Survey Results: Your Expectations for the 2019 Packers

An overview of our readers' expectations for this year's edition of the Green Bay Packers.

Is there a day in the football year more full of hope and optimism than the first practice of training camp? That magical day was today for the Green Bay Packers. Just as I did last year, I took a survey of CheeseheadTV readers and Twitter users to determine how people were feeling heading into this year new of change and uncertainty.

Unlike last year, in which fans had sky-high expectations (a majority said the Packers would win the Super Bowl), this year's survey respondents can be described as being "cautiously optimistic." Two straight losing seasons apparently do temper expectations, at least somewhat, though most respondents expect the Packers to be back in the playoff race once again.

Here's a look at our survey responses. Many thanks to the 513 readers who submitted their opinions!

First question was meant to simply gauge how people are generally feeling heading into this year. A plurality of respondents gave a 7 out of 10, indicating that they're feeling pretty optimistic, but not sky-high about the Packers' chances. The 8/10s were close behind, followed by the 6/10s. Read the comment sections of any CheeseheadTV article, and you can probably guess who the ones and twos are :)

Next question is simple: how many games will the Packers win?

The most popular response here was 10 games (39.4 percent) followed by 11 games (23 percent). Another 18.7 percent said nine games, and no other number of wins had double digit percentages. Again, not the highest expectations, but people at least expect the Packers to be a playoff-level team once again in 2019. Nobody said fewer than five games, but only two negative Nancies out of our 513 respondents said that.

Far and away the most popular answer to who would pose the toughest challenge for the Packers on their schedule this year was the Kansas City Chiefs, who accounted for nearly half the responses. The Chicago Bears were a distant second. The Bears got much more respect from voters in this year's poll than they did in last year's poll, before they had their surprise breakout season.

Last year, a majority of fans thought the team would win the Super Bowl. This year, 20.9 percent of respondents still have Lombardi Trophy dreams, but 36.3 percent of respondents have lower expectations, believing the Packers will be eliminated in the Divisional round of the playoffs. The last time the Packers were eliminated in the divisional round was the 2015-2016 season, when they lost to the Arizona Cardinals after defeating Washington in the wild card round.

The majority of respondents believe the Packers will win the division this year, though last year 81.6 percent of respondents believed so, versus less than 61 percent this year--a 20 percentage point drop in confidence for the Packers' divisional title aspirations. As for who Packer fans believe to be the biggest threat to the team's divisional title hopes...

Last year, 96.2 percent of respondents expected the Vikings to take the division if the Packers didn't. The Vikings ended up flaming out nearly as badly as the Packers. This year, it's the Chicago Bears who are getting the respect, with 75.6 percent of respondents saying the Bears are the team that's next-most likely after the Packers to win the divisional crown. Only a few people picked the Lions.

The Packers have a new head coach this year, and it looks like the fans are willing to give him a bit of leeway in his first year. When asked what a reasonable expectation is out of Matt LaFleur's first year, just over half of readers say a playoff berth, while another 33.9 percent would simply be satisfied with a better record than 2018. For about 7.4 percent of readers, however, it's Super Bowl or bust.

Readers generally feel pretty optimistic about the Packers' offense heading into the season, despite a comparatively weak (by their standards) effort in 2018. The hope here is likely that a new coach and offensive system as well as a greater reliance on Aaron Jones in the backfield will lead to big things for the Packers this season.

For the first time in... God only knows how long, Packer fans are apparently more confident about the defense than the offense heading into the 2019 season. 55.8 percent of respondents say the Packers will have a top 10 defense this season, which would be a massive upgrade.

From here, we move on into the free answer section of the survey. Questions were:

Which player will be the biggest (positive) surprise in 2019?

Here are the five players who received the most love in this question:

  • Jimmy Graham (a good number of fans apparently expecting a rebound... get it? Jimmy Graham played basketball. Did you know that?)
  • Kevin King (dreams of a healthier season for Kevin King abound in our survey)
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling (a chance of a breakout season for one of the Packers' trio of young receivers)
  • Rashan Gary (a big first year for the top pick would be huge for the defense)
  • Equanimeous St. Brown (similar to MVS, in that he's got breakout potential if he gets the targets)

Which player not named Aaron Rodgers will be most vital to the team's success in 2019?

