CheeseheadTV Packers Draft Predictions

CheeseheadTV writers tell you who they think the Packers first round selection in the 2024 NFL Draft will be.

Here you have it - our annual futile attempt at predicting who Brian Gutekunst will select with the Packers' first round pick.

Jonathan Krim - Kool-Aid McKinstry.   I expect the Packers to trade back 5-10 spots here, and corner is a serious need, with Carrington Valentine still a question mark and Eric Stokes unable to stay healthy. Some better choices (DeJean, Barton, Mims) will be gone, and McKinstry is a strong, smart press corner who fits the Hafley scheme, presuming his foot fracture (which affected his athletic testing) doesn’t look like it will linger. His lack of INTs is actually an indication that opposing QBs avoided throwing his way. 

Tony Wilson - Graham Barton.   Yes, probably a vanilla selection here, but OL is a huge need and Barton checks all the boxes. If the Zach Tom-to-center rumors are true, then Barton would add some fantastic competition to the RT spot. His athleticism and versatility makes him a very solid addition to an already stellar OL room.

Mike Price - Chop Robinson. Brian Gutekunst has a way of making every first round pick just a little shocking and spending a third first round pick in five seasons on a "too small" edge rusher when everyone expects an offensive tackle would fit perfectly. I could argue that Preston Smith is aging, Gary and Van Ness can move inside, that Kinglsey Enagbare is injured and that Jeff Hafley's defense needs a speed rusher but Gutekunst's predilection for being a weirder than you expect is why I'll predict Chop Robinson.   

Cory Jennerjohn - Cooper DeJean. The Packers have a bigger need at offensive line but can still get a quality offensive lineman in the second or third round. DeJean instantly transforms Green Bay’s secondary and makes it one of the top tier units in the game. 

Maggie Loney - Amarius Mims.  Mims has been the most polarizing option for Packers fans since this process started, but the closer we get to draft night the more I think he's the selection. While he's bigger than what Green Bay normally prefers at tackle, it's hard to beat his upside. He played right tackle his entire collegiate career and didn't allow a single pressure, sack, or quarterback hit in his last three seasons. He's also only 21 years old coming from a strong SEC program. It just makes too much sense. 

Gil Martin - Cooper DeJean. DB Cooper DeJean would be a perfect and diverse player for the secondary who could play safety, slot corner or boundary corner in a pinch

Ken Lass - Cooper DeJean. The Iowa defensive back falls to Pack because of first round frenzy over quarterbacks, linemen and receivers.  Starts immediately at safety and provides depth at corner.  

Dusty Evely - Jer'Zhan Newton.  This is probably just wishful thinking on my part, but the defensive line could use a game-changing, penetrating defensive lineman, and Newton most certainly fits that description. He would fit perfectly into Hafley's defense, so this would be a nice little "welcome to Green Bay" gift for Hafley.

Tim Backes - Cooper DeJean. This is a really tough year to predict, but everything about Cooper Dejean just makes too much sense. He fits the Packers' measurables, he's got great college production, he's at a position of need, and they skipped the pre-draft meetup as they've done with other recent first round picks!

Rex Sheild - Jer'Zhan Newton.  General manager Brian Gutekunst has often drafted the best player available with the most upside, rather than a position of immediate need, in the first round, and Newton would be the perfect heir apparent to Kenny Clark, who is set to be a free agent in 2025 and seeking a third NFL contract ahead of his age-30 season. DT T.J. Slaton is also slated to be free agent in 2025. Put simply, the 2023 Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year and first-team AP All-American, who will turn 22 in August, is a disruptor and has found himself in the backfield more times than not, as evidenced by his 7.5 sacks and 8.5 tackles for loss last season. 

Mark Oldacres - Javon Bullard - Taking Bullard in the first round would be a surprise to many, since he ranks 58th on the consensus big board, but the more I think about it, the more it makes sense.Athletically, he compares closely to Darnell Savage, whom the Packers might like to replace. Savage was 48th on the consensus board when Green Bay drafted him, while Eric Stokes, who like Bullard, is a defensive back from Georgia, was 56th. Bullard is a great athlete, can play both safety and slot corner, and did so at a high level in college. The Packers could potentially trade back and pick up extra draft capital, before taking Bullard later, or simply draft him at 25.

Joseph Randolph - Amarius Mims. OTs with over 36" arms don't come around very often, especially with the movement skills that Mims has. He's got a little bit of footwork to coach up before he's a guaranteed eraser on either side of the offensive line. Starting experience be damned, this is a future All-Pro in the making.

Greg Meinholz - Amarius Mims.  If he’s available, I think we see OT Amarius Mims from Georgia go to the Packers. He’s that type of big-bodied athletic freak that Brian Gutekunst covets, and if Gute really believes Zach Tom is a much more talented Center than Tackle, then I think perhaps selecting Mims will kick Tom inside. Due to the success of Rasheed Walker along with Tom at Tackle, if Mims isn’t quite ready to start immediately, the Packers will likely be just as satisfied with letting him play a depth role his rookie season and then bring him along to start year 2. Gutekunst loves his big time athlete projects in the first round, and this year could be no different.

