Packers vs. Broncos Game Predictions from CheeseheadTV.com

 

 GAME PREDICTIONS Week 8 

Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos

Name Record   Pick Prediction
Nagler 6-0 Green Bay Packers 24-21
This past summer I saw the Packers losing this game. However, having watched this Broncos offense and Peyton Manning in particular over the course of the last six weeks tells me this will be a tough, close game that the Packers should win. Aaron Rodgers' mobility will be the difference. The good guys win.
Czech 6-0 Green Bay Packers 22-19
A ragged game between two offenses that once were great, but are now struggling to hit their stride. The Packers win because at this point in their careers, Aaron Rodgers is better than Peyton Manning, and so many of these games simply come down to the Packers having the better QB.
Bracco 6-0 Green Bay Packers 23-16
This will be a game of field goals, with both teams kicking three. The difference will be one more TD by the Packers, I'll say on a pick six by Sam Shields.
Tallitsch 6-0 Green Bay Packers 42-17
This isn't even really a contest by the end of the first half. Packers win huge.
Garda 6-0 Green Bay Packers 21-14
As I said on my show this week, I think the more intriguing aspect of this game is how the Packers offense counters a tough Denver defense. Defensively I have some concerns when it comes to the Packers but the Denver offense is such a mess that those concerns are minimized. Denver's defense though, that's a problem. An incredible secondary, a fierce pass rush and a decent run defense will be the biggest test for Aaron Rodgers and company. If it wasn't for Rodgers, this game would be more of a coin flip. With Rodgers though, I think the Packers find a way to move the chains and score. 
Behnke 6-0 Green Bay Packers 60-0
Packers roll.
Jennerjohn 6-0 Denver Broncos 24-21
With Eddie Lacy and James Starks not 100 percent, more of the onus falls on Aaron Rodgers. However, he’s facing the No. 1 team in the league in sacks and his receivers have been banged up all year. Peyton Manning isn’t a spring chicken anymore, but he will eek out the home primetime win. 
Perone 6-0 Green Bay Packers 31-30
Packers getting healthy and coming off the bye week is going to be a big difference in this game. The Packers win the turnover battle, Aaron Rodgers has a brilliant night with Peyton Manning across the field. Packers win a close one.
Hodgson 6-0 Green Bay Packers 24-20
Packers win 24-20 behind a fierce pass rush that sacks Peyton Manning 5 times.
Snowden 6-0 Green Bay Packers 27-18
With the hopeful return of Davante Adams this weekend, the offense should find the rhythm that it's been missing the past couple of weeks. Denver's defense has been much improved this year but think an on point Rodgers will win that battle.
Albrecht 6-0 Green Bay Packers 23-17
The Packers offense will offset the Broncos stellar pass rush with quick-hit slants, motioning out of the backfield and traps.  Rodgers legs will also come into play the way no opponent has subjected Denver to all year.  The stationary Manning will be a sitting duck for a pressure defense that the Pack has had two weeks to formulate.  A favorable schedule has contributed to the Broncos 6 - 0 record - they are good, but not that good.
Reuter 5-1 Green Bay Packers 27-24
I think Denver changes up their playbook a little to let Peyton Manning go back to a system he's a little more familiar with. The Broncos offense will look better than it has most of the season, but the Packers defense will do just enough to win the game.
Olson 6-0 Denver Broncos 23-20
The Broncos are an uncommon opponent, they have a great defense, and they will be at home coming off a bye. The Packers are also coming off a bye, which helps a lot, but the offense will need to play much better than it has lately. Historically, the Packers offense and Mike McCarthy have had success against Wade Phillips’ defenses (especially in the 2012 Sunday night game at Houston). However, this is one of the best defenses Phillips has ever coordinated. If the Packers are going to win, the passing game needs to be prolific, and the defense needs to generate consistent pressure on Manning and record at least one takeaway.
Hobbes 6-0 Green Bay Packers 17-10
Unstoppable force meets unmovable object.  While that saying applies to the Packers offense while it goes up against the Denver defense, can the same be said about the Broncos offense going up against a surprisingly good defense?  As ironic as it is to say, if the Packers offense doesn't screw it up I don't think the Broncos offense can keep up.  Remember this is a Broncos team that struggled to win against Cleveland and had tight matches against Oakland and Minnesota.
Strupp 5-1 Green Bay Packers 21-17
The bye week helps the Packers, who are able to put points up on the Broncos defense. Dom Capers gives Peyton Manning something different and keeps their offense struggling.
Kruse 6-0 Green Bay Packers 24-20
Aaron Rodgers can make plays on the move. Peyton Manning cannot. That's the difference in this battle of top pass-rushing defenses. 

