Tundra Vision Seeing Clearly

Great post by C.D. Angeli over at Tundra Vision regarding Thompson's offseason approach.

This is a big chunk of his text as I didn't want to cut out anything as C.D., as always, makes some great points:

I would guess that Thompson will continue this approach through the offseason and the draft, eschewing all but the most bargain-basement of free agents and likely returning to his preference of trading back in the draft.  One might even guess that his out-of-character trade-up for Clay Matthews in the 2009 draft may have been not only for CM3's talent, but because he could see the storm on the horizon and knew that might be the last draft that he could risk that many picks for one player, at least for the foreseeable future.

I don't begrudge Thompson for his approach, but there has to be a general disappointment in the timing of the expiring of the CBA.  The Packers finished 11-5 and had perhaps their most dramatic season in years.  One could look at both sides of the ball in 2009 and feel like both squads were just a player or two away from dominance.

I could see the optimism rising for some bold moves (perhaps bolstered by Thompson's already-bold statement in trading up for Matthews), that the time had finally arrived for the Packers to sign some crusty, savvy old veterans to come in and fill in at safety, along the offensive line, outside linebacker, and along the defensive line.  Was it time for our Sean Jones, Eugene Robinson, and Keith Jackson to not only complete the roster, but bring a level of maturity to this "forever young" team?

No, Thompson's moves are not designed to take this team over the hump and make us instant Super Bowl contenders, but he doesn't make the rules he has to play by.  I would be far more critical of Thompson's approach if he were idiotically signing free agents left and right, not unlike a certain team south of the Wisconsin-Illinois border.  Another year, under the old rules?  Sure.  But not this year.

Maybe I am wrong, and Thompson is just waiting to unload a barrage of trades and signings in the next few weeks.  But I have a feeling we have Conservative Ted back in the captain's chair, ready to sign a couple of no-name free agents, trade back to select lesser-known players from smaller colleges, and to build from within, for better or worse.

Any other year I'd probably be complaining.  This year, while it may not be the moves that make the Packers a winner, it's still the winning move.

Be sure to head over to his blog and read the whole thing. Just first rate stuff.

 

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Comments (25)

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Jim_in_DC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 10:42 am

C.D. Angeli said "Any other year I’d probably be complaining. This year, while it may not be the moves that make the Packers a winner, it’s still the winning move."
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I'm not in agreement with C.D. on this, but, we'll see how it all plays out. My expectations for the Packers are continuous improvement over the previous seasons. IMO, the conservative approach generally leads to a slow erosion.

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PackerAaron's picture

March 10, 2010 at 10:54 am

Jim - disagree with your last statement there. Improving from within is exactly how teams like the Colts and Steelers remain contenders year after year. Swinging for the fences in free agency and missing is how you erode your roster.

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Jim_in_DC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:03 am

Aaron, I am not proposing that. I live in DC and have laughed for years at the Redskins' approach. There is a <b>middle ground</b> that has been successfully exploited by GM's like Ron Wolf. Ted has even dabbled there a little bit. He shouldn't go overboard in the conservative direction now. He should be willing to mix it up with quality free agents and the draft. Improving from within only works when you have emerging talent on the roster. Some of our "emerging talent," isn't talented. O-line, and the secondary are two examples. And IMO, the jury is out on our O-line coach's ability to coach.

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hyperRevue's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:08 am

Jim - Out of curiosity, who in the current free agent market would you like the Packers to go after? Who are the quality O-line and DB free agents?

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CSS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:14 am

hyperRevue - I know you're asking a set-up question to prove a point, but let me answer: There's nobody out there in 10' that either a) brings a new dimension/wrinkle to the current roster or, b) represents an improvement over the current talent on the roster.

2011 (depending on what the CBA indicates) has the potential to be a great FA class. 10', however, is only for those desperate to improve a god-aweful roster (See Bears/Lions as evidence and it begs the question: will they even sniff the playoffs with all that guaranteed money?)

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Jim_in_DC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:27 am

hyper, the first one that comes to mind is S Ryan Clark. I know, I know. He already re-upped with the Steelers. I would have liked him to at least have a visit to GB to see if there was mutual interest. Maybe the calls were placed and the interest just wasn't there...Ted doesn't keep me in the loop. :D How about Jammal Brown or Jermon Bushrod from the Saints?