Jersey Al Bracco - Chop Robinson.  Just for fun, I'm going to go out of the box here and move away from everything I've thought up until this point.Could I see Gutey picking a 21 year old explosive athlete but still raw prospect wiithout a lot of college production at a premier position in the first round? Sound familiar?

 

 

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"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  Follow Al on twitter at @JerseyalGBP

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Comments (33)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
TKWorldWide's picture

April 25, 2024 at 01:29 pm

Is it lame to say nothing would surprise me? They could pick any player or make any trade (in either direction) and I would not be surprised. I’ve learned from my mistakes. I was jazzed when they picked Ha-Ha and disappointed when they traded out and took Jordy Nelson.
So now I just nod and smile.

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jimtalkbox's picture

April 25, 2024 at 01:32 pm

I'd prefer some O-Line help like Troy Fautanu or Tyler Guyton, but I think it's probably time that the Packers fans start drinking the Kool-Aid. If they're to move up, look at the Rams (#19).

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:33 pm

Two guys are reporting Fautanu had a knee that was flagged. It's not an issue now but some believe it could effect his longevity in the league. The Packers didn't have him in for a visit so if they believe the reports it's hard to see them taking him without a medical eval. He would be my 1st choice by far of I hadn't heard about his knee. Big bummer.

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murf7777's picture

April 25, 2024 at 01:36 pm

Other than Bullard, I like all of them. My favorite is Cooper thou. I just think he is a do it all DB, from boundary to Safety, one that will fit nicely into Hafley's system. I certainly wouldn't be disappointed with one of the BIG guys on either side of the ball....#buildthetrenches

Really looking forward to Friday with 4 potential picks. GO GUTEY GO!

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Starrbrite's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:51 pm

Exactly how I feel Murf.

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DoubleJ's picture

April 25, 2024 at 02:01 pm

"OTs with over 36" arms don't come around very often, especially with the movement skills that Mims has."
There is a different OT in the draft with the same length arms, equal or better movement, and offers more positional versatility than Mims who is a RT only. His name is Kiran Amegadjie from Yale. His injury history is also shorter, granted he tore his quad badly in 2023, and he has more starts and probably is orders of magnitude smarter. Oh and you won't have to use an R1 pick on him and both are project OLs.

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barutanseijin's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:20 pm

Totally with you on Amegadjie.

Mims gives me Derek Sherrod vibes.

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Starrbrite's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:53 pm

Right —biting my knuckles when I think of Sherrod

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Untylu1968's picture

April 25, 2024 at 02:08 pm

25. Junior Colston LB
41. King Suamataia OT
58. Max Melton RB
88.Blake Fisher OT
91. Tyler Nubin S
126. Isaac Guerendo RB
169. Jordan Magee LB
202. Luke McCaffrey WR
219. Eric Watts Edge
245. Trey Taylor S
255. Walter Rouse OT

Have your bricks ready for the first pick! Prepare to be shocked and disappointed. I'm a Michigan guy, so I'll be happy...🍻
Bring it on!

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rememberWhitehurst's picture

April 25, 2024 at 02:36 pm

I expect Colson to be a Packer, but not in Round 1.

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Turophile's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:49 pm

Colson at 25 doesn't make much sense.
Colson at 41 makes some sense
Colson at 58 is a nice, value pick.

Swap Suamataia at 41 with Amegadjie at 58 or even 88 and its all good.

Since there is no longer a pick at #25, get IOL Barton or Powers-Johnson.

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Untylu1968's picture

April 25, 2024 at 04:08 pm

Neither did Walker! I have a $15 bet on fan duel at +1600, that take LB first. I'm trying to will it to happen!!

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splitpea1's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:03 pm

If both DeJean and Mims are both available by the time we pick, I'm taking DeJean in a nanosecond. We would be pretty fortunate to land him without trading up, so I'm not getting too excited yet.

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Starrbrite's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:56 pm

Completely agree Split—DeJean.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:38 pm

Comparing Newton to Kenny is pure silliness. Most people have his biggest weakness as taking on double teams and you want him to replace Clark as a 1T NT? Murphy, Orhorhoro and Jenkins make a lot more sense as early round DT choices for the Packers. At least they can play in the A gap.

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stockholder's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:46 pm

I predict a trade up.
Gute will trade @25 and @58
to NO; for Quin Mitchell. CB.

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Starrbrite's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:57 pm

That’s a possibility, but if we can get DeJean or Kool-Aid at 25, why reduce our draft capital?

