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Packers vs. Rams Game Predictions from CheeseheadTV.com

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Packers vs. Rams Game Predictions from CheeseheadTV.com

GAME PREDICTIONS Week 5 Green Bay Packers vs. St. Louis Rams
Name Record To-Date This Week's Pick Score Prediction
Aaron Nagler 3-0 Green Bay Packers 27-17
Much is being made about the Rams defensive line, and rightfully so, but McCarthy, Clements and Rodgers will have a plan, especially in Lambeau.  The Rams won down in Arizona by creating turnovers and forcing the Cardinals to kick field goals. I just don't see that happening to the Packers on Sunday.
 
Adam Czech 4-0 Green Bay Packers 45-13
I'm going full Corey Behnke on this one. Too often last season I underestimated just how great the Packers are at Lambeau Field. Not this time. Packers roll.
 
Jersey Al Bracco 4-0 Green Bay Packers 30-13
Lambeau Field has become a major advantage for the Packers, and along with Rodgers' hard count, helps to slow down talented defensive linemen like the Rams have. Packers have an easier time than most expect as the defense continues to play with speed and emotion.
 
Alex Tallitsch  4-0 Green Bay Packers 42-13
Many will say the Packers are going to lose. Many will say it's going to be close. They are wrong. This is breakout Sunday for the Packers. It's a definitive moment in a definitive season. And the Packers definitively tell everyone they are simply the best in the league. 
 
Andrew Garda 4-0 Green Bay Packers 27-17
Can't quite figure out the Rams who lost to Pittsburgh and Washington - both of whom should have been wins - and beat Seattle and Arizona, scoring quite a few points in the process against two stout defenses. That said, while the defense for St. Louis is good, it's all about their front D-line and Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy can negate that rush with the short outs and slants we all love so much. And in the end, aside from having to handle Todd Gurley (which could be an issue for a so-so run defense allowing 4.8 yards per carry) the Packers defense faces an offense which is nothing special. They should leave Lambeau with their fifth win.
 
Corey Behnke 4-0 Green Bay Packers 50-0
Packers roll.
 
Cory Jennerjohn 4-0 Green Bay Packers 24-20
St. Louis has one of the better defensive front fours, but the secondary is pretty average. Expect Aaron Rodgers to be flushed from the pocket much of the day, but since he is just as accurate on the move as he is in the pocket, that will be the equalizer.
 
Jason Perone 4-0 Green Bay Packers 21-17
This is shaping up to be a defensive battle so it should be low-scoring.  Aaron Rodgers plays out of his mind at home but I don't expect offensive fireworks.  Still, the Packers just don't lose at home.  Rodgers & Co. do enough and the defense seals the deal to 5-0.
 
Jay Hodgson 4-0 Green Bay Packers 27-21
Packers win only because the game is in Lambeau. If it was on the road, in the dome, it would be a different story.
 
Jayme Snowden 4-0 Green Bay Packers 27-18
Expecting the offense to be more in sync this week than they were in San Francisco but not expecting an onslaught of points. The defense will continue to bend, but won't break too much. Predicting at 27-10 game in the 4th, with Rams scoring a TD and 2 point conversion to try to make in closer.
 
Jeff Albrecht 4-0 Green Bay Packers 23-14
Rams defense will keep the score down in s ball control game. Packers defense will come to play too. Rodgers will be the ultimate game manager and add to his Lambeau Field TD-interception ratio 2 to 0.
 
Mike Reuter 3-1 Green Bay Packers 33-17
The Rams are a good team, not a great team. Gurley definitely showed he has the potential to be a game-changing running back last week, but Forte, Lynch, Charles, and Hyde have shown that as well and the Packers just keep rolling. The only way I really see the Packers losing this game is if it's just an all-around ugly game, like in Buffalo last year.
 
Robert Olson 4-0 Green Bay Packers 27-13
The Rams defensive line, especially Aaron Donald, will be a great test for the Packers offensive line. However, the Packers should be able to run the ball successfully. Also, the Packers defense is on a roll. It will be tough for the Rams to win their second straight road game.
 
