Why Green Bay Will Beat the Lions and Why it Might Not

Why Green can beat the Lions and why it might not 

Last week Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers gave us a road win finally and one last solid memory from 2018 as he pulled off an impressive 15-point comeback.

It was against the Jets, but still, it was pretty spectacular and the touchdown pass to Davante Adams to win it was the cherry on top.

That game tells you something about Aaron Rodgers. He might seem like a guy with a bad attitude, however, when the chips are down, he never gives up. 

Everyone talked about how meaningless that game was against the Jets. But it meant something to Rodgers and it should. I don't think people realize how hard it is to win a professional football game or a football game of any kind. 

It was also a much better week for the fans and everyone who follows the Packers has to feel better about 1-7 on the road instead of 0-8. It's amazing what a win can do, so imagine how good two in a row would feel?

With Detroit coming to Lambeau Field, the Packers should be motivated. No one wants to get swept by Detroit and you can bet this team wants payback for the loss earlier in the season. Plus it's a division game and the final home game, so I expect a motivated Packers team.

So let's get into why Green Bay might win and why it might not.

Why the Packers will win

Both the Packers and Lions started playing out the string last week and while Detroit was somewhat competitive against Minnesota, it wasn't a great showing. The Lions are thin at wide receiver and running back. 

Detroit scored 31 points in the first win over Gren Bay but since then, the Lions have reached 30 points twice. In their last five games, the offense has been horrendous. Detroit hasn't scored even 20 points in any of those games and averages 14.5. So the Green Bay defense should have a field day. 

On that same note, it could be the final game as a Packer for Clay Matthews, who will certainly want to go out with a win. The same can be said for Randall Cobb is he is able to go. Others will be competing for jobs and it looks like there will be plenty available.

Both teams are dealing with tons of injuries and playing young guys. But it's a competitive game both teams want to win. I think Rodgers will play well and on the other side of the field, Matthew Stafford will battle it out, he just won't have enough.

Why the Packers could lose

If the Packers are disinterested or Rodgers suffers some kind of injury that knocks him out of the game, Detroit can win. The other way is if Stafford just had a great performance. This game really comes down to Rodgers and Stafford. Whichever quarterback plays better will probably earn a win for this team and with the recent evidence as long as Stafford's lack of weapons, that should be Rodgers and Green Bay. 

Rodgers and company want to win and end the season on a positive note. They will want to win for Joe Philbin and Mike Pettine and in the end, unless Stafford plays out of his own or the game turns into a slopfest, the Packers should find a way. . 

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Chris is a sports journalist from Montana and has been blogging about the Packers since 2011. Chris has been a staff writer for CheeseheadTV since 2017 and looks forward to the day when Aaron Rodgers wins his second Super Bowl. Follow him @thepackersguru

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Comments (30)

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GBPDAN1's picture

December 30, 2018 at 05:40 am

Playing a meaningless game for the season final is somewhat depressing. I know we should be charged up to beat a division rival, but I would be more pumped up if it was the Bears or ViQueens that we were playing. Sigh

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Coldworld's picture

December 30, 2018 at 07:40 am

I truly don’t care what the score is. To me, a win would be improved play from individuals and experience gained for others. Let Rodgers play the first half and then go from there. If Adams is fit, let him get his record catch and then play the rookies/Kumerow types as much as possible, including Kizer at some point. This is an opportunity to get them game experience and the team game tape for use in the off season.

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Daren726's picture

December 30, 2018 at 07:48 am

Cold world, I agree. Probably would have happened last week too if we could have gotten off to a big lead. I’d like to see as much playing time for the young and inexperienced guys as possible.

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stockholder's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:13 am

A new coach brings different schemes. Everything will change in Green Bay. The players will change.