 

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"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  

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Comments (33)

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PackersPlanet's picture

October 31, 2015 at 09:47 pm

I'd start by kicking Olson and Jennerjohn off the team. Or at least get in their face.

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Since'61's picture

October 31, 2015 at 09:57 pm

Packers control the tempo with their running game. Defense stops Manning. I like the Pack 23-13. Thanks, Since '61

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NickPerry's picture

November 01, 2015 at 06:15 am

Double digit win Since '61 I like it. I also happen to agree with it. Scoring 23 points would suggest 3 made FG by Crosby which will come from TO's by Manning. My one concern is the Broncos have had 2 weeks to really pick apart that offense in Denver, throw out the bad, install some new. I'm sure the Packers have done the same though. I'd feel a lot better about Clemonts if they'd score 30 on a "Great Defense", or make them look very average.

Side Note...We must have a Broncos Fan on here this week, who'd give Since '61 a "Thumbs Down" for that comment!!! Either that or a certain someone is lurking without commenting.

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Horse's picture

November 01, 2015 at 06:42 am

The dislike could be from someone who's aware of how difficult it is to run against the 2015 Broncos.

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WKUPackFan's picture

November 01, 2015 at 08:29 am

Off topic:

It appears McGinn has gone full anti-Packer. According to PFT, McGinn has a "story" up that Packer Director of Player Development Rob Davis allegedly tried to intimidate MJS reporter Michael Cohen this past Monday. Cohen dug up the Guion story.

Obviously there are several issues with this report. For example, if this allegedly happened Monday, why did it take so long for McGinn to get worked up about it? It couldn't be because Sunday news sells more papers, huh, huh?

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zeke's picture

November 01, 2015 at 12:35 pm

I don't understand all of the energy being expended on this story. McGinn doesn't work for the Packers, so writing something critical of the team is hardly a valid criticism, IMO. And if you're suggesting that McGinn made this up, you would think Davis would deny it. But he doesn't; only that he didn't know who he was refusing to shake hands with. It was just a coincidence that it happened to be Cohen. Um, okay.

My bet is that every team in the league would be ecstatic if they had only one person on their team with a story similar to Guion's. And isn't that the point of the story? The NFL is about winning, as are the Packers. No one wants to think about how the sausage is made. Unfortunately, I include myself in that category. I personally wouldn't hire Guion to wash my car, but I will be quite happy if he puts Peyton on his back at opportune times tonight.

Wow. I didn't realize what a horrible person I am. Thanks, McGinn...

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FrozenTundra's picture

November 01, 2015 at 10:28 am

I'm worried about this one. The Bronco's are 14-2 coming off a bye week and are playing at home. A helmet to helmet on Manning would seal the win.

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Dan Stodola's picture

November 01, 2015 at 02:32 pm

Packers are 8-1 off the by under McCarthy. Home as always is a slight advantage. Rodgers as usual is the X factor that tips the scales in the Packers favor. Close, low scoring defensive game. Winner of the turnovers takes the game. My money is on the Packers.

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 11:49 am

That's the logical outcome.

