Realistic Options for the Packers at Pick #27

Here's a list of a few realistic options at different positions who Packers could be targeting at pick #27.

We are just under six weeks away from the NFL Draft and NFL draft boards are starting to take shape. I thought it would be a good time to formulate a list of a few realistic options at different positions of who the Packers could be targeting at pick #27.

In the coming weeks be on the lookout for my positional rankings and big board.

Defensive Linemen

Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor- At 6'1" 311lbs he is one of the strongest players in the draft. He put up 31 reps of 225lbs at the Combine and also showed his athleticism by running a 5.05 40 yard dash. A lot of Billing's game right now is predicated on strength; it works very well for him in college but he will need to learn to use his hands better, particularly in the pass game. Billings is a tireless worker, a menace disrupting plays on the inside and chasing ball carriers on the outside with surprising quickness. Billings can get in trouble losing his gap responsibilities when he tries to make a play in the backfield, but he does a good job penetrating, often times making the runner adjust behind the line of scrimmage. I’d like to see him keep his head up in those situations to diagnose the play better and then disengage from the blocker. Billings would be a great replacement to the retired BJ Raji.

Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama- Much like with Billings, Jarran Reed is primarily a two down run stuffer at this point of his development. Reed, who stands 6'3" 307lbs, has very good lower body strength and can hold his ground vs double teams. He does a nice job making plays off his frame and will chase ball carriers but doesn't get consistent penetration. Reed has a long ways to go to be a pass rush threat but his ability to play the run, and eat up blockers to allow the linebackers to make plays is top notch.  Along with nose tackle, Reed has the versatility to play some defensive end in the Packers 3-4 defense.

-Other defensive lineman to consider: Kenny Clark, UCLA; A'Shawn Robinson, Alabama; Vernon Butler, Louisiana Tech, Chris Jones, Mississippi St.

Outside Linebackers

Leonard Floyd, OLB/ILB, Georgia- Floyd is a very unique prospect having played both outside linebacker and inside linebacker in Georgia's 3-4 defense. Floyd is 6'6" 244lbs and looks more like a wide receiver than he does edge rusher. He tested well at the combine running a 4.60 forty yard dash, and vertical jumping 39.5 inches. Floyd could best be described as wiry, and needs to add a good 10lbs of muscle to his frame to consistently hold up vs NFL offensive tackles. I think Floyd's best position with the Packers defense is to have him learn both inside and outside linebacker responsibilities and let him and Clay Matthews play interchangeable roles and wreak havoc on opposing offenses. 

Emmanuel Ogbah, DE/OLB, Oklahoma St. - When watching Ogbah play you see a very linear athlete who has been uber productive at the college level. At 273 lbs. he is a bit heavier than you'd like a 3-4 OLB to be, however that is similar size to Nick Perry. Like Perry, Ogbah has a strong upper body but doesn't possess the hip and ankle flexation to consistently threaten the edge when rushing the passer. Ogbah is said to be a coach’s dream, and if broken in slowly he could develop into a very good pass rusher in the NFL.

Other outside linebackers to consider: Noah Spence, Eastern Kentucky; Kevin Dodd, Clemson

Inside Linebackers

Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama- Ragland is a divisive name in the draft community. Some people feel he is nothing more than a two down, run stuffing, old school linebacker while others feel he has the ability to play all three downs. The 247lb Ragland has a thick lower half and understands gap assignments incredibly well but when it came to obvious passing downs Alabama often asked him to switch to OLB and rush the passer. Some will say this is because he was effective doing so, while other contend it was to hide his deficiencies in coverage. I tend to think it was a combination of the two. While Ragland won't be able to run with the Jimmy Graham's or Ameer Abdullah's of the NFL he showed enough on tape that he can play zone coverage and get to his spots. I think Ragland would be a good fit in Green Bay's defense and would start immediately. Having said that, if Packer fans are expecting Ragland to make several plays behind the line of scrimmage a game they will be disappointed, that isn't Ragland's game. Ragland will be solid in all facets, will be a tone setter, and can be a leader of the defense.