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stockholder's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:04 am

This game means nothing, other than where you pick in the draft. But I can't help but wonder if we shouldn't trade Rodgers, if he has another MVP performance. The time may be right! The taste in my mouth is anger over this season. He wants us to forget the past and focus on the future. Stafford could get his coach in the hot seat if they lose. Better pick. And laugh about how much he earned, not making the playoffs. Isn't that why the QBs get the big bucks? Their suppose to get the team in the playoffs. Both these Qbs are over-paid. They have 1 thing on their mind. Stats, Money, and me. Not the fans who worship them. The blame goes on the Head Coach. But the reality is, both these QBs have seen better days. The Lions have a new coach. They were considered a more talented team than the packers. Yet, here they have a new Coach, and still lost. The packers are getting a new coach. I don't see much change coming to Green Bay. The loyal will keep making excuses for Rodgers. How's Rodgers today? Not whats best for the Packers. The lions will lose today. Their draft will make the team better. And the Packers could end up losing to them the next 3 years. Whinning has come to Green Bay. Why should 1 game mean more then their season. Ok lets Clean House. It started with MM. Hopefully it can end with Rodgers. It's Time.

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4zone's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:30 am

No one else wants ARs contract.

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HankScorpio's picture

December 30, 2018 at 10:29 am

I bet half the teams in the league would trip themselves to get in to a position to take on Rodgers under his current contract. With no signing bonus counting against their cap, they'd be facing cap hits of $15, $21, $22, $25 and $25 over the length of the deal from 2019 to 2024.

We'll never know for sure because that signing bonus hit means that the Packers cannot trade or release him, even if they were convinced he's a declining team cancer because he had a down year in 2018. But I seriously doubt they are that reactionary to believe that. You don't get to that point based on one bad season. If that seed of doubt existed previously, they would not have ripped up his old deal.

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jeremyjjbrown's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:26 am

All of Rodger signing bonus would accelerate into the 2019 cap. Trading Rodgers is not feasible for 2 more seasons.

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HankScorpio's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:54 am

Yup. $46 mil of acceleration. It would be cap suicide.

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NickPerry's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:38 am

If you think your angry now then trade Rodgers away and watch the 2019 version of the Packers, I'd think then you'd be angry.

I'll admit, Rodgers has been anything but the exceptional talent we've all become accustomed to this year. You could even trace it back to 2015 when a slide began. BUT you also have to factor in the weapons Rodgers has had to work with.

Many of us think Rodgers has Adams and who to throw the ball to? Since you hate Adams so much I would think in your mind Rodgers doesn't even have a true #1, #2, OR #3 WR. I mean just look at the Packers last several drafts...Nothing but defense for the most part, the last REAL addition in the first 3 rounds was Adams. My point is and has been for a few years now is Rodgers NEEDS weapons to succeed in the current system. It needs a Jennings, Nelson, Adams, and Jones to truly work. When you have just ONE true threat catching the ball WITHOUT the aide of scheme getting them open, no QB I know would be able to succeed.

NOW if the Packers next hire for example is an offensive mind like McDaniels , someone who is able to scheme open his receivers NO MATTER who the opponent or the personnel he has on the field, then I have no doubt we'll be singing Rodgers praises next season and we'll all be happy as hell we didn't trade the BEST chance this team has at another SB

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Packers0808's picture

December 30, 2018 at 10:03 am

McDaniels is a loser, can't win as HC and his word is worth sheet!

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jeepingmakooi's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:41 am

Trade Rodgers... Umm... For what? No one is going to pay him that money... Can't draft anyone this year as the class is weak as hell... Next year would be a much better year to trade if that were even in the realm of possibility which it's not.. Rodgers is the face of the franchise and that isn't going to change at all

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fastmoving's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:06 am

"Both these Qbs are over-paid. They have 1 thing on their mind. Stats, Money, and me."

did you count the one thing, before you wrote it down??? next time you should use your fingers to do the math.....

I got just one word for you "superbowl Dallas babe"...…..

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Jonathan Spader's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:12 am

Superbowl Dallas babe is 3 words...

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fastmoving's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:56 am

Dont tell that Finley......

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stockholder's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:23 am

1 thing" In common" on their mind. Got cut. I know everyone wants to make excuses for Rodgers. Such as OL,Wrs, injuries, etc. But didn't MM have those same things to work with? Yet we canned him. Don't set a double standard. Some of those PFF grades on players tell all. