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Fantasy Football 2018: Week 3 Spreadsheet and Game-by-Game Predictions

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Fantasy Football 2018: Week 3 Spreadsheet and Game-by-Game Predictions

Packers @ Redskins

WASHINGTON

Alex Smith – The Packers have allowed the fifth most points to quarterbacks, though it’s worth noting that had the game ended on the Alexander pick last week, Cousins would have had approximately 17 less points. Rank: High-to-mid level QB2.

Adrian Peterson – Green Bay has been a top 10 run defense this year – they should be able to bottle up AP. Rank: Low-end RB2/High-end RB3.

Chris Thompson – Unless they give Oren Burks extended playing time, the Packers don’t have a linebacker with the speed to keep up with Thompson. Look for him to have a big game. Rank: Mid-level RB2.

Jordan Reed – Rank: Mid-level TE1.

Jamison Crowder – Rank: Mid-level WR4.

GREEN BAY

Aaron Rodgers – Rodgers is averaging 26 points per game in his last three matchups with the Redskins. Rank: High-end QB1.

Jamaal Williams / Aaron Jones / Ty Montgomery – Williams will get work due to his skills in pass protection, though his fantasy value will be limited. Jones has the clearest path to fantasy relevance, though Mike McCarthy’s stubbornness could limit his touches early on. Montgomery has no fantasy value right now.

Davante Adams – He’s a matchup proof low-end WR1 every week.

Randall Cobb – His matchup with Fabian Moreau is a favorable one. He should be in for a bounce-back game in this one. Rank: Mid-level WR3.

Jimmy Graham – He got 20% of the targets last week and would have had a much bigger game had the officials not robbed him of a touchdown. Rank: Mid-level TE1.

Geronimo Allison – His 18% target share in this offense should be enough for low-end WR3 production, or better.

  • Prediction – Packers 30, Redskins 22.

Jets @ Browns (TNF)

NEW YORK

Sam Darnold – Rank: Mid-level QB3.

Isaiah Crowell – Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Bilal Powell – Rank: Mid-level RB3 (bump in PPR).

Quincy Enunwa – Enunwa has quick emerged as Darnold’s favorite target, garnering 34% of his targets while leading all New York skill position players in snaps. His matchup with Briean Boddy-Calhoun is a good one. Rank: High-End WR3.

Robby Anderson – Anderson has received under 10% of Darnold’s targets thus far and will go up against Denzel Ward. Rank: Low-level WR4.

CLEVELAND

Tyrod Taylor – The Jets have allowed the fifth fewest points to quarterbacks through two weeks, nevertheless, Taylor is a decent streaming option due to his rushing upside. Rank: Mid-level QB2.

Carlos Hyde – The Jets have defended the run well, allowing just 3.4 yards per carry this season. Hyde is receiving enough of the carries (72%) to be in the RB2 conversation. Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Duke Johnson – Johnson’s targets and carries have been declining through each of the first two weeks. He is a risky fantasy start, even in PPR.

Jarvis Landry – Landry stands to benefit from the departure of Josh Gordon. He has received 32% of Taylor’s targets, and that number could go up. His matchup with Buster Skrine is a juicy one. Rank: Mid-level WR2.

Antonio Callaway – It’s hard to trust Callaway until he receives more consistent targets, and his matchup with Trumaine Johnson is one to avoid. Rank: Low-end WR4.

Cleveland D/ST – This unit has been good so far and they are a recommended start against a rookie quarterback on TNF.

  • Prediction – Browns 23, Jets 17

Bengals @ Panthers

CAROLINA

Cam Newton – Rank: Mid-level QB1.

Christian McCaffrey – The Bengals are bottom 10 in receptions and receiving yards allowed to running backs, and CMC has received an eye-popping 34% of Carolina’s targets. Rank: Low-end RB1.

Devin Funchess – His matchup is not appealing, though he is receiving a 20% target share. Rank: High-end WR3.

CINCINNATI

Andy Dalton – The Panthers have allowed just two passing touchdowns through two weeks. Dalton is a risky start in what could be a grind-it-out game. Rank: Low-level QB2.

Gio Bernard – The sample size is small, but in three games filling in for Mixon last season, Bernard scored twice while averaging 69 rushing yards and 44 receiving yards. The Panthers have been one of the stingiest defenses to receiving backs, allowing just eight receptions for 43 yards and no scores through two games. Rank: Mid-level RB2.

