Following the Green Bay Packers has been like trying to balance on a see-saw on a boat in roiling seas. They’ve had to cope with the quick implosion of the backfield (though James Starks is on the mend), some shaky work by the quarterback and some inconsistency from their receivers. The defense, which carried a lot of the weight in 2015, isn’t quite as good this year and hasn’t been able to overcome the offensive issues as easily as they did before.

Which is why the Packers are sitting in second place in the NFC North, with a 4-3 record.

They have an excellent chance to get back in the win column this week as the Indianapolis Colts come to Lambeau Field. The Colts have a great quarterback in Andrew Luck, a tremendous receiver in TY Hilton (who looks like he will play despite a hamstring issue) and a solid, if aging, running back in the person of Frank Gore.

That’s pretty much it. The defense is terrible, the offensive line is a wreck and the depth all across the team is close to a joke.

Of course, that doesn’t make this a cakewalk, because Andrew Luck usually finds a way to pull the team’s fat out of the fire and at least make it close.

Which means the key to beating the Colts is really simple—beat the heck out of Luck.

The Packers only have 19 sacks so far, which puts them just above the median for the NFL, at 11. Good news though, because the Colts have allowed more sacks than any other team in the NFL. Yup, the guy whom owner Jim Irsay signed to a six-year, $140 million contract has the absolute worst protection in the league.

Nice job, Jim.

On the plus side, they haven’t allowed the most quarterback hits—that’s the Cleveland Browns with 67. The Colts fall short of that lead with just 61.

Somehow Andrew Luck is both still alive and able to throw for the tenth most yards this year and is tied for the fifth most touchdowns.

Seriously, that’s ridiculous.

So the Packers really have two jobs. First, hammer Luck. Get after him on every down and never let him get a clean throw.

Secondly, and this is the big one, they have to lock down his receivers. Because as we just mentioned, Luck has found ways in too many games to put up a lot of yards—and plenty of touchdowns—despite getting killed behind the traffic cones he has blocking for him.

Last week the Packers allowed the Falcons to score on six of eight drives. They got pressure, especially from Mike Daniels, and some of the corners did a fine job, like Ladarius Gunter. The other side of things, where Demetri Goodson lurked, didn’t fare so well.

You have to wonder if the Colts will try to match Hilton up on Goodson a lot on Sunday, especially given the success Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan had targeting him.

The secondary has to keep a lid on the receivers here, and guys like Goodson have to step their game up. We know that, even with pressure, Luck can throw the ball.

So it’s up to the secondary to make sure that when he does, it doesn’t reach his intended target.

If they can contain the receivers, the Packers should win this game. 

Then we get another meme like this: