5 Reasons The Packers Can Break The NFL Scoring Record This Year

After a lot of offseason drama and questions, the Packers offense looks primed for a big year this season. How big? Potentially the best of all time - and here's 5 reasons why.

Last year, the Packers led the NFL in scoring, putting up 509 points.

While that's impressive, it wasn't enough to break the franchise mark of 560 points. It's not far off, though. Really, an extra field goal each game, or turning a field goal into a touchdown would have helped them set a new franchise high. Just one play each game going the other way would have got them well over 560. 

But that's still a little off from the league record of 606 points that was set by the 2013 Broncos.

It's 46 points off to be exact. That's one big game away from that league record...

Let's start the discussion there are we explore 5 reasons why the Packers could top the all-time record for points in a season:

 

5) There's A Lotta Ballgame Left

There is a lotta ballgame left - 60 more minutes to be exact. The NFL has decided to throw away the perfect balance of a 32-team league with 16 games and 12 playoff teams with 2 byes in each conference. They chose not to give players an extra week of rest to open up an 18th week of tv scheduling. They sought additional tv revenue in the most ham-fisted way imaginable: they added a 17th game with one bye to push the season to 18 weeks. Awkward scheduling, unbalanced playoffs, spitting on tradition - none of that matters, there's a 17th game! In addition to tv revenue, this opens up the record book and gives the Packers another week of piling on points. The league, already skewing the rules (and the application of the rules) in favor of the offense, knows this. Scoring records are exciting and the league's move to add another game encourages that excitement.

4) An Upgraded Running Game

Aaron Jones is the real deal. We know that. AJ Dillon looks like he could be a monster complement. It's been a long time since the league saw a combination like this. Plus, rookie Amari Rodgers looks like a capable replacement for Tyler Ervin in a jet motion role. Heck, even Kylin Hill flashed in his first action. Throw in a mobile blocker like Josiah Deguara returning from injury with a retooled offensive line including rising sophomore Jon Runyan Jr, 2nd round pick Josh Myers, and free agent tackle Dennis Kelly, Matt LaFleur will have a field day putting together run concepts against defenses that have to respect the pass.

3) Receiving Core

That passing game is loaded with weapons. Davante Adams (aka the best receiver in the league) is the only player with a big reputation outside of Green Bay, but there's a ton of low-fanfare talent behind him. Devin Funchess has the tools to be a WR1. MVS led the league in yards per catch. Bob Tonyan led TEs in TDs last year and hasn't dropped a pass in a year and half, Allen Lazard is a big-target possession receiver, Amari Rodgers brings a new element to the offense, Randall Cobb is back to give Aaron Rodgers another familiar target, Jace Sternberger is having a comeback camp, Juwann Winfree is the darling of the offseason, EQ is making a push - this team has more legit receiving options than any team I've ever seen.

2) Depth

A lot of the names are listed in the first three points, but suffice it to say that every position is covered. The offensive line is two-deep with quality players at every position, the running back room is perhaps the most talented and diverse in the league, and they have more receiving options than they know what to do with. One or two injuries are not going to derail this offense... unless the quarterback gets hurt. But I'm not worried about that because...

1) Aaron Rodgers Is P!ssed Off

Oh, Aaron Rodgers is sensitive is he? A diva? Petty? Does he take things too personal? Hmmm, then how do you think that's gonna go this year? If drafting Jordan Love last year launched him from 26 TDs in 2019 to 48 TDs (and an MVP) in 2020, what will this offseason launch him to? 50 TDs? 60? 100? Who knows. Here's what I do know: if he's mad at Gutekunst, if he wants to increase his trade value so he can choose his destination, if he wants to prove that having input on guys like Randall Cobb is the right move, he is going to push himself to another level - maybe another planet - this year.

We've seen Aaron Rodgers motivated. Tell him he can't run the table? He runs the table. Tell him 13-3 was a fluke in 2019? He goes 13-3 in 2020. Tell him he's past his prime with 26 TDs? He sets a franchise record with 48 and wins the MVP.

Rodgers spent the offseason listening to people tell him he was washed up and shouldn't have any say on who plays receiver. He dealt with social media drama from Schefter, Skip, Florio, and the regular Rodgers Clowncar Showcase. He even had his future mother-in-law stirring the pot.

And through it all, he stepped back, relaxed, enjoyed some scotch, sang a little karaoke, and let all the stress fall away from him. He reflected, found his center. He came back calm, at peace, in zen... dialed in and ready to kick the ever-loving bejesus out of every defense his opponents dare to put in front of him.

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense are going to be full throttle behind a coach that is all gas, no brake.

This will be fun.