A.J. Green – Rank: High-end WR1.

Tyler Boyd – Rank: Mid-level WR5.

Tyler Eifert – Rank: Mid-level TE2.

  • Prediction – Panthers 24, Bengals 20.

Saints @ Falcons

ATLANTA

Matt Ryan – In three of Ryan’s last four home matchups with the Saints, he has scored 20, 37 and 30. In the fourth game, which took place last year, Ryan scored under 10. The Saints have allowed the third most points to quarterbacks this season, yet despite that, I still have trouble trusting Ryan. Rank: Mid-level QB1.

Tevin Coleman – Coleman has been solid as a feature back, but the Saints have allowed the third fewest points to opposing backs. That includes a mere 3.2 yards per carry as well as just 4 receptions for 16 yards. Rank: Mid-level RB2.

Julio Jones – Jones averaged 123.5 yards in his two matchups with the Saints last year, though he failed to score in either one. Consider him a lower end WR1 in standard leagues until the Falcons figure out how to get him the ball in the end zone.

Calvin Ridley – Ridley’s targets went up by 13% in week 2, if that trend continues (and it should), he will be a WR2 in no time. Rank: Low-end WR3.

Austin Hooper – High-end TE3.

NEW ORLEANS

Drew Brees – His home/road splits are well known, but Brees has not scored less than 16 points in Atlanta in five consecutive games. That being said, he hasn’t scored more than 21 either. Rank: Low-level QB1.

Alvin Kamara – The Falcons have allowed the eight most points to running backs this year and Kamara is as good as they come. Rank: Top 3 RB.

Michael Thomas – Thomas has scored in three of his four career matchups with the Falcons and averaged 103 yards to go with it. Rank: High-end WR1.

Ted Ginn – Rank: High-end WR5.

Ben Watson – Rank: Low-end TE2.

  • Prediction – Falcons 27, Saints 23.

Broncos @ Ravens

BALTIMORE

Joe Flacco – Rank: Low-end QB2.

Alex Collins – The Broncos have been the 10th best team against the run this year, and it will be difficult for Collins to get going unless Harbaugh actually gives him a sizable workload. Rank: Back-end RB2.

Buck Allen – Rank: PPR flex play

John Brown – Brown has been a pleasant surprise for fantasy owners, but he will have his work cut out for him against Chris Harris Jr. and Bradley Roby. Rank: Low-level WR3.

Michael Crabtree – Rank: Mid-level WR3.

Willie Snead – Rank: Mid-level WR5.

Ravens D/ST – They are a good option at home against a turnover-prone quarterback.

DENVER

Case Keenum – Rank: Low-level QB2.

Philip Lindsay – Lindsay is third in the league in rushing, but will face a Ravens defense that has allowed the second fewest points to opposing backs. He could come crashing down to earth in week 3. Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Royce Freeman – It’s hard to trust a guy who has received under 50% of his team’s carries against a very formidable opponent. Rank: Low-end RB3.

Emmanuel Sanders – Rank: Mid-level WR2.

Demaryius Thomas – Rank: High-level WR3.

Broncos D/ST – They are a top 10 option against Flacco and the Ravens.

  • Prediction – Broncos 23, Ravens 19.

Titans @ Jaguars

JACKSONVILLE

Blake Bortles – This might not be a game where the Jaguars have to throw much. Rank: High-end QB3.

Leonard Fournette – Fournette put up at least 12 standard points in both matchups with the Titans last year, and Tennessee has allowed 4.9 yards per carry to backs this year. Rank: High-level RB2.

T.J. Yeldon – He’s a high-level RB3 if Fournette is out, and an RB4 at best if he plays.

Keelan Cole – Rank: High-level WR3.

Dede Westbrook – Rank: Mid-level WR3.

Donte Moncrief – Rank: Low-level WR5.

Austin Saferian-Jenkins – ASJ has yet to practice and the Titans have allowed the third fewest points to tight ends. Rank: Low-end TE2.

Jaguars D/ST – Against Blaine Gabbert or an injured Marcus Mariota…yes please.

TENNESSEE

Blaine Gabbert – Don’t. Just don’t.

