of the OL picks will eventually climb the list, e.g., Newman! & Myers probably, too.

Drafting Love, OK, Dillon in the 2nd, maybe a lot of people wouldn’t have done that, but there’s a certain logic to those picks. The ones that really get me are JK Scott & Hunter Bradley who are Exhibits A & B in the Case Against Drafting Punters & Long Snappers.

Yeah, I'll give the edge to Jaire overall, but only because of the trade down value that netted an extra first. If it were just head-to-head, Jaire at 18 vs. Elgton at 44, then I think Jenkins was the better pick. I would value Jenkins as an ultra-versatile left tackle, and not just as a guard.

MVS is way high... above Dillon?? Not for me. I'd take Savage, Runyon, Myers over MVS easy, and Deguara and Newman have a chance too, depending on how they develop.

When you get down into the 20s, it's hard to differentiate "levels of badness," but I would have dinged Burks, Rodgers, Sternberger and especially Josh Jackson more than the author did because of their relatively high draft position. If you bust on a 6th rounder, OK. But you gotta get more from a 2 or a 3.

It's a gut punch (to me) for a "draft and develop" team to miss on that many picks. I'd say Newman and Deguara should be above Summers and Burks(Summers Ok, Burks-awful)) so the hit rate is about 33%. That's not a great ratio.

Rankings are always subjective, however looking at Ron Wolf's drafting history his "hit rate" on consensus "good" or "great" draft picks was at 38%.

Including the top 10 above and including Deguara, Newman, Garvin and Hill (two 7th rounders playing meaningful snaps) has Gutey with 13 "good" or "great picks out of 37 total for a "hit rate of", you guessed...38%. And several of his picks still have opportunity to yet become good, even great picks (Love, Rodgers, McDuffie, Jean-Charles, Scott, ESB) in the next few years where the book is closed on Wolf's selections.

And as is usually stated, the time to grade a draft class after 4 years.

Where Gutey and Wolf are similar is finding and signing good to great FA talent. TT had a few (Woodson, Pickett), but most of his FAs were just end of the roster fill ins.