 

Bruce Irons has played, coached, and studied football for decades. Best-selling author of books such as A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Draft, A Fan's Guide To Understanding The NFL Salary Cap, and A Fan's Guide To NFL Free Agency Hits And Misses, Bruce contributes to CheeseHeadTV and PackersForTheWin.com.

Follow Bruce Irons on Twitter at @BruceIronsNFL.

 

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Comments (39)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
murf7777's picture

August 15, 2021 at 11:08 am

“We've seen Aaron Rodgers motivated. Tell him he can't run the table? He runs the table. Tell him 13-3 was a fluke in 2019? He goes 13-3 in 2020. Tell him he's past his prime with 26 TDs? He sets a franchise record with 48 and wins the MVP.“

Let’s start some social media stating….”Rodgers chokes in the big game and can’t win two Super Bowls”.

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Savage57's picture

August 16, 2021 at 05:31 am

Now I'm confused.

All this time, we've been told the reason Rodgers is frustrated and the Packers can't win is because the Packers didn't burn a #1 on a WR.

Now they have more receiver talent than they can keep on the roster.

Where's Skip Bayless or Mike Florio when you need them?

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TarynsEyes's picture

August 15, 2021 at 11:38 am

Hold on here a second. Wasn't it just said and 'liked' that 'chips on the shoulder' are bs, and it doesn't make a player play better?

Unless that record-setting offense wins the SB, what difference does it make? I'll tell you. As much as having a player set an individual record or making the bs Pro Bowl, nothing to the goal of winning what matters above all else, the team winning it all. Anything less, by the team or individual, is secondary at best and easily forgotten. Champs or Bust.

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Horrible4's picture

August 15, 2021 at 04:27 pm

Is that why this team constantly drafts like they have the next 10 years to win a superbowl? You're right, it's a team sport, that's why an individual can't win it by himself. That's on the front office shoulders to give the team the best players that will come together to win. Love the Packers and I'll always be a fan but they're far too conservative when it matters and are consistently happy with just being the 4th best team in the league.

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Since'61's picture

August 15, 2021 at 12:19 pm

I expect the Packers offense to score plenty of points this season. But in all honesty I would rather have a defense which allowed the fewest points in the league or set the record for fewest points allowed in a season. If that happened then I would know that Rodgers and the offense would take care of the rest regardless of whether or not they break the record for most points scored. Thanks, Since '61

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Leatherhead's picture

August 15, 2021 at 01:51 pm

So we should pay Rodgers, Adams, Jones and Bakhtiari to score enough points to win if we have a great defense?

Every playoff loss we’ve experienced in the last decade has involved an offense that underperformed. In our most recent loss, we were held under our season average, at home, despite three takeaways. Our defense outplayed the Tampa defense….fewer yards on the ground, fewer yards in the air, a lower QB rating, more takeaways.

But let’s get the “offense good, defense bad” narrative established, so that when our high power offense doesn’t get it done we know who to blame.

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Since'61's picture

August 15, 2021 at 10:22 pm

Deleted.

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Tundraboy's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:31 pm

Personally I think Rodgers choked a bit in the NFCCG last year. Should have scored more with 3 interceptions handed to him.

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Since'61's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:42 am

Yes, that is probably true Tundraboy. However, the Packers scored following the first pick when they took over on their own 32 yard line. The next 2 picks were like punts for the Bucs. On one we took over at our own 24 and the other we started at our own 16. Long way to go against the Bucs defense.

Also at that point we were without A. Jones in the game. Without Jones as a threat to score from anywhere on the field the Bucs could tee off on their pash rush knowing that neither Williams or Dillon could beat them with only 4 rushing the QB. Still a few more rush attempts may have helped to keep the defense honest. We'll never know.

We played the entire game without a lead and we were out prepared, out coached and out played.
especially on both sides of the LOS. Tampa played with a greater sense of urgency than our team and it showed.

This is an area where MLF and his staff need to improve in 2021. If the team stays. healthy they really have no excuses. Be well. Since '61

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Tundraboy's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:29 pm

Amen Since ‘61!

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splitpea1's picture

August 15, 2021 at 12:33 pm

I'm more of a retro fan who doesn't enjoy a huge amount of scoring. In addition to the things you mentioned, the NFL has also diluted it's product by skewing the rules heavily towards one side of the ball.

In a perfect world, I would rather see the Packers emphasizing controlling the clock more, playing stingy defense, and fielding a respectable special teams unit that punts well and minimizes the opponent's return game.

Being solid in all three phases of the game is the formula for winning in the regular season and throughout the playoffs. How many times in NFL history have we seen teams with high-profile offenses and less than stellar defenses go down the tubes somewhere in the postseason? Of course it works the other way, too (see the Bears); that's why a balanced team concept is the ideal approach.

