Cory's Corner: Running Backs Are On Life Support

There is still value to running backs — even though they constantly get overlooked. 

What is the value of a running back in today’s NFL? 

There are a lot of people that believe that the only way to consume professional football nowadays is by measuring how well the quarterbacks perform the aerial circus.

In 2002, Emmitt Smith’s cap number was $10.3 million, which was a big number when the salary cap was $71.101 million — 14.4 percent of the cap. Fast forward to 2011 and Adrian Peterson’s $12.7 million cap hit led all running backs and was 10.5 percent of the $120.3 million salary cap. 

For the upcoming 2023 season, Derrick Henry has a cap hit of $16.3 million — 13.8 percent of the salary cap. Aaron Jones has a cap hit of $8.1 million this year — 3.6 percent of the cap and A.J. Dillon is in the final year of his rookie contract, has a cap hit of $1.6 million and 0.74 percent of the cap. 

The numbers have nosedived, but I still think there is plenty of value in the running back position. If you get the right one, he can take handoffs, catch passes and also pick up unsuspecting blitzers. 

I have no idea what the future holds for this position. I grew up watching Smith, Barry Sanders and LaDainian Tomlinson. The position has been an art form for a long time but now it seems like front offices just want things painted a different way. 

The Giants were backed into a corner. The quarterback they drafted sixth overall in 2019 hasn’t proven that he can win games by himself yet. That’s why the Giants didn’t have a choice but to make their best offensive player upset by slapping the franchise tag on him. The franchise tag is such a joke for running backs that it’s over $9.5 million less than wide receivers. 

Is this the beginning of the end for running backs? I wrote a while back that fullbacks were dying. And while running backs will still find time as a marginal role on most teams, the only reason teams will lean more heavily on running backs will be if teams cannot be trusted with their stable of quarterbacks. 

I think this is a tipping point for teams and running backs. Teams have to decide between paying over $50 million a season for an elite quarterback or saving some of that cash to spend it on a running back that does multiple things — including helping his team own the time of possession battle. 

The average amount of money spent on running backs for 2023 is 4.28 of a team’s salary cap. The Packers have earmarked 5.77, good for ninth in the league. They are only one of 11 teams that are over the league average. 

Since defenses can barely defend the pass or touch the quarterback anymore, the passing game is only going to be more stressed. 

Successful teams will be the ones that are able to find balance in the running game with a league that has fallen in love with the pass.

 

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__________________________

Cory Jennerjohn is a graduate from UW-Oshkosh and has been in sports media for over 15 years. He was a co-host on "Clubhouse Live" and has also done various radio and TV work as well. He has written for newspapers, magazines and websites. He currently is a columnist for CHTV and also does various podcasts. He recently earned his Masters degree from the University of Iowa. He can be found on Twitter: @Coryjennerjohn

__________________________

6 points
 

Comments (42)

Fan-Friendly This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.
greengold's picture

July 18, 2023 at 06:20 am

“Balance.” The key word that keeps teams guessing. Forcing an opposing defense to play on their heels rather than their toes has merit.

We’ve all heard arguments for pass heavy attacks because they have higher yardage totals per play. Missing from many of those arguments is that the clock keeps spinning when you run the rock.

The longer you can keep an opponent’s high powered O pinned to their own sidelines, with long, time consuming drives utilizing a balanced attack, the fewer opportunities they will have to score.

Running the ball also opens up all of the play action passing concepts, while at the same time allowing your own defense time to rest.

The glory and accolades that “genius” OCs have heaved upon them come from pass heavy attacks. This has been the case going back decades.

Balance helps teams WIN.

It’s a great article, Cory! I’m not going to get into the pay scales like you did, but agree the position has been devalued in favor of the sexy passing game numbers.

For years I’ve felt the Packers were making the game of football much harder than it needed to be, because we were always passing.

Winning games is all that matters. Scoring the most points in a game is all that matters. Running the ball - augments - explosive plays in the passing game. Plus, OL love teeing off on opposing DL in run blocking.