Derrick Henry – He probably isn’t a great start against Jacksonville’s stout front seven. Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Dion Lewis – Like James White last week, there is potential for a PPR RB2 game from Lewis.

Corey Davis – No, thank you.

  • Prediction – Jaguars 26, Titans 13.

Bills @ Vikings

MINNESOTA

Kirk Cousins – As is a risk with all Minnesota players this week, how much will Cousins need to play? Rank: Mid-level QB1.

Dalvin Cook – The matchup is salivating, but his workload could be limited, if he plays at all. Rank: High-end RB2.

Stefon Diggs – Tre’Davious White is talented, but Diggs should still get his. Rank: Low-end WR1.

Adam Thielen – Rank: High-end WR2.

Kyle Rudolph – Rank: Back-end TE1.

Vikings D/ST – Would it shock you if they ended up as the number one fantasy scorer this week?

BUFFALO

Josh Allen – HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA no.

LeSean McCoy – If you’re that desperate, you’re not going to win your league regardless.

Kelvin Benjamin – Why am I even talking about him?

  • Prediction – Vikings 40, Bills 1 (they will find a way).

49ers @ Chiefs

KANSAS CITY

Patrick Mahomes – The 49ers have allowed the seventh most points to quarterbacks and Mahomes is averaging 69 points a game (I rounded up). Rank: High-end QB1.

Kareem Hunt – The 49ers have allowed the eight fewest points to running backs, though I imagine they’ll be preoccupied trying to slow down Kansas City’s passing attack. Rank: Mid-level RB1.

Tyreek Hill – Rank: Mid-level WR1.

Sammy Watkins – Watkins is bound to see some of Richard Sherman in this matchup. Rank: High-end WR4.

Travis Kelce – The 49ers have already allowed two touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Rank: High-end TE1.

SAN FRANCISCO

Jimmy Garoppolo – The Chiefs have allowed the most points to quarterbacks and he should have Goodwin back this week. Rank: Low-end QB1.

Matt Breida – The Chiefs surrendered the fifth most points and the most receiving yards to running backs this season. Breida is a recommended start and he should outscore Alfred Morris once again. Rank: Low-end RB2.

Alfred Morris – Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Marquise Goodwin – If Goodwin plays, fire him up against a secondary that has allowed the fourth most points to receivers. Rank: High-end WR3.

George Kittle – Kittle is also a good start, as the Chiefs have allowed the second most points to tight ends. Rank: Mid-level TE1.

Pierre Garcon – Rank: Mid-level WR4.

  • Prediction – 49ers 31, Chiefs 27.

Colts @ Eagles

PHILADELPHIA

Carson Wentz – Indianapolis’s defense has overachieved through two weeks, allowing the 10th fewest points to quarterbacks. Wentz averaged 23 points a game at home last year, though he did rely on an average of 23 rushing yards. Will the Eagles be cautious with him in his first game back? Will his depleted receiving corps limit his upside? I’d consider him to be a low-end QB1 for this one.

Jay Ajayi – He has yet to practice, and I imagine he will be limited even if he does play. Rank: Mid-level RB3.

Corey Clement – The potential for Clement this week cannot be understated. With both Ajayi and Sproles banged up, Clement could be in for a hefty workload. He could return high-end RB2 production, particularly in PPR.

Zach Ertz – Ertz averaged 15 PPR points with Wentz on the field last year, and he should be the top target in this game. Rank: High-end TE1.

Nelson Agholor – Agholor averaged 12.5 PPR points with Wentz last season, though that number rose to 19.9 over their final three games. His matchups with Nate Hairston or Kenny Moore are exploitable. Rank: High-end WR3.

Jordan Matthews – Rank: Mid-level WR5.

INDIANAPOLIS

Andrew Luck – Rank: Low-end QB1/High-end QB2.

Indianapolis RBs – Against Philly’s fourth-ranked run defense, I wouldn’t start any of the Colts backs.

T.Y. Hilton – Hilton’s target share in week 2 was 36%, and his matchups with Ronald Darby and Jalen Mills are winnable ones. Rank: Mid-level WR2.

Jack Doyle / Eric Ebron – The Eagles have allowed the ninth most points to tight ends on the young season, so both players could have useful fantasy weeks. I’d treat Doyle as a low-end TE1 in PPR and Ebron as a high-end TE2 in all formats.