Here are the five players who were the most common answers to this question:

  • Davante Adams (far and away the most popular answer)
  • Kenny Clark (easily the most popular answer on the defense)
  • David Bakhtiari (plenty of respect for the best LT in the game)
  • Aaron Jones (fans are hoping Matt LaFleur utilizes him to his full potential)
  • Adrian Amos (respondents seem to believe if Amos can play well, it'll be a big difference maker on defense)

What are you most looking forward to about the Packers' 2019 season?

Here are a few of my favorite responses:

-From @s_cannoli on Twitter: "Change. It's been over a decade of the same offense. This change just seems exciting." 

-"Aaron Rodgers in a new offense looking to silence his critics."

-From @MagicalJimmy: "Everything. FOOTBALL WILL BE BACK! .... Will, Packers football, because that's what really matters :)"

-"This organization has evolved. They have new leadership from the top down. This year creates a template, or a baseline for the changes that have transpired. To see how this translates into wins or losses is very intriguing." 

-From PBaller on CHTV: "Seeing our defense put fear into the opposing team's QB."

-"Seeing how they bounce back from a down year."

-From @ZackChurchy: "Watching the bad man sling the rock."

-From @zachgile: "Discovering the trajectory of the remainder of Rodgers' career."

-"My neighbor is a Vikings fan, and my cousin is a Bears fan. I am looking forward to calling them and asking, 'What happened?'"

-"An offensive scheme that gets the ball out quickly."

-"Beating the Bears on opening night of the NFL's 100th season."

-"Running the f#$%ing ball."

-"Some actual watchable football for the first time in a few years."

-"Traveling over to watch some games from Norway."

-From @mickey0179: "Hopefully seeing the joy in Rodgers again."

-From @charlie_kaplan: "Winning (please God)"

-From @colemcq: "Aaron Rodgers going full John Wick on the league after two down years and an offseason of people disparaging him."

-From @bobbyawinter: "Seeing if Darnell Savage was worth all that draft capital."

-"The development of a young core."

-"Lynn Dickey appearing for the alumni game (1982 division champs!!)"

-"Finally seeing some receivers 'schemed' open"

-From CHTV's Old School: "Reality setting in." He may or may not have picked the Packers to win just six games :)

-"Two new safeties."

-Stopping a four-game losing streak against the f***ing Lions."

-"A Super Bowl championship!"

Bonus question: What teams will be playing in this year's Super Bowl?

The most common AFC teams chosen were, in this order: New England Patriots, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers

The most common NFC teams chosen were, in this order: New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams

The most common indviidual matchup was Patriots vs. Saints.

 

That does it for this year's survey! The players are back, practices have begun, and real football is so close you can taste it. Enjoy this one, Cheeseheads!

 

__________________________

Tim Backes is a lifelong Packer fan and a contributor to CheeseheadTV. Follow him on Twitter @timbackes for his Packer takes, random musings and Untappd beer check-ins.

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Comments (16)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
packerdoug's picture

July 25, 2019 at 03:09 pm

Keep QB1 healthy.Defense improves..10-6 Go Pack Go!!

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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

July 25, 2019 at 03:34 pm

SB bound and Rodgers 2nd SB victory!

High expectations but if reasonable health anything is possible. Who had guessed in 2010 and 1996 they were going to win?

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TimBackes's picture

July 25, 2019 at 03:56 pm

The Packers were actually a very popular choice in both of those years to go all the way. In fact, they were the Sports Illustrated pick in 1996 to win it all, against the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Lare's picture

July 25, 2019 at 03:48 pm

As always, control the LOS!

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Leatherhead's picture

July 25, 2019 at 05:08 pm

Any injury to Aaron Rodgers and my six win prediction is going to look better , and it factors in the probabilities of Rodgers missing time.

Look, we've improved on defense if guys stay healthy. On offense, we look like a better offense...If Rodgers can stay in the pocket and throw darts. But Chicago is good. Detroit and Minnesota improved and we were winless against them. That's our division ..

