Why the Packers Will Beat the Bucs and Why They Might Not

Why the Packers will beat the Bucs and why they might not. 

The Green Bay Packers got some good news on the Aaron Rodgers injury front this weekend, but if it’s going to end up mattering at all, Green Bay needs to take care of business the next two weeks, starting Sunday with Tampa Bay.

Yet, with the Packers sitting at 5-6 and with their season on the brink, it’s possible that the news of Rodgers return is exactly what the team needed. Clay Matthews addressed the issue earlier this week, stating plainly that Green Bay needs to run the table again to make the playoffs.

There is no question about that now. But like with most streaks, the toughest win to get, might be the first.

Certainly, at 4-7, the Tampa Bay Bucs seem to have little to play for. However, Jameis Winston is coming back to be the starting quarterback, which makes the matchup a little more dicey for the Packers.

But if the team wants to make the playoffs or make anything out of this season, this game is a must win and that’s not hyperbole, that’s just a fact. With that in mind, here are reasons why the Packers might win, as well as some reasons why they might might.

Let’s start with why Green Bay might win:

It’s been a few weeks since the quarterback position was a reason to have confidence in the Packers, but after Brett Hundley’s three-touchdown performance against the Steelers, which included a game-tying touchdown drive late in the fourth quarter, it’s hard not to believe in him.

The Bucs defense is also the worst statistically in the NFL. No team gives up more yards overall and more yards through the air than Tampa Bay, which seems to indicate another strong performance for Hundley, who appears to have finally turned a corner.

The Bucs defense is slightly better at stopping the run, but they still rank 15th or lower in every defensive category, including 21st in points allowed. Injuries in the secondary and at the running back position also loom over this matchup.

Over the past three weeks, Davante Adams has averaged 99 yards per game and has two receiving touchdowns. He has been also unstoppable and with a banged-up secondary across from him, Adams has to be licking his chops.

Tampa Bay also has just 15 sacks so far this season. Hundley has struggled to avoid sacks, so the fact that the Bucs have a weak pass rush, is another positive factor for Green Bay.

Another thing about Tampa, is the Bucs haven’t beaten a good team all year. Their wins are over Chicago, the Giants, the Jets and Dolphins. So it’s hard to see them winning at Green Bay, even with Hundley at quarterback.

Why Green Bay might lose

While Tampa Bay doesn’t have a great pass rush, neither does Green Bay. The Packers have 22 sacks in 11 games, which isn’t horrible, but they have been unable to pressure opposing quarterbacks consistently.

This week, if the Green Bay pass rush doesn’t get home, that could lead to major issues trying to stop Winston and the Bucs big-play pass game. Desean Jackson is probable and Mike Evans also appears 100 percent again.

Those players, along with O.J. Howard have a total of 11 touchdown catches. They also all average at least 13.8 yards per reception. Green Bay is getting better at corner, but Kevin King is still raw and Davon House appears washed up.

Damarious Randall is making big plays, but also is still getting beaten quite a bit. It’s just who the Packers are right now. If the pass rush gets home, Green Bay should be able to limit the big plays enough to win the game.

But if not, the game could turn into a shootout and with Winston, that’s not what the Packers want, at all. It’s a long shot, but a great game by Jameis, is the only shot the Bucs have at an upset victory.

__________________________

Chris is a sports journalist from Montana and has been blogging about the Packers since 2011. Chris has been a staff writer for CheeseheadTV since 2017 and looks forward to the day when Aaron Rodgers wins his second Super Bowl. Follow him @thepackersguru

NFL Categories: 
0 points

Comments (15)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
Nick Perry's picture

December 03, 2017 at 08:20 am

"Another thing about Tampa, is the Bucs haven’t beaten a good team all year. Their wins are over Chicago, the Giants, the Jets and Dolphins."