Darron Lee, ILB, Ohio St. - After Darron Lee's impressive performance at the Combine I think the chances he falls to pick #27 are slim, but you just never know. Lee is a side line to side line playmaker this defense hasn't really had at inside linebacker. Lee can chase down ball carriers, run with tight ends and be seemingly everywhere on the field. Lee is relatively raw at the linebacker position and it shows. He will too often miss a tackle, or not be able to shed a block to make a play. Lee's athleticism makes him a very intriguing player who the Packers would love to be able to leave on the field all three downs. Again, it may be wishful thinking to believe he can fall to the bottom of the first round.

Other inside linebackers to consider: Jaylon Smith, Notre Dame; Su'a Cravens, USC

Tight Ends

Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas- I'm going to first say I don't believe Henry or any other tight end is worthy of pick #27 in the draft, but he is however ranked #1. Henry boasts great size, and is a fluid athlete. He displays good hands and the ability to stretch the seam. Henry is a functional blocker although he needs work on his refinement and consistency. He isn't going to make many people miss once he has the ball but he is a good route runner and can find open spots in zones. I think he'd be an upgrade over Richard Rodgers, however it wouldn't be a gigantic improvement.

Other tight ends to consider: Tyler Higbee, Western Kentucky; Austin Hooper, Stanford; Jerrell Adams, South Carolina, Nick Vannett, Ohio St.

Offensive Lineman

Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana- Spriggs was one of the Combine's biggest winners. He was a top performer in just about every drill. Piggy-backing off his solid week at the Senior Bowl and some pretty good college tape, Spriggs shouldn't have to wait until Friday to hear his name called. Spriggs has the length and athleticism to effectively keep speed rushers outside and the ability to move his man some in the run game. Where Spriggs struggles is in his ability to anchor. He needs to develop core strength and get a little more "sand in the pants" to withstand bull rushes from stronger defensive ends. The Packers could look at an offensive tackle early if they fear David Bahktairi will be too expensive next year when his contract is up. They've also proven they don’t' have a competent swing back up tackle on the roster.

Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio St. - Decker isn't quite the athlete Spriggs is, he is however a better blocker when it comes to the run game. He has exceptional feet getting to the second level and can really maul linebackers. He uses his length well in pass protection but needs to work on consistency with his technique. Decker has a tendency to play a little high which can allow defenders to get into his chest. Overall Decker is a solid tackle prospect who could play either side, or kick inside to play guard even at his height.

Other offensive lineman to consider: Germain Ifedi, Texas A&M; Cody Whitehair, Kansas St

Wide Receivers

Josh Doctson, WR, TCU- Going in the direction of wide receiver doesn't make a lot of sense but I thought it should get mentioned,  just in case. Josh Doctson is one of the more exciting prospects to watch in this year's class. His ability to high point the football with graceful ballerina-like body control is amazing to watch. Doctson doesn't break a lot of tackles after the catch and will have to get stronger, but he has an enormous catch radius and outstanding vertical ability. Doctson is the type of wide receiver who could start his career slowly but then emerge into a team’s #1 threat on the outside.

Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor- Coleman is a bit undersized at only 5'11 but he has blazing speed, clocking a 4.37 forty yard dash at his pro day. Coleman is electric with the ball in his hands. He has the ability to make a defensive player miss a tackle in a phone booth and has the acceleration to reach top speed instantly. Coleman does have a case of the dropsies from time to time and ran a very limited route tree at Baylor. Packer fans are constantly screaming about a deep threat, and Coleman would certainly fit that bill.

Other wide receivers to consider: Michael Thomas, Ohio St.; Tyler Boyd, Pittsburgh; Will Fuller, Notre Dame

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Comments (45)

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vj_ostrowski's picture

March 19, 2016 at 12:59 pm

Great column.