Ask me after our 2nd game and I'll let you know but right now...GB could struggle to be even 2nd in the division if misfortune strikes. That's not gonna be nine wins.

Reality always crashes the party sooner or later. But if we stay healthy and run a lot we've got a chance at a pretty.good season. My considered opinion is we won't improve our scoring, but as long as we're really careful with the rock we should be in every game that Rodgers starts and finishes.

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Lare's picture

July 25, 2019 at 05:40 pm

Naysayers will always be naysayers, it's what they live for.

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Jonathan Spader's picture

July 25, 2019 at 05:55 pm

I love Rodger's realism.

"My career's at stake every year I go out there," Rodgers said. "I've got to perform, otherwise they're going to find somebody who can come in here and do it just as well for less. We all know that. Everybody's expendable. Every great player that I've been around here just about has either finished up somewhere else or had a disappointing end to their time here. So, I'd like to not be one of those guys, but I'm realistic enough to realize it's happened to a lot of my close friends. I need to play well, I expect to play well, expect for us to be successful and I expect this not to be an issue moving forward."

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Samson's picture

July 25, 2019 at 06:43 pm

Lare
You got that dead-on. -- The "Debbie-Downers" will never change.
Prediction: ---- When the Pack shows that they are an NFC elite again (season 2019), OS & his negative bs will slowly convert or disappear.... Most are hoping he'll just disappear.
Anyone is so timid to accept all the positive changes in GB in the last two years can't be much of a PackFan.

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Leatherhead's picture

July 26, 2019 at 11:14 am

You might be onto something. Samson.

You are on record as predicting a very good record for the Packers with Rodgers playing at or near MVP level . I am on record saying the Packers are not the best team in the division and might not be 2nd place, even. That’s not a winning record.

Given that at some point Rodgers is going to be out, or be hampered, by injuries at some point, then six wins is something I’ll stick with.

So...if you are correct and the Packers get double digit wins, I’ll leave, permanently.

And if the Packers do not make the playoffs will you leave permanently?

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Leatherhead's picture

July 26, 2019 at 11:14 am

You might be onto something. Samson.

You are on record as predicting a very good record for the Packers with Rodgers playing at or near MVP level . I am on record saying the Packers are not the best team in the division and might not be 2nd place, even. That’s not a winning record.

Given that at some point Rodgers is going to be out, or be hampered, by injuries at some point, then six wins is something I’ll stick with.

So...if you are correct and the Packers get double digit wins, I’ll leave, permanently.

And if the Packers do not make the playoffs will you leave permanently?

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Demon's picture

July 25, 2019 at 05:37 pm

If the only improvment on the team is special teams the offseason is still success. I see no reason an 11-5 record is not attainable.

GPG

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Samson's picture

July 25, 2019 at 06:50 pm

The "D" is almost a guaranteed improvement.. Maybe even a massive improvement over the last 6-7 years.

I expect a 11 or 12 win season with the North Division Crown & a nice run in the playoffs. -- How about the Saints versus the Pack for the NFC berth in the SB?

2019 is shaping up to be "The Year of the Pack"!! .... Booyah!!

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Lphill's picture

July 25, 2019 at 07:06 pm

A true Packers fan can’t help but be excited for this season , ground hog day is finally over and I’m sure Rodgers knows this as well , I expect an MVP season from him and the sky is the limit .

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Bure9620's picture

July 25, 2019 at 07:21 pm

I predict a slow start, but a top 10 defense and offense by seasons end. 10-6, but I predict a division title at 10-6 winning a tiebreaker over the Bears and the Packers heading into the playoffs playing well.

@CHI-L
MIN-L
DEN-W
PHI-L
@DAL-W
DET-W
OAK-W
@KC-W
@LAC-L
CAR-W
@SF-L
@NYG-W
WAS-W
CHI-W
@MIN-L
@DET-W

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4thand1's picture

July 25, 2019 at 07:29 pm

10+ wins and playoffs.

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IceBowl's picture

July 25, 2019 at 08:00 pm

Win 6 games and they are in the playoffs. Div champs.

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