I want it all, unapologetically, and we can have that by giving our RBs a combined total of 25-30 rushing attempts per game. At a minimum.

The smart play for GB in 2023 is to prevent the forever ears-pinned-back pass rush of our opponents we’ve known for years from occurring at all with a balanced run-pass game for Jordan Love in his first year at QB1.

How many games have the Packers lost with Jones & Dillon (or Williams) splitting fewer than 20 touches? A lot.

Balance.

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ReaganRulz's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:29 am

Well said GG!! Thankful that we have two very good backs to help our offense get its footing. Imagine if we didn’t. Yikes.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:52 am

RR, I'd like to see the roster start with 4 RBs. Goodson is a "type" like #33, and Taylor like Quadzilla. If both prove that they're a big step below then FO knows and can plan to pay them to stick around.

I think there will be situations early in the season we can play them enough to find out. Then as JL10 gets comfortable and starts finding open targets, swap for more WRs.

I'm not predicting the team will actually do anything like this, but I'd like to see it. We also need to see if anybody can fill DB69's shoes. I don't know next year's cap situation, it it will even be possible to keep all three, but these are a few positions that really need to be explored.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:46 am

GG, I think that part of the unstated reason for the excitement this year can finally be said in response to this article:

in a copycat league, GB can break the mold, kill the sacred cow, and have a great steak dinner. Players on their rookie contract still make over a million per year, but not $50MM. Some positions will get paid more for not working any harder than a RB, but don't need to be sold on taking a pay "cut" in order to have a good team.

How will this shake out next year? Over the coming decade? Lamar Jackson got a HUGE contract with no agent. The collective bargaining agreement is spelling out more and more, leaving less reason to pay an agent. I don't know how much they're paid but I assume they're all between 10 - 25%. What if GB players all decide they don't need no stinking agents, and the CBA sets their pay just fine? Well in that case a large part of the "magic" Belichek created comes to GB.

I'm not predicting this will actually happen, but none of the players are exactly poor. And there's still plenty of (every type of) motivation to pursue excellence and make the roster, not just the PS.

GB can also revive the fullback position, even if they want to call it TE. There are just SO MANY ways to innovate, and this year. I think MLF might have this sort of ability?

3 points
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coolhand's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:25 am

" I don't know how much they're paid but I assume they're all between 10 - 25%."

I read a little while back that Spofford on packers.com stated agents get 3%. I thought that was low myself.

I am wondering how Dan Coryell would do in this age of pro football. He had Air Coryell tearing up the league when you could actually play defense, but he never did win a Super Bowl, but it sure was fun to watch.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

July 19, 2023 at 04:21 am

The NFLPA limits agents to 3% and 1.5% is not that uncommon. Agents are allowed to and do earn more on endorsement deals, which can run 15 to 20%. The agent has to find a client - there is more work for an endorsement than a contract.

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greengold's picture

July 18, 2023 at 10:05 am

Exactly. We might just pull it off too, killing that sacred cow and hitting up some prime eats to celebrate. You know, where EVERYBODY eats.

I kind of want to expand on your FB offering a bit in this discussion on how undervalued the running game has become in today's NFL.

Man, Don Coryell and Bill Walsh were the spearhead of the WCO that swept the NFL in it's prominence back in the day, cementing the notion of an "offensive genius."

Interestingly, Coryell got the Chargers job in 1978 after an embarrassing loss to our Packers!

"Air Coryell," was born. Kellen Winslow was a legendary TE in Coryell's system. Both WRs John Jefferson & Charlie Joiner had 1000+ yd seasons each with QB Dan Fouts becoming legendary himself, breaking Joe Namath's single season passing record with 4082 yds that year.

FFWD a couple years to 1980 when the Chargers really got cooking...

Fouts 348 completions on 589 attempts for 4715 yds, 30 TDs and 24 INT.