  • Prediction – Eagles 27, Colts 26.

Raiders @ Dolphins

MIAMI

Ryan Tannehill – Low-end QB2.

Kenyan Drake – The Raiders have allowed the sixth most points to running backs through two weeks. Though he is receiving just 52% of Miami’s carries, a 15-18 touch day should land Drake in the middle of the RB2 territory.

Kenny Stills – Rank: High-end WR3.

Albert Wilson / Danny Amendola – Rank: Mid-level WR5(s)

Miami D/ST – They have been good so far this season and Carr is a good bet for a pick or two each week.

OAKLAND

Derek Carr – The Dolphins and their improved secondary have allowed the third fewest points to quarterbacks. All that said, Carr is their toughest test yet. Rank: Low-end QB2.

Marshawn Lynch – The Dolphins have allowed just 3.3 yards per carry to running backs this season, though Lynch should receive a sizeable workload in this one. Rank: High-end RB3.

Amari Cooper – Cooper has shown you his floor and ceiling in the first two weeks of the season. The matchup here is neither easy nor difficult, though projecting Cooper has proven to be wearisome. Rank: Low-end WR2.

Jared Cook – Cook should see plenty of Minkah Fitzpatrick in this matchup, which is enough reason to fade him. Rank: Low-end TE1.

  • Prediction – Raiders 24, Dolphins 19.

Giants @ Texans

HOUSTON

Deshaun Watson – Watson has been a different animal with Will Fuller at his disposal, averaging 29 points a game in those five contests. Rank: Mid-to-high end QB1.

Lamar Miller – The Giants have allowed 4.2 yards per carry to backs this year. Rank: Mid-level RB2.

DeAndre Hopkins – Rank: High-end WR1.

Will Fuller – He has averaged 21.8 points in five games with Watson. He will most likely see a lot of Eli Apple this week. Rank: Mid-to-low level WR2.

Texans D/ST – With the way the Giants offense has performed, you have to consider Houston to be a top 5 option.

NEW YORK

Eli Manning – Unless your league rewards you for completions or weird facial expressions, Eli is not startable in fantasy.

Saquon Barkley – The volume will certainly be there, just hope that he breaks off a couple of chunk runs. Rank: Mid-level RB1.

Odell Beckham Jr. – The Giants tried the brilliant strategy of not throwing to OBJ last week, it didn’t work. I expect him to get at least 40% of the targets in week 3. Rank: High-end WR1.

Sterling Shepard – Rank: Mid-level WR4.

Evan Engram – Rank: High-end TE2.

  • Prediction – Texans 27, Giants 23.

Chargers @ Rams

LAR

Jared Goff – Mid-level QB2.

Todd Gurley – The Chargers have allowed the seventh most points to opposing running backs, and this is Todd Gurley we’re talking about. Rank: High-end RB1.

Brandin Cooks – Rank: Mid-level WR2.

Robert Woods – Rank: Mid-level WR3.

Cooper Kupp – Rank: PPR WR3.

Rams D/ST – Unless you have the Vikings, Bears or Jaguars, just roll with the Rams and hope that their talent wins out.

LAC

Phillip Rivers – They have allowed the fewest points to quarterbacks and have yet to allow a passing touchdown. All that said, their matchups have been Derek Carr and Sam Bradford. Rank: Mid-level QB2.

Melvin Gordon – The matchup is tough but he will have a significant workload. Rank: Mid-level RB1.

Austin Ekeler – This should be a matchup where the Chargers are forced to throw more, which could increase Ekeler’s value. Rank: PPR RB3.

Keenan Allen – He could be saved by the fact that Talib and Peters rarely venture into the slot. Rank: High-end WR2.

  • Prediction – Rams 29, Chargers 24.

Bears @ Cardinals

ARIZONA

Sam Bradford – He’s not even the best quarterback on his own team.

David Johnson – We might have a Jeff Fisher situation with Steve Wilks. It takes a special type of mind to make one of the most talented running backs in the league look useless. Rank: Low-end RB1.

Larry Fitzgerald – Rank: Low end WR2 in PPR.

CHICAGO

Mitch Trubisky – Rank: Low-level QB2.