I'm just a dumbass fan that happens to be a draft enthusiast, but I have a couple of strong feelings.

1. I think DT is almost certainly the pick. If I had to put a % on it, I'd say 80% chance? We all know TT doesn't draft strictly for need, but with ~10 DTs that could reasonably be considered 1st round guys, this might be a year where Need and Value line up perfectly. Gotta replace Raji. DT should be our #1 "NEED" even ahead of TE and ILB. We currently have ONE 5 Tech, and no true NT with experience (Pennel could maybe handle it, but that's been Raji's spot). A line with Guion and Pennel starting on it worries me a bit.

Billings, Butler, and even Kenny Clark are my personal guys here (a guy I love and would take at #27, but others might think is a small reach).

2. I don't think TT touches a TE here. Henry just isn't fast enough for us to take in the 1st round. Fool's gold, taking him any earlier than end of the 2nd. Henry didn't run the 40 and I suspect it's because he would maybe slightly only run better than RichRod.

3. Doctson is my favorite 1st round pick that reasonably has a chance to be there. I feel like he's a TT-type receiver too. And a legitimate #1. Best WR in the draft, in my dumbass opinion. I don't think he'll be there, and I'm sick over the thought that Minnesota might be the one to take him off the table.

If he's there though, I wouldn't be surprised to see our ballboy run the card up on him. WR seems like an indulgence...in fact, with a healthy Jordy, compared to most other teams in the league it would be an indulgence. But I think TT knows what it means to give Rodgers additional weapons.

4. I'm 100% okay with Ragland, but I feel like there will be more attractive athletes at #27. It might take a small fall to get him to #27, and TT might STILL pass on him for someone with more speed or short-range athleticism at a different position. TT likes to swing big in the 1st round.

As far as how I view him in the context this article presents? I think he can handle coverage duties just fine, but will never be known for it. I also think some fans/pundits are being too harsh when saying that he's just a more expensive Barrington or Ryan. He may never be great in coverage, but upgrading the ILB position on 1st/2nd down is underrated too, you know?

Either way, I don't see TT thinking the ILB value is very good at the end of the 1st round here.

Jaylon Smith is the wild card. Does he last until the 3rd round with his health issues? Is the 2nd round too early? Does some team with the room for a luxury take him with their 1st? I JUST DON'T KNOW! But, if healthy, the guy could be a 3 down LB and do anything you ask of him. Thump, slash, rush the passer, cover. I'd be okay taking a chance on him, and would never hold the pick against TT, even if it didn't turn out.

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NickPerry's picture

March 19, 2016 at 01:01 pm

Doctson would be fun to have for Rodgers though I think the Texans take him right before the Queens. They need another WR to go with Hopkins and their $72 Million dollar man at QB.

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jmac34's picture

March 19, 2016 at 01:05 pm

I don't think wr would be that big of an indulgence. Every wr on the roster has question marks. Can Nelson come back from injury and how many years does he have left? Can Cobb and Montegomery come back from injury? Can Devante Adams come back from his disastrous 2015 and actually catch the ball? Can Janis learn more than a go route? Can abby ever be more than just a guy?

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Tundraboy's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:09 pm

I think he passes on Ragland as well, too much of a "safe" non controversial pick.

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barutanseijin's picture

March 20, 2016 at 09:58 am

Hawk was supposed to be the safe pick. Rodgers at #24 was a pretty safe pick as far as value goes. I don't think TT is too wilds and crazy in the first round.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:20 pm

Nice comment, VJ. Lots to consider in it. Rd one position %:

DT : 40% (bet on a guy who can play NT and 3 technique)
OLB: 20%
DE: 15% (5/3 tech has to be an option for 2-4-5 schemes)
LT: 10% (chances increase if Conklin is there)
ILB: 10% (no chance if Ragland has already been picked)
TE: 5% (no chance if Henry is gone)
WR: 0% (unless by some miracle Treadwell falls)
RB: 0% (again, unless Elliott is there)
DB: 0% (only if someone falls a long way)
OG: 0% (does not matter who is there - still zero)