Charger FBs & RBs split 451 carries for 1765 yds. FB Chuck Muncie with 135 att for 659 yds in his rookie year. RB Mike Thomas 118 for 484. FB John Cappelletti 101 for 364. RB Clarence Williams 97 for 258.

Balance.

Bill Walsh's 49ers won the Super Bowl just a year later, in 1981 with roughly the same run-pass balance exhibited by Air Coryell (488 att by Joe Montana, 480 carries split between 4 RBs and 1 FB).

The game has changed since. Significantly.

2021 Packers: Jones/Dillon 358 combined attempts to Rodgers' 531. Somebody won... MVP.

2020 Packers: Jones/Williams/Dillon 366 combined attempts to Rodgers' 526. Somebody won... MVP.

Those vaunted air attacks by the TRUE GENIUSES who invented them also ran the football in a balanced attack, utilizing both FBs & RBs.

Want more proof? Throw Mike Shanahan in there. 1997's Super Bowl winning Broncos: RB Terrell Davis 369 attempts led Broncos RBs and FBs to a total of 452 carries. John Elway had 502 passing attempts.

Again, BALANCE.

Personally, I've been hoping for a return to more run-pass balance on O so that we can win more Super Bowls. For years. Maybe now we get that.

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stockholder's picture

July 18, 2023 at 06:53 am

Game Changers will always be in demand.
Balance won't have anything to do with that.
If a guy can't be stopped, you feed him.
The 2 minute drill; is why we've gotten away from Rbs.
Clock management has more to do with running game.
Then wearing down a defense now.
And you just can't go pass, with a yard to go.
So who cares about Balance.
The secondary's can't cover everyone.
And thats pretty obvious on how much a WR makes.

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Coldworld's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:20 am

You hit the nail on the head: game changers will always be paid by some one. The problem RBs face is longevity and offensive designs that facilitate opportunities not make it harder for them (as arguably ours has of late).

As we all know, the NFL goes in cycles, but it’s not likely that the run disappears and as defenses shift focus, good backs will start making teams pay more and stand out more from their peers. Getting it done gets players paid. Smith may have played in an area when the scales tilted the other way, but I expect a gradual tilt back towards RBs somewhat as defenses open doors and offensive minds exploit the on the ground opportunities.

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T7Steve's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:17 am

I think that if a running back is figured in the passing game as a legitimate receiving threat, not just an emergency dump-off or extended running play, they should be considered for the franchise tag like a receiver. Doesn't the same thing happen to outside linebackers and edge rushers?

The NFL and the union screwed these guys. I get why the NFL doesn't want to guaranty big contracts to the position because of injuries, but because of their shortened careers, running backs should get paid up front to begin with. How many don't make it to their second contract due to injury or the comity system?

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:58 am

Yup. This is an example of democracy being two wolves and a sheep voting on what's for dinner. There are simply more WRs and O linemen than there are RBs.

I can see the sense of a RB not being guaranteed a huge amount because of the likelihood of not being able to play due to injury, but performance bonuses should reward their production on par with guys who don't take nearly the hits.

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Johnblood27's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:51 am

I wrote this before in pretty good detail, so I summarize here.

The NFLPA isnt doing the players as a group much good at all.

The huge mega contracts for just a handful of their members while there is a salary cap in place just guarantees that some players - a significant number - will be forced to be under valued.

The union should be working towards a max contract system to free up salary cap monies for more of their members. You know, kinda like working for everyone instead of supporting a system that uber rewards QBs and undervalues other important members of a team.

The hard cap is a fact of life and is just plain economics, the percentage allocated to players is negotiated tooth and nail, the total take is always scrutinized and allowed for. There is a floor that teams MUST spend. Somewhere in the near future there needs to be a team/position based compensation plan that pays starters allocated portions of the cap. I just do not like the hybrid socialist/capitalist mechanisms that the NFLPA operates under.

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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:02 am

John, this does almost feel like advocating for communism but the income disparity among millionaires is really very far away from anything communism can intrude upon. A QB doesn't need to be paid $50MM while the team can't afford a veteran FA for $5MM.