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CSS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:34 am

Saints have tendered Brown at the highest level so any team interested in signing him away would have to compensate the Saints with a 1st and 3rd round draft pick, unless the Saints agreed to lesser compensation. He was injured all of last year and didn't play.

Bushrod has a 2nd round tender but the Saints could easily match.

Personally, I think the price for Brown is too steep.

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PackersRS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:35 am

Jim. Those are RFAs... Pretty pricey ones. I for one think Brown is actualy worth it. But I can understand why one wouldn't pull the trigger on a 1st and 3rd, with such a deep draft, and with the Packers not having exactly just one need.
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Bushrod, on the other hand, isn't worth his price tag...

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Jim_in_DC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:48 am

I'm not afraid of RFA's, if the value is reasonable, and I agree that my two examples were of questionable value. Sorry about that. My point is that we (perhaps Ted, too???) tend to think in terms of UFA's and I think we need to seriously consider RFA's, too. We swing and miss on some of our draft picks, so why not consider using some of them in FA. We should be exploring trades, as well. OK, I'm done playing GM. Thanks Holiday Inn Express! :D

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Ron LC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:51 am

Cromartie and Rolle are gone. Wouldn't have minded seeing one or both in a Packer uniform. The price was very high for both but for the Giants and Jets they are perfect fits. The problem with FA is the big money guarentees and how that translates to play on the field. I guess it really boils down to individual character.
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To me it's not a one or the other issue. It breaks down to balance. That's the one big way Wolf is different than TT. FA is a rare commodity with TT. This puzzles me because he has made good choices when he has dipped into the market. Pickett, Woodson and Chilar are good examples. Ya, Chilar's not a star but he is good enough to contribute. I would use him as a standard to go into the FA market for O linemen. This area is one of the real weaknesses of TT's philosophy. His draft picks have not lived up to their billings. Sitton being the lone exception to that statement. You can also add Lang to the potential category. The rest have not developed as they should have by now. In short, add Chilar like FA's to the O line now to fill the backup spots. It's not likely there will be a front liner that TT will take a flier on.
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Balance between draft, FA and resigning contriubutors is the key.

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CSS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:06 pm

Ron LC, name a better interior offensive line (G/C/G) in the NFC North? name the NFC North team that has more depth on the interior than the Packers?

I agree they have ample room for improvement, especially at the tackle positions. Jury is out on Lang, but he has promise. LT is an issue.

No, I'm not defending TT's collective line picks, but he has a better batting average than his division.

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PackerAaron's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:20 pm

I hear you there CSS, but you can't limit yourself to a NFC North comparison. The idea is to build the best team possible. Yes, being the best in the division helps you reach the goal of winning a championship. But there's nothing wrong with comparing the interior of the line with the likes of the Jets or the Panthers and saying "Thompson can do better".

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hyperRevue's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:24 pm

ha. CSS - it was half set-up and half genuine. I promise.

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Personally, I'd love to see the Packers take a look at Joey Porter as a compliment to Clay. I saw him a potential Charles Woodson-type, meaning some character issues would scare teams off and he could be had at a bargain later in free agency. But with his upcoming trip to Arizona, that doesn't seem to be the case.

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hyperRevue's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:27 pm

Aaron - Reports have the Browns shopping Quinn. Let the Flynn rumors live on!

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Jim_in_DC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:30 pm

Is RFA Jared Gaither (Ravens LT) worth a 1st? Hmmm...

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CSS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:31 pm

You're correct, Aaron. That's why I said he can certainly do better. But also put into perspective how delving into FA at the O-line position has gone for the division:

Bears: Frank Omiyale (G), Robert Garza (G)
Lions: Melvin Fowler (G), Jon Jansen (G)

The Vikings paid dearly for Hutchinson and it was a good signing. Packers have drafted better along the O-line than all three.

I won't dispute what you're saying about benchmarking beyond the division, but that's where it starts.