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:56 pm

I would agree that Whitehair might be taken by many a GM in round one, I just do not think TT is ever going to be one of them. My response is as much about TT as it is about Whitehair´s merits. Also agree that Bakh and one of the OGs gets re-signed, and that Tretter is going to want starter money. If TT snaps up Conklin, Decker or Spriggs, probably means Bakh will be gone. Bakh won´t want to change positions - for a offensive lineman, the money is at LT. TT does like to confound me though with his picks, so on that basis Whitehair has a chance!

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jeremyjjbrown's picture

March 19, 2016 at 09:16 pm

Except TT doesn't draft college guards very often. He drafts College tackles he thinks can play guard. I agree with this strategy. College teams put their best lineman at Tackle.

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Chad Lundberg's picture

March 20, 2016 at 01:24 am

I strongly feel that Thompson should spend a high pick on a Wide Receiver. I know there are other needs, but there's no way the Packers should take a chance on having too few wide receivers again, and even if you have an excessive plethora of them, 2011 proved you can't really have too many wide receivers. So even if Janis, Abbrederis, Adams and Montgomery turn out to be capable receivers, you still have Jordy Nelson who's coming off a major injury and will be 31 years, he has to be replaced sooner or later anyway. Let's not repeat Ron Wolf's famous greatest regret. Give Rodgers every weapon possible I say. That said, he really ought to look towards free agency to fill that void, especially with Jared Cook and spend the draft picks on more valuable players that fill vital needs such as Reggie Ragland.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 20, 2016 at 08:49 am

I agree, we are ok at WR only on paper. While I think it would be a gutsy move to use a high pick at WR, as long as we use rest of draft for DL and OL, I would not be upset for the right one. Faster and taller.

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 20, 2016 at 10:54 pm

I don't care if I can predict the pick anymore. And after last year (Damarious Randall) I don't even care if I've heard of the guy before. Just give us somebody good at any (or many) position(s)!

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jmac34's picture

March 19, 2016 at 12:54 pm

It wouldn't surprise me to see GB take a wr in the first three rounds of this draft. It seems like they have been talking to a few wrs with their private meetings.

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NickPerry's picture

March 19, 2016 at 01:02 pm

I'd be really pleased if Billings, Lee, or Ragland were there and I think it's possible at least one would be. My personal favorite would be Billings. With Billings, Guion, Daniels, Pennel, Boyd, another later pick and Jones when he's not playing OLB, the Packers would have a nice rotation. Billings just might be several seasons of 2010's version of B.J. Raji, not just one.

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johnnyd17's picture

March 19, 2016 at 01:51 pm

maybe trade down for more picks? not a crowd pleaser but often effective..

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TKWorldWide's picture

March 21, 2016 at 05:28 am

I remember when TT did that and took Jordy. I thought, "a wide receiver?"

Turned out ok. (Understatement)

So, while it IS fun to read up on all the prospects and play amateur GM, I also understand how to just sit back, watch, and enjoy.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:14 pm

Even if Raji was here, DL has to be priority and most likely comprise the bulk of the picks , because of need, and the amount of apparent NFL ready talent. Building on the line makes the most sense to me after the strides made last year. and because it should make everybody else better, secondary and even ILBs. At same time I would not be shocked if 1st or 2nd pick is for the OL. Could definitely see TT doing that. He may even shock us all by going at Henry early by trading down or if he slips . I can see WR, but picking one early would be a ballsy move for sure. Either way draft is shaping up to be very interesting this year and I hope makes up for the dead period we are enduring now. Nice to know that our needs are aligned with the defensive talent available and that we could come out of it with better talent than in recent years.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:58 pm

Agree with the last line, and some of the rest. I expect to get a prospect who has a legitimate First Round grade. Moreover, I expect TT to have a choice of prospects with a solid round 1 grade. Others in prior years were Ha Ha, Bulaga, Raji, Hawk and AR. TT has done pretty well with those type of prospects. I would be upset with a reach for Henry or Joctson, or the like.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 19, 2016 at 04:32 pm

I too will be upset if Henry is picked unless he fell to later rounds, maybe not so much with Doctson.