Hopefully everybody will agree it's all screwed up.

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greengold's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:06 am

So true, JB.

Look no further (yet, sadly, you most certainly can go much further back) than the Ravens of 2012 and their Super Bowl winning team. Who rightfully deserved a bigger share of the salary pie?

QB Joe Flacco - Average Annual Salary $20M
RB Ray Rice - - Average Annual Salary $7M - 2-Time All-Pro, 3-Time Pro Bowl
S Ed Reed Jr. - Average Annual Salary $5.7M - 5-Time All-Pro, 9-Time Pro-Bowll, 2004 DPOY, Pro Football HOF

This disparity is adversely affecting the game, and has been for years prior to this example. Too much money being allocated to one position, regardless of comparative corresponding level of play at the players' respective positions.

Success in the NFL shouldn't breed competitive imbalance. Yet, that's been a big part of the Packers woes for years, with AR's salary demands in a ubiquitously unfair market. Preposterous. Was Joe Flacco worth 3-4 times more than Ray Rice or Ed Reed???

WOW!

Both the RB and Safety positions are today being marginalized. I miss great Safety play, which we haven't seen in Green Bay since Nick Collins. And, we have TWO great RBs to immerse more broadly into our offense.

This example was literally picking a cherry off the tree with my eyes closed. For whatever reason I looked up this Ravens team yesterday... thinking about one of my favorite WRs, Anquan Boldin, and how evenly balanced John Harbaugh's team was, and how he allocated touches in run-pass.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

July 19, 2023 at 05:10 am

First, this is a function of how unions work. Players in college entering the NFL are not represented. They have no vote. So, the CBA is hammered out between the owners and players already in the NFL. I'd also note that veterans, including highly paid guys like Aaron Rodgers, hated the new CBA and voted against it. One thing the expensive vets hated were the penalties for hold outs or not reporting on time and the Franchise tag rules. It was players in years 1 to 3 that liked the new deal, with its improved health, education and pension benefits, and it significantly increases the minimum salaries for players with 1 to 3 years of experience.

Fans want to see points. The NFL changed the rules to make it a passing league. So QB and WR salaries have skyrocketed. Edge rushers make a ton for the inverse reason. An awful lot of players including interior defensive linemen have seen the light and work for sacks and pressures while leaving the two-gapping to some later round guy. I personally think Kenny Clark saw that light and let his run defense regress. NTs don't make as much as DEs or even DTs. Dexter Lawrence got paid $22M, but he had 28 QB hits (a number Kenny Clark can only dream about as Clark's career high is 13). Vita Vea makes $17M and he is a monster in the middle.

Don't forget that revenue sharing and a hard cap are necessary for the continued existence of the Green Bay Packers, and perhaps for as many as eight other teams.

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greengold's picture

July 19, 2023 at 05:59 am

Great share, TGR. Thanks.

Your point of NT values dropping is in line with the NFL’s rule changes making this a passing league. SS, FB and RB all seeing their values drop.

SicSemperTyrannis made mention of the script flipping at some point there, and I agree. Law of averages.

At some point, a good, solid, dedicated run heavy team will have its way with the light boxes & lightweights built to stop the pass.

I hope that team is us.

PS. Now is as good a time as any to ask, has anyone seen FB Henry Pearson’s team photo at packersdotcom?

You’re welcome. LOL.

The Packers can pretty much do whatever the hell they want this year. They’re playing with house money. Maybe they do actually keep 4 RBs in a dedicated running assault… one of those, a FB?

Many NFL defenses are leaving that door wide open. Glad we took steps to shore our own run D up this off-season.

I cannot wait to see the 6-5 338 NT Jonathan Ford working the nose for the Packers this season, with an entire year’s development under his belt.