However, two things that never seem to abide by any logic:

The Packers typically come out of the bye week like they were shot out of a cannon, and the Packers, despite any troubles they may be having in any and all areas, seem to always step up to the challenge when facing a top unit.

Can't explain it, but if the Packers running game is struggling, and they have a game vs. the League's premier run defense, they run it right down their throats and then some. Packers pass D in a slump? They all but shut down a top-ranked passing offense. Makes no sense.

On paper, this is two struggling offenses and two strong defenses. It should be a close game decided by a field goal, a turnover... etc and so forth.

But the Packers coming out of the bye week and our offense facing a huge challenge vs. a top defense? I could see it being an unexplainable Packers show-of-dominance blow out, setting the tone for the stretch.

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Evan's picture

November 01, 2015 at 01:03 pm

"Two struggling offenses..."

Not sure about that. Broncos offense is just bad. Full stop. Packers offense, while not living up to the all-world offense of recent seasons, is still a top 5 offense in the league.

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Dan Stodola's picture

November 01, 2015 at 02:41 pm

Had to edit my previous comment to Packers 8-1 off the bye under McCarthy. Sorry. So that offsets the Denver record off the bye.

Hope for a decent Packers rushing attack. If they can find a type of run/blocking scheme that works against Denver they'll attack it early and often.

Its bound to be a tight game. Very good Defenses, one great QB against a has been QB, is the big advantage.

From what I've heard Denver doesn't cover well between the numbers. So TE and slot WR are 2 possible targets against the Denver D giving up almost 70% completions in that area.

This is also a big chance for Adams. Remember how they used Adams and double moves against NE? If Adams doesn't have Talib, or even if he does, expect a few plays on double moves from Adams or possibly Jones. With the expected really tight coverage, a double move is a great opportunity for big plays!

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 03:37 pm

I watched a light breakdown of Denver's coverage, and Talib in particular has been putting food on his table by giving WR's a 5 yard bubble to work underneath him and then driving on the throw for his picks.

That 5 yard bubble may also help alleviate the effectiveness of double moves.

Also, as thegreatreynaldo showed with a link a few weeks ago, the Packers offense under Aaron Rodgers historically hasn't utilized the middle of the field effectively. It's been rarely targeted overall.

None of this matters, of course, because the Packers could just come out and put the league on notice tonight :)

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Dan Stodola's picture

November 01, 2015 at 05:08 pm

The 5 yd bubble is what you want. The CB has to see the QB winding up to really bite on the pump fake. That's when the QB holds the ball, the CB is breaking on an expected pass and the WR gets behind him. Otherwise the CB is just reacting to the WR and the pump is useless.

All due respect to TGR and I respect his opinion. It may be true that the Packers aren't attacking between the numbers. But what targets? Cobb not getting open, due largely to getting the #1 CB every week. R. Rodgers (who isn't nearly as good as most seem to think) is absolutely no threat, just a solid possession receiver. I'm just providing insight on how or where the weak spots are in a very good Denver D.

Hope your right and the Packers serve notice.

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 05:31 pm

For what it's worth, the analysis the TGR posted links to surveyed the entirety of last year's passing data, IIRC, so it shouldn't reflect this years WR corps woes.

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dschwalm's picture

November 01, 2015 at 11:34 am

It sounds like a bunch of "homers" offered their predictions rather than a few scribes who are at least somewhat objective. Is there any one of these people who are accountable when the final score is determined and they have "egg on their face"?

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 03:38 pm

With exception to the 2 outliers- of which one is Benhke who always calls for a Packers blow out win- the average prediction is Packers by less than a TD.

I don't know how horribly homerish that is, considering both teams are 6-0, have struggles on offense, and have top defenses.

BTW, what kind of accountability do you want people held to if they *GASP!* wrongly predicted the outcome of a football game?

Public execution? Humiliation? Tar and Featherings? Should we just set up a live chat where you get to repeatedly tell them you're smarter than they are because they picked wrong and you picked right?