Jordan Howard – Howard could be in for a big game against a defense that has allowed the most points to running backs this season. Rank: High-end RB2/Low-end RB1.

Allen Robinson – He’s getting targets, but the matchup with Patrick Peterson is a tough one. Rank: High-end WR3.

Trey Burton – There is significant bust potential here, as the Bears might not throw enough for Burton to be relevant, but the Cardinals have allowed a tight end to score in each of their first two games. Rank: Low-end TE1.

Bears D/ST – Ummm…yeah!

  • Prediction – Bears 24, Cardinals 13.

Cowboys @ Seahawks

SEATTLE

Russell Wilson – Rank: Mid-to-low level QB1.

Seattle RBs – Rank: Low-end RB3s.

Tyler Lockett – The matchup with Byron Jones is a tough one. Rank: Low-level WR3.

Brandon Marshall – Mid-level WR4.

Will Dissly – Rank: Mid-level TE2.

DALLAS

Dak Prescott – His upside is too low right now for him to be considered anything but a middling QB2.

Ezekiel Elliot – Rank: High-end RB1.

Cole Beasley – Rank: PPR WR4.

Dallas D/ST – They are a top 10 option against a horrendous offensive line.

  • Prediction – Seahawks 22, Cowboys 20.

Patriots @ Lions

NEW ENGLAND

Tom Brady – Rank: High-end QB1.

Rex Burkhead – The Lions have already allowed 363 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns to opposing backs through two games. I expect Burkhead to get into the end zone at least once in this game. Rank: Back-end RB2.

James White – White is essentially the slot receiver until Edelman returns. He’s a solid RB3 in PPR.

Sony Michel – He is an interesting flyer against what is quite possibly the worst run defense in the league. Rank: Low-end RB3 (with upside).

Rob Gronkowski – Since 2012, in his 10 games following a sub-40 yard game, Gronk has scored 9 touchdowns while averaging 98.4 yards. Rank: TE1.

Chris Hogan – Rank: Low-end WR2/High-end WR3.

Josh Gordon – I don’t expect much from Gordon in his first game with the Patriots without a full week of practice, which means he will probably end up as the WR1. Rank: Low-level WR3.

  • Prediction – Patriots 34, Lions 24.

Steelers @ Buccaneers

TAMPA BAY

Ryan Fitzpatrick – The Steelers have allowed the second most points to quarterbacks and Ryan Fitzpatrick leads all quarterbacks in scoring – this is setting up nicely for a back-to-reality bust performance. Rank: Top 8 QB.

Peyton Barber – Rank: Back-end RB3.

Mike Evans – Rank: Mid-level WR1.

DeSean Jackson – Jackson has been on a tear to start the season, but he has a reputation of letting fantasy owners down for a reason. Rank: Mid-level WR3.

Chris Godwin – Rank: Mid-to-low level WR3.

O.J. Howard – The Steelers just got demolished by Travis Kelce. Howard doesn’t get enough targets to be a shoo-in TE1, but he certainly is a high-end TE2.

PITTSBURGH

Ben Roethlisberger – I don’t care that the Buccaneers have allowed the sixth most points to quarterbacks, I just don’t trust Big Ben on the road. Rank: High end QB2.

James Conner – Tampa Bay has allowed the fourth most points to running backs. Given Ben’s struggles on the road, this could be a big week for Conner once again. Rank: Mid-to-high level RB1.

Antonio Brown – After publicly expressing his displeasure on multiple occasions this week, I fully expect AB to receive somewhere near 20 targets. Rank: Top 3 WR.

JuJu Smith-Schuster – Rank: Mid-level WR2.

Jesse James – Rank: Mid-level TE2.

James Washington – Rank: High-upside WR5.

  • Prediction – Steelers 33, Buccaneers 28.

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (4) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

Dzehren's picture

Great analysis. Standard league- Tyler Lockett or Ted Ginn this week! Thanks

Jonathan Spader's picture

I'd start Locket over Ginn. Ginn is still dealing with a knee injury. Both are boom or bust players. With Baldwin still out Locket could have a good game.

Elisha Twerski's picture

I'd start Lockett. He received a 21% target share in week 2 and appears to be Wilson's top target. Ginn has higher upside but Lockett's the safer bet.

Dzehren's picture

Thanks guys- I’ll go with Lockett!

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