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Thegreatreynoldo's picture

July 19, 2023 at 07:04 am

I should note that player benefits are about $600,000 per player per year. It is really more than that, but I am including 16 practice squad players who get some benefits (healthy insurance, for example), but in reality quite a bit of the $50M or so each club spends on player benefits each year is confined to guys who make the roster and are on it for more than a season. In 2022, the NFL spent roughly $2 billion on player benefits (not a part of the salary cap).

Players have to play 3 seasons to earn a pension. A player must be on an NFL 53-man roster to earn credit for one season. So, 9 games on a roster evenly divided between 3 years gets you a pension that starts at 55 (and can be accessed earlier or later with penalties or enhancements). The average pension is $43K per year, but that's because so many of them are for players who only played a couple of seasons.

The NFL runs annuity plans and a 401K plan to which the players can contribute and a different 401k plan (2nd Career Plan) which the NFL matches 2 dollars for every dollar contributed (couldn't find the max though).

Anyway, I always wondered if that's why so many players hang around the NFL for try outs, or even on PS squads, though $216K per year for the PS is explanation enough for the PS.

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The_Baloney_Stops_Here's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:51 am

In an era where top QB's are making $50 mil/yr and WR/LT's are making $30 mil/yr, cuts have to be made somewhere. Unfortunately, running backs have become the sacrificial limb.

7 points
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SicSemperTyrannis's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:03 am

Ah yes, the ol' sacrificial limb trick, 99! Lol

5 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:39 am

‘Tis but a scratch.

4 points
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dobber's picture

July 18, 2023 at 12:53 pm

You're a loony!

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TKWorldWide's picture

July 18, 2023 at 04:06 pm

A loony who wants….
ANOTHER SHRUBBERY!!

2 points
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greengold's picture

July 18, 2023 at 06:01 pm

Loon-Ni! Get one that looks nice… and not too expensive.

2 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:47 pm

Yes!!
I could do this all day!
Thanks for playing along, boys!

3 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

July 18, 2023 at 07:59 am

I think another factor is that there are so many good ones available in the draft, and teams do not necessarily have to spend an early choice on them. Jones was a 5th. Kamara was a 3rd, Pacheco from KC was a 7th.

When it comes time for a second contract, teams have to consider paying big $ for a proven guy who’s probably taken a beating, or drafting a young, inexpensive healthy running back.

Don’t get me wrong: I am a big fan of running backs. I saw Billy Sims dang near single handedly transform Detroit from 2-14 to 9-7 and a playoff berth. All my buddies and I worshipped Earl Campbell. I miss that era a lot!

GB is in great shape with 33 and 28 and whichever RB they keep as a #3 will be at least “pretty good” as well. GB does a decent job avoiding overuse by splitting the workload. IF 28 does NOT get a second contract, I think it’ll have more to do with the whole $ vs value issue rather than a negative on his play.

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PatrickGB's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:05 am

And yet there are plenty of RB’s who come into the league. The supply is there. Unless that number dwindles, or the quality drops (good ones become hard to find), we will see this trend continue.

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mrtundra's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:09 am

What gets underrated, IMO, is the ability of our RBs as pass catchers. Yes, pounding the rock with Jones and Dillon is great, especially in the red zone, but how much of that has been done lately? I want to see more running the ball in the red zone.I want us to use up as much clock, as we can, by running the bal, when we have the lead. I want to see more wheel routes from our RBs and then I want to see more of them used in pass protection, as well. We have two great backs in GB. Let's use them to move the chains and to score points when the play calls for it. Our OL can open up holes, so let's use that to our advantage. We drafted one RB, this past draft, in Lew Nichols,III. We drafted 5 WRs and TEs, in the same draft and picked up 4 more WRs and TEs as UDFAs. That might tell you something.

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TxFred's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:14 am

The real enemy of running backs are the quarterbacks. QB's don't get the silly-ass league MVP award handing the ball off. 2nd enemy is the league & union are getting away from the much despised basic tackling. Shoulder pads optional. Sickening.