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NickPerry's picture

March 19, 2016 at 04:55 pm

I found this at another site. This would actually be the "Perfect" draft for the Packers IMO. The more I read about Billings the more there is to like. Anyways check it out and let me know what you think.

http://thepackerholic.com/green-bay-packers-mock-draft-3/

This really would be a close to perfect draft for the Packers. Needs and Depth addressed and added where needed.

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 19, 2016 at 05:15 pm

Oh my damn!!!!

https://youtu.be/afNZkUuJqhA?t=1m57s

20 years old
6 foot
300+ pounds

WOW!

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WinUSA's picture

March 19, 2016 at 07:11 pm

Just gotta love that after initial contact the object of Billings affection lands five yards backwards...... Would love to see that man in GREAN AND GOLD!!!

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 19, 2016 at 08:26 pm

If TT/Dom thinks he can immediately help push the Defense further and become a force tandem (with Daniels) why wait to see if he's available at #27?

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Tundraboy's picture

March 19, 2016 at 05:31 pm

I would be thrilled with just the first two picks!!!

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NickPerry's picture

March 20, 2016 at 06:16 am

Me too TB, first 3 we're in the SB for sure IMO. Higbee is a interesting, I'd like to see what WKU thinks.

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NickPerry's picture

March 19, 2016 at 04:55 pm

Double..Sorry

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AgrippaLII's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:17 pm

I've followed Ted's drafts long enough to know that his first pick will probably be none of the above!

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:33 pm

I agree.

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jmac34's picture

March 19, 2016 at 06:58 pm

Randall was the only one I didn't hear anything about before the drafts these guys were taken in. Although I will say, Ha Ha was really the only slam dunk out of those classes.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 19, 2016 at 04:29 pm

Don't doubt that at all.

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:39 pm

Let me be the first to say that I haven't followed college football since...shit, I don't know in how long, but I do watch tape on a few players from time to time.

There's an ILB from Florida that really stood out to me as I watched a few reels of ILB prospects. I believe he is a bit smallish, but the speed, range, tackling, motor and athleticism is there for sure. I'm not saying he should be the 1st round pick, but if we could pair him with the right partner I think Dom will have a field day with play calls.

Edit: Antonio Morrison

I see CBS has his projection as 7th round to FA, but in his overview they wrote,
"Arguably the most intense player at the college level, Morrison wasn't supposed to play the first half of the 2015 season due to a serious knee injury in the Gators' bowl game last January. He was expected to miss 10-12 months, but was back on the field in only six months and played at a very high level as a senior with back-to-back 100-tackle seasons to cap his Florida career. "

HUH???

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 19, 2016 at 03:42 pm

I don't know if it's seasons old, 1 season old or a current season injury. The talent is damn sure there though.

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stockholder's picture

March 19, 2016 at 09:28 pm

Billings,Robinson, and Ragland, will be picked before #27. I see the packers taking a pass rusher, Dodd,Ogbah,or Floyd. And thats if Pitts. Seatle,Arizona ,and carolina don't beat TT TO THE PICK!. I suggest he trade up! Because your looking at Reed,Butler or Clarke at NT. And they will not be better than Raji.

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holmesmd's picture

March 20, 2016 at 06:18 am

Most mock drafts don't agree with your first sentence. Billings is a true 3-4 NT. Only half the league would consider it and I think it's likely he's there at #27. We shall see.

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Rossonero's picture

March 20, 2016 at 12:00 am

I'd love Ragland, but the Colts, Falcons and Jets all badly need an ILB too, so he'll be gone by no. 27.

This DT class is so deep though, that there still will be terrific value even that late in the first round. If they go best available DT, the Packers should be fine.