By the way, dschwalm, what's your prediction?
Sign off on it, too, so we can harrass and defile your good name if you are incorrect.

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Alex Tallitsch's picture

November 01, 2015 at 12:07 pm

I was dead serious when I said the Packers are going to have this put away at halftime. I hope to see you after the game for your eggs.

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 12:36 pm

I am inclined to agree.

Coming off the bye and pitted against a top notch defense, just kind of feels like the type of game the Packers tend to show up to and make sure the rest of the league knows they're for real.

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Doug_In_Sandpoint's picture

November 01, 2015 at 01:27 pm

I'm a total homer. I could care less about being objective. I'm updating my prediction from 37-14 to 38-10. After the game, should we lose, it will undoubtedly be the refs' fault.

Last week I believe my homerism actually kept someone from coming back to this site. Such a shame since CheesehadTV is the greatest place on the entire internet...mainly because it is dedicated to the greatest team in the history of sports. That and Aunt Gert.

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JerseyAl's picture

November 01, 2015 at 02:50 pm

We will all be here. Where will you be? And where is your prediction?

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 01:32 pm

Since 61, I hope you're right on the double digit win for GB. I Hate both Mannings, especially this one. I don't have a good track record on the GB game, so I don't want to pick this game straight up. The line scares me. GB is a 2 1/2 pt favorite. A lot of money will show up for GB. I hope they win by 30, but I can see a 1 or 2 pt Victory as well. I hope this line is getting money on Denver, but for those of you who don't bet, this line Does Not favor GB. I'll be sick if Denver wins this game. I hope AR is LIGHTS OUT tonight. Go Pack!! LVT

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Dan Stodola's picture

November 01, 2015 at 02:31 pm

I don't see how the betting line affects the game or who wins. Or are you saying there is a fix on?

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 03:14 pm

DS, Las Vegas knows which way the money will go when they come out with the line. GB might win this game by double digits. They do cover 2-3 pt games against good teams. I'm just telling you from experience that GB doesn't do well when they are 2-3 pt favorite, & even worse when they are 2-3 pt underdogs. Denver may very well get the majority of the money here. They are a Good Team, they are getting Pt's at home, & they are undefeated. This is a tough one to see. They don't make it easy, but Las Vegas will take the lion share of the money bet. Call it what you want. The betters bet wrong most of the time. One way or another, this game will go the way Las Vegas wants it to go. I hope that answers your question. LVT

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 03:43 pm

Lol, the outcome of games don't go the way vegas want them to go.

The betting goes the way Las Vegas coerces it to go.

Vegas makes its money on even betting. The game doesn't matter.. Moving the lines to attract even money is all that matters.

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 03:57 pm

Oppy, You keep thinking that way. It's the reason I make a lot of money betting football. Your 2ond statement is the only one you had right. Vegas doesn't make it's money by evening out the betting, like they'd like you to think. Most of the betting goes the way they "Coerces" it to go. It's the games that go opposite the grain that are in question. Are they controlled?? You keep making the call. I'll keep cashing in. LVT

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 04:17 pm

Vegas doesn't want anyone to think they make their living off of even betting. They want people to think they are in the business of predicting football game outcomes. The people who believe that are the real suckers.

I don't begrudge anyone making money from legal gambling. However, I will remind people that what keeps Vegas making a profit is gambling psychology and CPAs, not football prognosticators and strong arms.