4 points
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ricky's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:33 am

The NFL had made a conscious effort to make the passing game the key to the offense. The rules changes that have made it more difficult for DB's to cover WR's was a start. Then, when tackling, you have to be very precise about where you hit a QB, or you get called for "roughing." The OL now can pretty much legally hold the DL, with only the most blatant infractions being called. And, as noted, RB's are a position that takes a terrible beating. Add in the effect of Todd Gurley and Zeke Elliott getting big contracts, and then getting hurt, and teams are very wary of paying too much for a position that, also as previously noted, can be filled with cheaper alternatives through the draft. The game has changed, and it's not likely to be reverting to "three yards and a cloud of dust" in the future.

4 points
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TKWorldWide's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:13 am

Yes! Also Le’Veon Bell. It’s a business. Is Derrick Henry still valuable*? Or is he on the downside after taking a beating and missing some games?

*there is “value” in terms of contributing on the field, and there is “value” in terms of contract money. The twain don’t always meet.

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BuckyBadger's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:26 am

People make too much of this and it isn't complicated. It is all about supply and demand along with who is really important in the run game. We just saw Philly let their RB go who had a very good year because they knew they can replace him and would rather keep the OL together. RBs are a dime a dozen. You can draft them late and teams replace big name guys all the time and barely miss a beat. Paying Jones and drafting AJ high wasn't the best move for the Packers, to many top resources in a position that can be replaced on the cheap. With the money and the high pick they still don't dominate in the run game.

RBs get hurt a lot and can be easily replaced, why would any GM pay them?

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dobber's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:58 am

Agreed. The primary runner in Philly and in Baltimore (and in Chicago) is the QB. RBs might tally more touches, but the QBs score the chunk plays. That's the player that scares opposing DCs, and they make RBs complementary players.

"With the money and the high pick they still don't dominate in the run game."

I'm certainly not the first to say it, but I think becoming a proficient/dominant run team will have a lot to do with how they fare in 2023. During the LaFleur/Rodgers era and despite the investment in the position, the Packers were 15th in run play pct in 2022, 16th in 2021, 11th in 2020, 17th in 2019...that's on mostly winning teams that you'd think might tend to run more protecting leads. The Packers have been a ball-control offense under LaF, but that's mostly due to draining play clocks and throwing short routes to the perimeter.

-1 points
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Oppy's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:30 am

" The Packers have earmarked 5.77, good for ninth in the league. They are only one of 11 teams that are over the league average. "

This sentence illustrates why it's important to know the difference between mean (average) and median, and how understanding which concept to use in a given context can add clarity as opposed to muddying the waters.

-1 points
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dobber's picture

July 18, 2023 at 09:43 am

I think there are a lot of reasons why RB salaries are depressed and individual RB are devalued compared to other positions...some are alluded to above. Just to to throw some out...
1. High injury rate
2. Short average NFL careers
3. High supply (replaceable)
4. Low use (most teams don't put more than one on the field)
5. Lack of bell-cow runners and use of situational/rotational players limit snaps
6. High dependence on OL play (OL play tends to make or break the RB)
7. Passing-oriented offensive schemes

What drives tag numbers and average contract value by position is the ability of players to get past that rookie contract and start making big money. The beating RBs take (short careers) and the point of good RB being held up by good OLs (and--as a result--the backups look good, too, as most FFL-ers know) leads to a lack of desire to invest big $$. Remember that the setting of tag numbers is dictated by the highest-earning guys at those positions...so it's a self-sustaining cycle.

"Teams have to decide between paying over $50 million a season for an elite quarterback or saving some of that cash to spend it on a running back that does multiple things. "

If you need to buy your teenage kid a car to drive to school, you don't pay $40k just because the more expensive cars available are $40k--you look for the most economical way to meet your needs knowing your kid's probably going to beat the crap out of the car. The more your kid needs to drive, the better and more reliable (more expensive) car you get. That might be mitigated by your ability to service the car yourself. The salary cap creates a zero-sum game for teams. I would argue RBs are not on life support, it's figuring what your offense needs and supports...needs are being balanced by what modern play looks like. They aren't going away--certainly the Red Gun and Silver Stretch offenses of the 80s and 90s couldn't push them out of the game. An elite RB is still an important weapon, but the economics of football and modern play have made them more "plug-and-play" than in the past.