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Irish_Cheesehead's picture

August 15, 2021 at 01:57 pm

All the talk about Funchess being on the bubble, after how he looked last night playing with the backup QBs I’d hate to see him released over Cobb. Imagine what he could do playing with Rodgers. He’s a legit big-bodied WR with great hands!

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Tundraboy's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:34 pm

Yep. Good hands and the ability take a hit are what we need. IMO.

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Dzehren's picture

August 15, 2021 at 10:54 pm

There is no way Cobb will be released. Funchess would never make the Chiefs, Bills, Baltimore, Cleveland or Tampa team. Why should he make the GB squad? Only if Gute keeps 6 WR’s.

Especially since he opted out and took a year off. You don’t get faster, better or younger not playing.

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PewAuKeeFan's picture

August 15, 2021 at 02:47 pm

Way to go Bruce. Tell it like it is! 😀

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Bearmeat's picture

August 15, 2021 at 03:10 pm

Yeah. They have the talent to be one of the best offenses of all time, but the odds are against it.

1. Injuries and other bad luck. Basically, $#!T happens to the Packers on the injury front. Seemingly every year.
2. 12 is a massive diva and, as the trolling of Gute just yesterday by 12, Cobb and Bakh prove (CM3 idiocy), there is significant drama behind the scenes that is not going away.
3. Great offenses often benefit from symbiotic play from the defense and special teams. Look at the 07 Pats for one recent example. Do we have that here? No, and it's not likely.

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Crankbait's picture

August 15, 2021 at 09:11 pm

I totally agree. The front office has proved it over and over and over again that they do not emphasize defense or special teams.
And I don't care that it was just a preseason game yesterday , I will not feel good about this team until I see that the defense and special-teams are indeed improved and championship worthy.

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PhantomII's picture

August 16, 2021 at 06:00 am

Agree, however CM3 is probably still better than #4 OLB option currently available. Positive is possibly a true desire to win a Championship solidified and driven by past friendships a high motivation factor bought in by all.
Could go either way if one does not accept their role now.

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dobber's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:46 am

Having sat out a year, is there any indication that CMIII is even thinking about coming back?

I've been the chief worry-wort over that #4 OLB position, but I don't think CMIII is the answer...even if he indicated he wanted to play.

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dobber's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:47 am

"2. 12 is a massive diva and, as the trolling of Gute just yesterday by 12, Cobb and Bakh prove (CM3 idiocy), there is significant drama behind the scenes that is not going away"

It's these guys running a victory lap, and sadly, more players are participating than just #12. What's next?...swirlies for Kurt Benkert after practice? It does nothing but emphasize the divide between this group of players and management, and point out that the relationship is irreparably broken. There's no way ARod returns after this season...when you show up your boss--and continue to show up your boss--you're usually not-for-long in your job. This time next year, the only one of these three still in town will be Bakhtiari, and after 2022, his contract becomes sheddable, if necessary.

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Ferrari-Driver's picture

August 15, 2021 at 03:37 pm

If our defense is porous and teams can run the ball and eat up the clock, our offense will be limited in both the time they will have the ball and the number of times per game we will be on offense per game.

Thus, I hope Barry can field a defense worthy of a Super Bowl champion.

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Leatherhead's picture

August 15, 2021 at 04:47 pm

Green Bay was the better defense in the Championship game. They gave up fewer yards in the air, fewer yards on the ground, had more takeaways, and a better opposing QB rating. The offense not only was below average, scoring only 26, but had two huge turnovers that became 14 points. On the season, we held 10of 18 opponents to 21 or less.

The scenario you describe happened once, in the second half against Minnesota. In the other 35 halves of football we played, nobody could get it done against us.

We had 9 turnovers in our 4 losses, and about 5 turnovers in our 14 wins. We scored 30+ points 13 times and were 12-1in those games; when we were held under 30 we were 2-3.

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Dzehren's picture

August 15, 2021 at 11:10 pm

The Texans will be 5-12. GB will double the Texans wins. The Pre-Season has been set up to evaluate the backend of the 70 man roster for the past 20 plus years.

The preseason sets up the practice squad and maybe 5 spots on the 53 man roster.
Come on man.

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ThxJackVainisi's picture

August 15, 2021 at 04:31 pm

The last time the Packers won the Super Bowl they finished the regular season 2nd in scoring defense and gave up an average of 19 points in four playoff games. In 1996 they finished the regular season 1st in scoring defense and gave up an average of 16 points in 3 playoff games. last season they finished the regular season 13th in scoring defense and gave up an average of 24.5 points in two playoff games. No stat or group of stats perfectly predicts results but in my opinion these indicate the importance of the need for a substantial improvement on defense this season.

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Leatherhead's picture

August 15, 2021 at 06:08 pm

What you seem to be suggesting is that we need an MVP/HOF QB..AND the best defense in the league. I think the best defense can win even WITHOUT a HOF/MVP QB.