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 05:11 pm

Oppy, You are only partially correct. Gambling psychology has 80% to do with it. The Betters are for the most part wrong. The other 20% is more Power than you can even imagine. Just as an example, the NFL has Power over every Sportscaster, Coach, Player, & who knows who else, to cost them their jobs, if they criticize the officiating, or even mention the words, Gambling, Point Spreads ect. Did you know that?? It doesn't matter who wins or loses. It's who covers. That's all that matters. If you ask most betters, they will tell you that the games are controlled according to the gambling. It might be on the 1st half, the 2ond half, or the final of the game, or the over/under. I don't expect you to believe that. I'm just telling you that most Football betters believe that someone in a Black Hat is in control on the field, & makes sure the game goes the way it is suppose to go. I didn't say it. I'm telling you that's what most betters believe. Surely you've seen flags that have determined the out come of games? Why do you suppose they happen? LVT

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 05:39 pm

I just want to highlight three statements you made, and frame them in a different context:

1) "Gambling psychology has 80% to do with it. "

2) "I'm just telling you that most Football betters believe that someone in a Black Hat is in control on the field, & makes sure the game goes the way it is suppose to go. "

3) "The Betters are for the most part wrong."

Side note, times have changed, and the talking heads criticize the officiating and talk about covering spreads regularly.

I wish you continued success in your gambling endeavors. Enjoy the Packers game tonight.

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 06:25 pm

0ppy, No Talking Heads that have anything to do with Football, that I know of.

Most people think a team like Tampa Bay can't beat a team like Atlanta.

Look at the Betting Sheet on Tuesday. The guy that picks the line is wrong on 70% of the games each & every week. He gets paid millions of dollars to come out with that line. How long would you have your job if you were wrong 70% of the time.

You'd have to be in line going to the window in a sports book to know what betters think.

I personally heard Popkey in GB on the Drew Smith show say, "I don't want to lose my job or anything" They have a small time guy like that under their thumb.

For my part of things, There are millions of dollars at stake. I tend to think Las Vegas builds their hotels by winning not losing.

I hope GB KILLS Denver tonight. IMO they are better off being 2 1/2 pt favorites, than 2 1/2 pt underdogs. GO PACK!! LVT

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 01, 2015 at 10:42 pm

Oppy, Well, with all due Respect, because you tried to make fun of me over Football betting, I feel there are few things I would like to say to you.

#1 I think Las Vegas made a few bucks tonight.

#2 I think you were part of the 80% of people that pick games wrong

#3 The guy they pay millions to, to come out with this line of GB -2 1/2
was wrong again.

And #4 The next time you want to try & make fun of me over Football Betting, make sure you know what you are talking about. Don't change the way you think about the NFL. You & a lot of other folks make things a lot easier for me. You have a Nice Night. LVT

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 10:50 pm

the LINE isn't right or wrong, it's how they coerce bets this way or that way. It's also why the line isn't set in stone, it shifts. When too much money goes one way, they shift the line to coerce bets the other way.

Sports books look to make money on the transaction, not the action. They do strive to keep the money even. They do attempt to make their earnings on the margin. Because, gambling is for suckers. You don't gamble when you're running a business.

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LASVEGAS-TOM's picture

November 02, 2015 at 01:27 am

Oppy, You just keep thinking that way. They'd like you to think they are moving the line Higher with the money, when in fact they are doing the exact opposite, to get more money bet the way they want it. I've told you the truth, but like most people, you can't see it.

I took offense to you highlighting things I said. I felt you were mocking what I said. If you weren't mocking me, then I apologize.

Listen to what I'm going to tell you. There is a Silver Lining in every cloud. The loss tonight does not hurt GB, in fact it helps them. It will get some of the money off of them. Don't ever Bet Football, you'll Never Win.

You're right!! Gambling is for Suckers, because they think according to hoyle (not sure if that's spelled right). They don't realize the deck is stacked against them. I learned a long time ago to try & play with the house when ever possible, not the betters.

If you ever watch a marathon of hundreds of runners all running in 1 direction, & you see 1 lonely runner going the opposite way, That Will Be Me. That's how you bet Football. You'll win 70 % of your bets. The problem is you can only make an educated guess as to where the majority of money is bet with the point spread. It's Not Easy. LVT

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Oppy's picture

November 01, 2015 at 10:54 pm

BTW, where do you get the idea I was "making fun of you over football betting?"

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