Thomas Hobbes 4-0 Green Bay Packers 31-17
The St Louis defensive front 4 should be feared but the Packers playing at home with a quick passing game should be more than enough to pacify their rush.  The St. Louis offense hasn't been all that successful and if the Packers can figure out Todd Gurley quickly it should make things a lot easier.
 
Wisconsin Rob (Strupp) 3-1 Green Bay Packers 21-10
Another test for the Packers offense versus a good defense. Another chance for the Packers defense to make a statement.
 
Zach Kruse 4-0 Green Bay Packers 24-20
The St. Louis defensive front is not to be trifled with. But once again, why would you bet against Aaron Rodgers at home?

 

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"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (13) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

Lphill's picture

This is a tough game to figure, can't give up any big plays on special teams , I would feel better if Burnett was playing but then again Rodgers had his off week last week so the Pack should be fine .

Nick Perry's picture

Last season the Packers started to really roll in week 5 and started with a win against a "Good" defensive team according to most of the "Experts". I believe this is the week the Packers start to really roll on offense. Lacy will have over 100 yards, Starks will add in another 50, and Rodgers will have 4 TD passes with no interceptions. I think this might be the week the Packers also get a ST/Defensive too.

The Rams don't have a WR like Cobb or Nelson so the passing game doesn't really scare me. Gurley has played the last 2 weeks and went nuts in the 4th quarter last week, that won't happen this week because the Packers will be ahead by too much.

Fisher is notorious for having ST Tricks up his sleeve. Yes the Packers ST have played better, but every time the Packers Special Team Units are on the field I have the same feeling in my stomach I did in 2013 each time Crosby kicked a FG after his AWFUL 2012 season.

Packers 41 Rams 13...

Dan Stodola's picture

Love to see that score Nick. I just don't see a big Packer W. I think the Rams D will be a similar nut to crack as Sea and SF.

I'm going 27-21 Packers. Don't bet the over this week.

croatpackfan's picture

Washington w/o running game. Steelers w/o Bell and half of game w/o Ben... It is all we need to know!

Tundraboy's picture

Not sure we will blow them out by that score but hey you never know. Go Pack Go

Since '61's picture

Run the ball and stop the run. Packers run game, plus quick passing game, moving pocket and Rodgers mobility and hard count will mitigate Rams front four.
Also the return of Bulaga (I hope) will help. Rams will try to keep Rodgers & Co. off the field with Gurley. However, he will become less of a factor as the Packers expand their lead. My recollection of Foles is that he is primarily a stationery QB which will help the Packer pass rush. I like the Pack, 34 - 13. Go Pack Go! Thanks, Since '61

The TKstinator's picture

Are you saying Foles is an avid letter writer?
;)

porupack's picture

Gurley running against Packer D (giving up 4.8 yds/carry) will draw in the safeties and be enough to set up play action. Foles is good enough with his corps of talented WRs to catch GBP without enough coverage...and make some big plays.
Fisher likely has plans for lots of wrinkles and a few gimmicks on offense and special teams. Steadman Bailey was a former QB I think, so packers D better be ready. But I think Rams match up well against GBP weaker areas, and catch GBP overconfident. The Oline is not tight enough (and not just Barclay), and the packers Dline still yielding too many rushing yards/attempt. Sorry but I see packers losing even at home.