2 points
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13TimeChamps's picture

July 18, 2023 at 10:24 am

I don't think the importance of the running back position itself is being diminished. A balanced attack will always be an integral part of offenses in the NFL. It's just that running backs themselves are so easily replaceable. It's probably the easiest position to go from college to the pros, but also has the shortest shelf life in the NFL. There will always be young, cheaper options available, which allows teams to spend less on the position.

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TarynsEyes's picture

July 18, 2023 at 10:39 am

RB's are more vital to a team whose Defense can stop the pass, or at least hold it to a reasonable limit. If you can't stop the pass, your run game is essentially moot, as running the ball cannot compete with the speed of the passing game.

The Packers defense has an above average success against the pass, so the run game is valuable. The value of the run game for Love, and the team as a whole on Offense, will depend on the success against the pass by the Defense. A run game simply cannot go toe-to-toe with a quick play scoring pass game. There just isn't enough time or plays to make it a contest, in the NFL of today. The odds for run use, and success, is against an opponent of the same ilk, whether Offensive mindset or pass game deficiency of players.

I find it hard to listen to fans complain about what they help create at the expense of the RB position. You wanted and cheer for the pass, a video game. Can't complain when a team pays average QB's, and lesser, high dollar to throw the ball, and not pay the RB.

2 points
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Vachio's picture

July 18, 2023 at 11:18 am

It's pure economics. When you can get similar production out of lower priced players, it only makes sense to do so. For example, AJ Dillon and Kahlil Herbert combined for roughly the same rushing yards as Derrick Henry. Their combined salaries for 2022 were about $2 million. Coaches and GMs know they can get solid backs out of any draft (even late in the draft) or off the scrap heap who will at least be able to get a high percentage of that star RB production without the star RB price. Would I take 85-90% of the $14 million RB's production for only $2 million? All day, every day. RB is one of the few positions where this is true, which is unfortunate for the star running backs. If I were a veteran RB, I would come to the table with a moderate contract that included a ton of incentives to push the value way up given a monster performance.

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Coach Cleve Steamer's picture

July 18, 2023 at 11:22 am

Aaron Rodgers makes about $50 million. Kirk Cousins about $35 mil. Dalvin Cook is a free agent looking to get paid. Will J Jefferson get A $30 million contract next year? Might as well keep running backs for a max 4-5 years (Fran. tag), and keep paying qb’s, offensive and defensive linemen. Look at the LA Rams. They suck after buying a Super Bowl team for one year. It seems a team needs a top 10 qb, lots of luck, and the team’s best players are in their prime to get the trophy. Excellent coaching helps.

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dobber's picture

July 18, 2023 at 12:50 pm

"Aaron Rodgers makes about $50 million."

His AAVs are that high, but I think the highest cap hit he's ever scored has been about $34M. His 2022 cap hit was just under $30M, and his cap hit for the Jets this year is only about $2M (although he carries a big dead money hit with the Packers). His 2024 hit is just under $38M.

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10ve 💚's picture

July 18, 2023 at 04:19 pm

"For the upcoming 2023 season, Derrick Henry has a cap hit of $16.3 million — 13.8 percent of the salary cap. Aaron Jones has a cap hit of $8.1 million this year — 3.6 percent of the cap "

Yes, Cory has done it again!
I thought every team has the same CAP limit. Looks like the Titans are limited to $118 million, while the Packers are allowed a CAP of $225 million..... at least, by Cory's math.

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greengold's picture

July 18, 2023 at 06:12 pm

No one told me there would be math today…

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Johnblood27's picture

July 18, 2023 at 08:10 pm

It just doesn't add up.

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