Well the Packers have beat the Bears twice, the Cowboys, Bengals, and Seahawks in week one, not exactly murderers row. They were also soundly beaten by Atlanta, Saints, Ravens & Lions.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
ChrisPeterson's picture

December 03, 2017 at 08:22 am

Yes that is a good point. Hopefully the Packers can get it done this this matchup. They have too. The defense has played well the past two weeks and if they can get keep it up, keep getting turnovers, the Packers should find a way.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
al bundy's picture

December 03, 2017 at 08:46 am

The only way I see the pack losing is Dom capers. Should they loose goodbye dom

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Tarynfor12's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:02 am

This article could read 5 reasons the Packers will lose and 1 why they will win and be right both ways.

The only advantage is that the Packers may actual want to win more but the seesaw that this team is makes it another cross the fingers and peek through the fingers type with a whole lot of OMG's and a final one .......

https://youtu.be/2RR26J-dDzc

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
stockholder's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:08 am

Just enough. Thats what will see until A-Rod starts again. Just enough. Well just enough should not be good enough. But thats the way it has been since 2010. It's time the players show their about taking care of business. That no matter who plays where, their talent on the field is superior. That screw ups, brain farts, egos, and looking for A-Rod to save the season, is not enough. Enough said about losing A-Rod, or others being out of action. It comes down to Being that player they knew they could be. An addition to A team so zoned in that no one can make excuses. Let management take the blame. Let everyone know they are here to play for winning team.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Tarynfor12's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:11 am

Reading this...those players just woke up with 'cold sweats '.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Donster's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:30 am

If the team that came out and played so well against the Squeelers shows up, you have a Packers win. If the team that played against Baltimore shows up, then forget it.

As for Rodgers playing this year, let him heal until next year, even if the team runs the table. If they run the table, they still probably won't get into the Wild Card, and if they do, then Hundley would be playing well so go ahead and let him finish the season. Rodgers is to valuable to risk re-injuring that shoulder for the low percentage gain this season.

And why risk Rodgers health for just an attempt to bail out MM, TT and Crappers? That is what it would really be doing. And the chance of making it to the SB with Rodgers back would still be slim to none. We've seen that for to many years in a row, with better teams on the field then we have now.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Tarynfor12's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:46 am

But...Do you know what you speak to?.......Treason!
Run...run and hide....run and hide.....their coming for you.....look what they did to me above for nothing.....run and hide! : }

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
jeremyjjbrown's picture

December 03, 2017 at 11:04 am

It is almost as terrible as what you do to the English Language...

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
4thand1's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:54 am

Why the Pack will win, they'll score more points.
Why the Bucs will win, they'll score more points.
I don't want any more wins, I want draft picks that will make a difference.
If the season ended today, the Packers would be picking around 17, way to low. Draft and develop needs good players that will produce because this coaching staff isn't capable of making them better.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Since'61's picture

December 03, 2017 at 09:59 am

The Packers will win because they are playing at home and they have the better team even with Hundley.

They could lose because they beat themselves with turnovers, stupid penalties, poor tackling no pass rush and/or if Hundley plays poorly.

Thanks, Since '

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Johnblood27's picture

December 03, 2017 at 10:16 am

please stop making sense, it takes the fun out of it.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Since'61's picture

December 03, 2017 at 03:26 pm

Jonathan - I left out clock management because we can just assume it at this point. Thanks, Since '61

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
jeremyjjbrown's picture

December 03, 2017 at 11:27 am

Your "they could lose because" sounds like a break down of the Badgers last night.

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0
Since'61's picture

December 03, 2017 at 03:30 pm

Sorry Jeremy - I don't have a chance to watch much college football these days. Growing up in NYC we never paid much attention to college sports although I did keep up with college football until the mid 80s. Then came the family and building up my business. So I just focused my sports time on the Packers, NY Yankees and a bit on the NY Rangers. Thanks, Since '61

+ REPLY
0 points
0
0

Log in to comment and more!

Not a member yet? Join free.

If you have already commented on Cheesehead TV in the past, we've created an account for you. Just verify your email, set a password and you're golden.