Thegreatreynoldo's picture

You wrote a similar post yesterday. Usually I nod along in agreement with your generally acute observations, though I don't always agree with your conclusions even when I agree with your observations. St. Louis does not have good receivers. Talented? Maybe. Britt, Bailey and Austin are less than average. Britt, a 1st rounder, might be the best of them, and he has been underwhelming at best. His best season is 48 receptions (57%) for 15.6 yds/reception. He is a #2/3 WR. Bailey's best year is 30 receptions. He is a #3/4 WR. Austin,, the 8th pick of the 2013 draft, is a bust, unless you're willing to use a top 10 pick for a PR. Micah Hyde is far and away a better PR. Austin's best year is 30 receptions. He averaged 7.8 and 9.9 yds/reception the last two years. Austin is a gadget guy who rushes sometimes, but at 175 lbs, he isn't running off tackle. Austin is a #4/5 WR. Their most talented receiver is Jared Cook, except he is a TE. 6'5" tall, 246 lbs., with a 41" vertical, 23 reps, who ran a 4.50 forty at the combine (with rumors of running faster), this is athleticism to drool over, but he lasted until the 89th pick for a reason. 1st round talent, 5th round character. He has inconsistent hands and route-running (3 drops this year alone in 14 targets), and not only can't he block, he doesn't want to, either. Still, he has had consistent production with 44 to 52 receptions per year for a good average (12.8 yds/reception over his 7 year career). His stats are remarkably similar to Jermichael Finley, as is his $8 million/yr salary. That all said, I've haven't read a single article mentioning Cook. Of course, it is possible that the underwhelming nature of the receivers' production is a function of the QB, and perhaps a decent QB like Foles can coax some actual production out of this talent.

The Rams O-line is nothing to write home about. Robinson at OG (another craptacular pick using the #2 overall pick on a guy who can't even think about playing OT and so far can't play OG either) is bad. Havenstein is below average. The others are mediocre. The best that can be said about them is they all can run block, some reasonably well, none great. Gurley is very talented, but this doesn't bode well for their passing game. This is another reasonably one dimensional offense - Capers is good at devising schemes for such situations and has the talent this year to execute those schemes. I wish Burnett were playing. If everything aligns St. Louis could score: Cook threatens the seam, Gurley runs well opening up the passing game. It is possible. More likely GB's defensive line dominates, the LBs apply consistent pressure, & the secondary holds up under the so-so WRs. My over/under for St. Louis is 17 points from the offense. Can GB score more? Probably. 27-17 GB.

marpag1's picture

I think I'll hold off before anointing Todd Gurley as the second coming of Eric Dickerson. I watched the STL game against ARI. Yeah, he looked good and he got a lot of yards, but honestly I didn't see much that was very jaw dropping. Some of those big runs were blocked so well that virtually any NFL running back would have scored big gains.

I also saw the STL game from the week before against PIT. The Gurley-man powered through the Pittsburgh defense for 9 yards on 6 carries with 0 touchdowns. Not so many people are talking about that game.

dobber's picture

Probably a much closer game than some are looking for. This is the kind of team (good enough DL to rush 4 and flood the field with DBs) that has traditionally given the Packers offense trouble.

Gurley got his yards against the Cards last week, but mostly after they had to start gambling on defense. I don't see him going crazy against the Packers this week, and their corps of receivers (ahem...Porupack) is not anything special. Rams OL is nothing special. Packers take advantage of that. Packers 24-14.

Oppy's picture

A few quick notes on what Mr. Garda calls the Packers' 'so-so run defense' which is, technically, giving up 4.8 ypc:

Total YPC allowed: 95 attempts/460 yards/ 4.84 ypc

QB carries only: 30 att/199 yds/ 6.63 ypc

RB carries (which includes Forte, Lynch, Charles, Hyde/Bush): 65 att/261 yds/ 4.01ypc

RB carries only omitting Forte's touches in week one:

56 attempts / 120 yards / 2.14 yards per carry for Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, Carlos Hyde, Reggie Bush, and a smattering of other RBs.

Yeah, that's right, Two Point One Four given up to a murderer's row of RBs since the debacle of week one.

Yes, I understand you can't just rule out this or that, but start considering the garbage time yards etc and that 4.8 YPC is very, very misleading. This run defense, as it pertains to stopping running backs, is currently performing at a level that puts them as perhaps the best in the league.

Nothing so-so about that.

Nick Perry's picture

To take that a step further Oppy the Packers Run Defense on 1st down has been outstanding the last 3 weeks. Again throwing out QB scrambles the Packers have given up 35 yards on 23 carries the last 3 weeks on 1st down, a 1.5 YPC average.

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