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holmesmd's picture

March 20, 2016 at 06:26 am

Ragland isn't the chase backer we need. He'll be no more effective than Ryan or Barrington the first few years he learns the defense. We need a guy that can run. Additionally, what's up with 13 reps of 225 lbs on the bench press at 260 lbs?! WTH?! I'm 48 years old and can do more than that! Alabama has one of the best S&C programs in college football. I'm not sure how he could have done so few reps. So the guy can't run that well and he's not very strong in the upper body!? Hhmm, doesn't make much sense at #27 and probably won't translate to a 3 down LB in the NFL.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 20, 2016 at 09:06 am

If we go ILB, it has to be someone with sideline to sideline speed. Don't know if we will find it in draft but that is what we need. Doesn't sound like Ragland is that guy.

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Rossonero's picture

March 20, 2016 at 09:56 am

Have you guys watched any film of Ragland in coverage? He did very well vs. Hunter Henry. Scroll to the bottom to see the film on him. http://walterfootball.com/scoutingreport2016rragland.php

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holmesmd's picture

March 20, 2016 at 05:20 pm

Great clip and he's a hell of a football player. Having said that, HH isn't exactly a speed merchant. He plays more off of anticipation and instinct than metrics. I believe he will struggle with fast TE's, WR's in the slot, and NFL RB's. I'm tired of seeing our ILB's run like they have paddle boards for shoes! For god's sake please find someone who can run....anyone!

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

March 21, 2016 at 03:51 am

I try not to watch highlight video - they all look good. Still, Ragland looked excellent, and he looks like first round material in the draft breakdown video. enough speed, and the offensive player does down when hit by Ragland. Great attitude displayed.

http://draftbreakdown.com/players/reggie-ragland/

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holmesmd's picture

March 21, 2016 at 08:35 am

Thanks for the link. I didn't suggest that I watch highlight video. I've seen plenty of Bama games this season and I agree Ragland is a very good player. I just would like to see someone there with more speed and athleticism at ILB. The young man already may have some weight control issues at a very young and active age. He also did horribly on the bench press for a guy his size. I don't know, too many questions for me at #27. Of course he probably will be gone by then anyway?

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Tundraboy's picture

March 20, 2016 at 08:44 am

Looking forward, Keep Tretter. Losing him would be a big mistake and if means letting someone else go on OL so be it. We will be picking up someone for OL this draft and always seem to find someone in later rounds as well if need be.

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lou's picture

March 20, 2016 at 11:20 am

Can't wait for draft day, one team makes a move in the top 10-15 rounds and the entire draft board is scrambled, so you never know what is going to happen. No one thought Dix would be available and few thought Lacey would either. Then to throw off all high round possibilities Thompson drafts 2 basically unheard of (top media types) "safeties" and both play at "starting corner level" their first season. Buckle your seat belt and get the popcorn ready folks.

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DrealynWilliams's picture

March 20, 2016 at 12:29 pm

"...Thompson drafts 2 basically unheard of (top media types) "safeties" and both play at "starting corner level" their first season. Buckle your seat belt and get the popcorn ready folks."

That's why I will no longer attempt to predict who we will draft.

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vj_ostrowski's picture

March 20, 2016 at 04:00 pm

Good comment.

Not to get caught up on something that ultimately wasn't your point, but something you said reminded me of something: I'm not sure why "no one thought" HHCD would be available. He was a decent college safety with average speed. I feel like that was GB fan pessimism all the way. I feel the same way about Ragland. Our fans seem to think there's little chance he's there, but why? He was a solid college ILB with average speed - and that's even less of a premium position than S too.

I think Ragland is more like a "worst case scenario" for us...but one I would be happy with.

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Tundraboy's picture

March 20, 2016 at 12:29 pm

Yes sir. Never concerned myself as much in the past with the draft outside of where Packers first two pick were , but the last few years has me really looking forward to this draft.

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