Ranking Brian Gutekunst’s First Round Picks

The 2024 NFL Draft will be the seventh for Green Bay Packers GM Brian Gutekunst. In the previous six drafts, he has selected eight players in the first round. But which of those players has paid off most for the Pack? Here is our ranking of Brian Gutekunst’s eight first round picks based on their impact on the Packers thus far:

Number Eight: Lukas Van Ness

Van Ness is at the bottom of the list mostly because he’s only played one season and it’s too soon to truly assess his impact.

Van Ness played in all 17 games as a rookie and recorded four sacks and eight tackles for loss. He also made 32 total tackles.

The potential is there for Van Ness to make progress and take on a larger role in his second NFL season.

Number Seven: Eric Stokes

Stokes had a great rookie season in 2021. He started 14 games after injuries hit in the secondary and broke up 14 passes while intercepting one.

Unfortunately, Stokes’ play fell off in his second season. Opposing quarterbacks completed 80 percent of their passes when throwing to receivers covered by Stokes in his second season after completing just 49.5 in his first.

Stokes missed the second half of the 2022 season and 14 games of the 2023 season with injuries. His career is at a crossroads now as he tries to get back to his rookie form.

Number Six: Devonte Wyatt

Wyatt has started a total of five games in his two seasons with the Pack with all of them coming in 2023. The former Georgia star recorded 5.5 sacks last season and has seven for his career. He also made six tackles for loss.

Wyatt showed flashes of living up to his first-round status but needs to be more consistent.

This year, Wyatt and the rest of the defensive line will have to adjust to Jeff Hafley’s four-man front and new defensive system. How well Wyatt does that will determine his impact going forward.

Number Five: Darnell Savage

Savage became a starter right away for the Packers after they drafted him in 2019. He played his best football during the second half of the 2020 season when he and Adrian Amos played at a Pro Bowl level.

Unfortunately for Savage, he never found the consistency to take him game to the next level. It may have been partially due to poor or inconsistent usage by the coaching staff. They never really found the right role for the Maryland alum.

At times, he played well but at others, he looked lost. Savage missed too many tackles and assignments but also made some big plays like his pick six against the Vikings in 2022 and in the playoffs against Dallas last season.

The Packers let him go via free agency this offseason and he signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Number Four: Quay Walker

Walker started from day one and he’s led the team in tackles both seasons he’s been with the team. He even had a pick six this season to go along with 2.5 sacks.

The one thing lacking from Walker has been big plays. Walker makes tackles but to get to the next level, he will need to make more big plays and become a real impact player.

He should have more opportunities in Hafley’s new defense and after the departure of De’Vondre Campbell via free agency.

Number Three: Rashan Gary

Gary started off deep on the depth chart after the Packers signed both Preston and Za’Darius Smith as free agents the year they drafted him. Each year, Gary improved in his first three seasons before he suffered a season-ending knee injury midway through the 2022 season.

Gary returned this season and recorded nine sacks despite being on a play count for the first half of the year.

Gutekunst signed Gary to an extension last year so he will be part of the team for the next few years. He has had one of the better pass rush win rates in the league when he’s on the field. If he returns to full health, Gary could earn Pro Bowl honors for the first time next season.

Number Two: Jordan Love

After sitting behind Aaron Rodgers for three seasons, Love became the starter in 2023 and took the youngest team in the league to the playoffs after a slow start.

Love finished the year with 32 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions including 18 scoring tosses and just one interception in the final eight games. The former Utah State star made adjustments and got more adept at reading defenses. His decision making improved, and he and his young receivers developed excellent chemistry.

Love looks like he could be the team’s next great quarterback, following in the footsteps of Rodgers and Brett Favre. He’s second on the list because of the impact the quarterback position has.  Love could be higher on this list if he puts together another elite season or two.

Number One: Jaire Alexander

Alexander has earned two Pro Bowl berths since the Packers drafted him in 2018 and he has become a shut down corner when he’s healthy.

Ja’Money is confident, brash, and fast. When he’s on his game, he can take away some of the best receivers in the game.

Last season, he was limited to seven games due to injuries and a one-game suspension for conduct detrimental to the team.

If he stays healthy and gets back on track, he could return to elite cornerback status in 2024. At 27, he will be in the prime of his career.

 

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Comments (21)

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 01:10 pm

Wyatt had a better 2nd season than Walker. Has a lot of work to do vs the run but had a very good year as a pass rusher. If he works on finishing he's a top 10 3T.

https://twitter.com/DaireCarragher/status/1742965955221676338?t=uRKV7X6p...

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Coldworld's picture

April 06, 2024 at 04:45 pm

Looking forward to see how the defensive picks look a year from now. Clear out the Barry approach and mindset and see what difference that makes.

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splitpea1's picture

April 06, 2024 at 01:18 pm

The front office's real expertise seems to be in selecting offensive players during the Gute-Hendrickson tenure. Look at some of the later round WRs the past couple years and the excellent values in drafting O-lineman Jenkins, Tom, and Walker.

Of the seven defensive players listed, five were generally in line with their respective PFF big board rankings. Only Quay at #45 and Stokes at #72 were not. Stokes was a significant reach, especially when you consider "suspect technician" appeared multiple times in his scouting reports. Still he had that great first season; but the combination of injuries, ill-suited schemes, and over reliance on athleticism has turned his career into a question mark. Note: PFF boards aren't always the gospel, as I noticed our old friend Josh Jackson was ranked #8 in 2018--oops!

Overall the defensive selections were mostly reasonable, but in some cases could have been better. And then you have to throw in the issue of past coordination into the mix, mucking things up somewhat. But I still think the front office could use a little more expertise and fine tuning when it comes to assessing defensive talent--IMHO, maybe a bit more emphasis on physicality and sound tackling skills when they're ready to join the pros.