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 25, 2024 at 09:56 pm

He should have made the move, but.....read'm and weep

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stockholder's picture

April 25, 2024 at 10:10 pm

Yep -It was a long shot.
Got your guy Morgan.
Congrats but it's a mistake.

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BruceC1960's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:51 pm

Seems we aren’t concerned about Mims and Kool Aid injuries, but they are an issue with NC State LB?
My preference would be DeJean , Barton or trade down. Is it a given you can find a trade partner?
I would like to see Xavier Worthy, Adonai Mitchell, Bo Nix and Chop Robinson go in the top 25.
Maybe someone will reach for an RB like the Lions did with Gibbs last year? Nice pick though.

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GregC's picture

April 25, 2024 at 04:09 pm

Payton Wilson's injury history is way worse than it is for Mims or Kool-Aid. Two ACLs and two serious shoulder injuries.

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BruceC1960's picture

April 25, 2024 at 05:17 pm

I thought Kool Aid was a chronic foot issue?

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GregC's picture

April 25, 2024 at 05:45 pm

My understanding is that the Kool-Aid injury, which is a Jones fracture, was discovered before the NFL combine. It did not affect him last season, and it is not expected to affect him next season. Wilson has been healthy the past two seasons, so maybe he will be okay now. I really like what I've seen of him as a player, but I will defer to the Packers on the injury risk. They know a lot more about these things than I do.

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BruceC1960's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:27 pm

Thanks for your input.

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TKWorldWide's picture

April 25, 2024 at 10:33 pm

So, was Gibbs a reach or a nice pick?

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WD's picture

April 25, 2024 at 03:57 pm

I see there are at least a couple of people who sincerely believe great defense wins championships. Particularly in the front four pass rush. In this pass happy league I agree. Even the greatest CBs can not cover forever. I think Gute is of that frame of mind as well. It would not surprise me if he hit on Newton or Robinson to add a dose of intensity to our front four rotation. If Cooper De jean is off the board; why not?. Other wise I hope they trade down as the bulk of the better value players will be found on day two. So.....good hunting Gute.

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croatpackfan's picture

April 25, 2024 at 04:06 pm

Interesting explanation for choices.

What I learned from the past 15-16 seasons following Packers, there will be total surprise who Personel Department pick in the first round. So, I have no worry, just I'm entertain with your discussions and thoughts who should be The Pick.

And just one observation to Dusty Evely opinion - Packers laready have a game-changing, penetrating defensive lineman who is young. But he was not selected in the 1st round - he was selcted in the 6th round. His stats from last season:

TATS
Regular Season
Postseason
TOT/SOLO/AST/SACKS/FF/FR/YDS/INT/YDS/AVG/TD/LNG/PD/STF/STFYDS/KB
20 12 8 4 1 2 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 4 1.5 5 1
3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0

He also blocked 1 FG and 1 punt.

And those stats are with only ~34% snaps.

If any D liner will have similar statistics, but selected in first 2 days of the draft, he will be celebrated here.

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Leatherhead's picture

April 25, 2024 at 05:31 pm

It's less than 2 hours until kickoff, so to speak, and I've been doing a survey of the Big Boards.

PFF, PFN, Fox, CBS, Walterfootball, draftbuzz, NFL.com. Every single one of these sites has McKinstry available at #25, but gone by #31. That's a lot of general agreement on a guy.

Also, DeJean isn't going to be there at #25. He has generally tracked in the Top 20 over the last couple of months, and him moving up means McKinstry has moved out of the Top 20.

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TKWorldWide's picture

April 25, 2024 at 10:34 pm

Well, that Dejean thing…

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:03 pm

Anybody interested in doing one last sim should check out the Sportsqeeda simulator. It's set up the exact same way as PFN but uses Tony Pauline's big board so it has players in some surprisingly different spots. For example PFN just moved Tylan Grable from the 260s to 225 while Pauline has him at 128. Unfortunately he has Lloyd and Mustapha higher too.

Pauline talks to a lot of scouts so his board is probably closer to reality.

https://www.sportskeeda.com/nfl/mock-draft-simulator

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dkkbenevides's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:50 pm

If Cooper DeJean is gone, trade down and the pick will be Kingsley Suamataia!!!

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GregC's picture

April 25, 2024 at 06:59 pm

Give me one of the Coopers. If DeJean is not available, get Edgerin. Both of them would be great.

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MooPack's picture

April 25, 2024 at 07:47 pm

I'm going with my pipe dream draft. Probably every one of them will be picked before I have them, hence the dream.

My Pipe Dream:
25) S Cooper DeJean
41) OG/OT King Sua
58) LB Edgerrin Cooper
88) OG Brandon Coleman
91) RB Jaylen Wright
126) DE Myles Cole
169) CB Jarrian Jones
202) OT Tylan Grable
219) DT Khristian Boyd
245) S Trey Taylor
255) QB Kedon Slovis

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