The oft-cited 13th scoring ranking is misleading. In the opener, with a big lead in a game we won handily, we used the 4th quarter to play some guys …because there had been no preseason….and it cost us 24 points. For the other 63 quarters, this was a top six defense.

Look how few teams got more than 21 against us. Look at how few teams scored 30 on us and how many turnovers we gave them.

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nostradanus's picture

August 15, 2021 at 05:42 pm

Great point about Rodgers, he’s on a mission (he’s complicated)

Funches, Amari, Cobb, Dillon, Degura should all provide added ammo!

Another year in the MLF system plus the fact the Defense is not going to be as cohesive at first most likely.
Means the Packers offense is going to need to score more often to win games at first or maybe all season long!

I’ll have my popcorn 🍿 ready

ND

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Johnblood27's picture

August 16, 2021 at 07:25 am

as much as I am hopeful that Dillon will be an improvement, Jamal Williams was a significant contributor in MANY ways to this offense.

I loved Dillons game vs Tenn, but lets just pump the brakes a bit on his all-world status until he shows that he can pull the wagon over the course of an entire season.

Dont get me wrong, I really, really want to see a bulldozing road grader - with wheels - to complement AJones. I hope that Dillon is that guy. I will bet you that Williams has more yards for Detroit than Dillon has for GB by the end of the season. Not to mention the blocking that Williams unselfishly provided... that matters.

Dillon has some growing to do to fill the shoes of the previous sidekick to AJones, lets not congratulate ourselves too much too early.

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canadapacker's picture

August 15, 2021 at 05:44 pm

"""“That's why we play the game to see who'll win” was said by Kentucky basketball coach Adolph Rupp (1901-1977) in 1965.""""

Before anybody or everybody gets carried away - just remember the saying above. Bad bounces, bad calls, a lot of injuries, bad weather - there are a lot of reasons why the saying above is true. Now the probability of going 13-4 or 14-3 in this new season is not that good - why because how many teams have done that - back to back to back - Maybe the Pats. I am a little bit leery going into this season because we have a new DC - and his track record is NOT sterling ( not sharp).

So that is why they play the games - or lets just take it one game at a time . But lets not get ahead of ourselves - fans.

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ImaPayne's picture

August 15, 2021 at 06:39 pm

The only scoring title will be from the defense giving up points.

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Since'61's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:34 pm

Deleted.

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Dzehren's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:30 pm

Like your enthusiasm. However, GB has not had a #2 wide receiver for over 3 years. MVS would be a #4 on the Chiefs or Tampa Bay roster. Randall Cobb is a #4 WR at this point in his career. GB has needed a viable #2 WR for multiple years. Cobb & MVS can contribute. Rob Tonyan is not Kelce, Fant , Gronk, etc. AROD is the passing game.

Devin Funchess will most will likely be a #6 or be cut.

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canadapacker's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:34 am

come on man.

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stockholder's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:12 pm

Yes they Can. Why they won't. Gute! Why can't he be more like TT. Just disappear. Let the Boys play. We have a coach.

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Dzehren's picture

August 15, 2021 at 08:18 pm

Agreed- TT = Jordy Jermichael, Jennings, Cobb, Jones, #88 Ty Montgomery and more offensive lineman All Pro’s than I can count. Like Bahk, Wells, Bulaga, linsley Sitton Lang Etc

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Johnblood27's picture

August 16, 2021 at 07:28 am

Deleted

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dobber's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:44 am

I never saw TT or Gute drop a pass or miss a tackle in their time with the Packers.

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Bure9620's picture

August 16, 2021 at 12:35 am

I am pumping the breaks on this a bit until I see the starting O-line in action. Both Michigan men, Braden and Runyan left a lot to be desired. I feel like Lucas Patrick should be ahead of both of them. Not having Bahk will be an issue let's come back to earth a bit before discuss historic offense.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

August 16, 2021 at 03:29 am

Agreed.

I always assumed that the O-line won't be as good as it was last year. Myers is unlikely to be as good as Linsley was in 2020. I hope Myers can be as good as Linsley in Linsley's other years. Turner is not as good as Wagner was, or at least never has been. If Jenkins has to move, I take leave to doubt that whoever replaces him at LG will be as productive. As a minor concern, it is hard to envision Bakh improving, and he is coming off an injury that occasionally inhibits a player long-term, though normally players come back 100% from ACLs given time.

I also am waiting to see how Rodgers and/or Hill actually look in that jet role. Neither really has the pure speed one normally associates with the role. OTOH, both look like they have the burst and running ability.

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dobber's picture

August 16, 2021 at 09:43 am

What do you call the team that wins all its games by 1 point? Superbowl champs.

I'm unimpressed with scoring records...even more so with the expanded schedule.

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