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Leatherhead's picture

April 06, 2024 at 01:29 pm

Alexander has been a good pick, but I wish we had taken Lamar Jackson instead.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 06, 2024 at 01:47 pm

Travis Jones-U Conn-was the DT we should have drafted in 2022 instead of Wyatt. Jones was a better run stopper which is precisely what our defense has been missing. 6'4 325 lbs and ran 4.92 40 @ Combine. Jones was also available in the 3rd round. In hindsight GB would have better off spending Wyatt's pick @ #28 on Christian Watson. That would have saved the disastrous trade up that cost both of our 2nd round picks that year.

I am not saying that to knock Watson as he was a TOP 5 WR for me in 2022. It's just that we reached for both Walker and Wyatt, and then overpaid to come back up for Watson anyway. Watson would have been a better value and need filler @ #28. Travis Jones could have been taken with our last pick in the 2nd round. He has started for the Ravens from Day 1.

Devin Lloyd should have been picked over Walker as well. Oh well, it's great to nitpick after the fact but those were my choices back then.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 06, 2024 at 04:31 pm

Jones is a good run stuffer but Wyatt has been leaps and bounds better as a pass rusher. Jones hasn't been a starter for Baltimore; 322 snaps in '22 and 453 last year. He's not on the field on passing downs. In a 4-3 a pass rushing 3T is about the most important player on the defense and Wyatt is shaping up to be a good one. I wanted Jones too and was disappointed when they took Wyatt. I'm not anymore.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 07, 2024 at 10:00 am

Pass rushing from a DT is a bonus LL. A strong run stopper is what we are lacking. a big guy that consumes 2 blockers and gums up the middle. That's why I liked Jones.

I am encouraged to think Wyatt and the whole Defense will flourish under Hafley.

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LLCHESTY's picture

April 07, 2024 at 11:48 am

Negative, a pass rushing 3T DT is essential to having a good 4-3 defense.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 08, 2024 at 08:15 am

Aren't you one of the guys that wants Devondre Sweat to be a GB Packer because of his ability to negate the run? We already have multiple DTs who can also rush the passer.

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jannes bjornson's picture

April 06, 2024 at 06:24 pm

I maintain Watson at #22 and keep both in rd two. There was TE need and a good crew available rds two-four..Bellinger, Jake Ferguson was right in front of their noses, McBride. I like Abe Lucas, rd two to be the RT, but no complaints with hitting on Tom. I was backing Devin Lloyd as the other one, but I thought Wyatt played the best of the Georgia front. He reminded me of Sapp. Let this guy loose inside. T. Sweat will take out the other two guys.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 06, 2024 at 06:59 pm

It's way too early to count Wyatt out. My expectation for anyone picked in the first round is to be a starter or at least a big contributor. Barry held Wyatt back as much as anything his first year.

My first 2 picks that year still would have been Devin Lloyd and Christian Watson We did hit some home runs later in that draft in Toms and Walker. I am holding out hope for Rhyan, but the clock is ticking.

Wyatt was a great player on a great team, every player @ Georgia has realistic goals of NFL stardom. U Conn was not a great team and thus Travis Jones did what he did on his own, facing double teams constantly. Wyatt did not.

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barutanseijin's picture

April 06, 2024 at 04:13 pm

Other than Love and Alexander, a big bowl of meh. Considering that he took so long to develop, Gary was a poor value at no 12, even if he turned out to be a decent player. I wouldn’t have cared if the Bears or Vikings had drafted the rest of them.

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Bearmeat's picture

April 07, 2024 at 08:09 am

That’s a little harsh. Gary has been very good. Not as good as Burns it’s true. But very good.

Love alone makes Gutes career as a gm a success. Alexander has been great overall.

You can say that stokes Wyatt and Walker aren’t living up to potential yet. That’s fair. You can’t call them a big bowl of meh at this point without sounding ridiculous.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 06, 2024 at 09:34 pm

I picked Lloyd and Watson that year as well!

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Bearmeat's picture

April 07, 2024 at 08:10 am

Any list of successes that doesn’t start with the franchise qb at the top isn’t quite right.

Love
Alexander
Gary
Walker
Wyatt
Stokes
LVN

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murf7777's picture

April 07, 2024 at 09:27 am

#1 is Jordan Love, and it’s not even close. QB is the toughest & most important position to play in football. What he did the last 9 games of the year was just short of phenomenal.

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golfpacker1's picture

April 07, 2024 at 10:04 am

We have had great success the last 2 years in the draft, but I think 2024 will be the best ever because this years draftees will take us over the top.
GPG

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Starrbrite's picture

April 07, 2024 at 04:23 pm

Yes indeed

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golfpacker1's picture

April 07, 2024 at 05:23 pm

So, I am curious, did you 2 losers downvote me because:

A-I talked about the great success we had in the last 2 drafts?

B-That I said the 2024 Draft will be our best ever?

C-Did you not like GO PACK GO?

I got a feeling who you 2 are. Downvote me for "GET A LIFE", Go Be Bears Fans!!!

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Starrbrite's picture

April 07, 2024 at 01:08 pm

It’s a decent list, but I have difficulty placing Savage anywhere in the top ten. His drop of the INT and certain (likely game winning TD) vs San Fran finalized my thoughts about him. He reminds me of MVS—1 step forward and 3 steps backwards.
Go Packers!!!

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CanPackFan's picture

April 09, 2024 at 02:03 pm

Unfortunately, I think Stokes may go the way of King. Both 1st round picks with far too many injuries. Gutes cannot keep him on standard 5th yesr contract options. A 2 year extension on team friendlier terms is the only way to keep him and likely the only way he'll be employed in the NFL with reasonable money.

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