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PackerAaron's picture

March 10, 2010 at 12:49 pm

CSS - yeah, I think the Hutchinson signing colors a lot of fans perception when it comes to the whole "The rest of the division is getting these monster road-grader types while the Pack is drafting and developing boys, waiting for them to become men" - that said, you still can't discount the fact that a team like the Jets went out and got Faneca and that made their line better. Ron's argument is a valid one, though I do wish he'd be a BIT more particular about who exactly he would like Thompson to sign to magically fix the line. ;)

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PackersRS's picture

March 10, 2010 at 01:15 pm

Aaron, I"d spend that much money and that 1st and 3rd in Jamaal Brown. He's an elite franchise LT, and those are really hard to find. And about the Saints re-signing him, not if it'd take them 40M guaranteed if Brown played 4 or more games in the state of Louisiana ;)

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Ron LC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 03:02 pm

I'm not sure why the intra-division comparison means anything. The Packer O line has 3 Sheman left overs, both tackles and Center. Sitton is no doubt going to be a star. Colledge has had four full years to show his ability. Sorry he hasnt done a thing to show he can improve from what he is.
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My point was that the three older Sherman leftovers are at risk of missing games during the year. The Packers have no one to replace them. Spitz 5 years and has yet to perform at the level advertised. As a center he was a total bust and guard at best below average. Giacomoni a total loss. He was inactive 15 out of 16 games last year. A total waste of a roster spot. Barbre, check out the stats for the first 4 games last year. He cannot play tackle. Lang has a real chance of being good, I agree. EDS has not played enough in the line to make an educated guess as to his ability. I must assume that if MM thought he had the potential, he would have actually played more. His only extended playing time was the 2nd half of the last game. To say he is this terror on the field is to believe coach talk. Remember killer Barbre going into last year. Just saying they need better reserves before the season than they have now. They have to be better prepared for the possibility of injury at the key spots.

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Ruppert's picture

March 10, 2010 at 05:26 pm

I think Thompson has his "system" for free agent signings, whatever it is exactly, and he sticks by it religiously. If he can find a guy who is available for less than he thinks the guy is worth, he'll go after him. If not, then needs be damned, it's not happenin'. This year or any other.

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Ron LC's picture

March 10, 2010 at 08:53 pm

Aaron, there's a long list of OT's available in FA. None would be instant game changers but could be better than Breno and Barbre for example. A change like that would help and not cost too much. At least they've got film on some of these guys and can make a judgement on their real, not perceived ability.
That's what they pay Campan to do, make the line better.

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BLACKHAWK's picture

March 10, 2010 at 11:16 pm

Does anybody think that maybe James Campen might be the problem? This guy was a solid Packer back in his playing days...but can this guy really teach and coach? Why not bring in a guy like Russ Grimm, or better yet...Bruce Matthews? I don't think we can lay all the blame on TT for the lack of drafting / developing a offensive line. I have never been a fan of the zone blocking scheme either.

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Jim in DC's picture

March 11, 2010 at 05:09 am

IMO, Campen is a good part of the problem. Still, we have to field a solid line with "good enough" backups, otherwise, we'll do no better than this past season. If I was Ted, I would make a run at some of the FA OT's, maybe even OG's.

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BubbaOne's picture

March 11, 2010 at 08:50 am

Three points-One FA is not like it was in Ron Wolf's era.
Two, TT has to take into account what bringing in a high price FA does to the locker room. Players use $ as a criteria and if current players (insert Collins) take exception this could upset the cohesiveness of a team.
Thirdly,TT has been around a looong time. He took the Seahawks to the SB. I judge he's using the formula that you pick and choose FA's (Woodson, Picket, Chillar)that fit as you're building a championship team letting your younger players develop. And when you're near the top you then reach to bring in veterans to get you over the hump.

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PackerAaron's picture

March 11, 2010 at 09:29 am

Bubba - good points, but one major asterisk is needed. TT did NOT take the Seahwaks to the Super Bowl. He drafted many good players but they never got over-the-hump, so to speak, until he left to run the Packers. The year he left, they signed two or three free agents to fill the holes that were on the roster. I'm not saying it can't be done using TT's draft-heavy approach - the Colts and the Steelers are proof of that. But his methods are fair game until he proves he can win a championship with them.

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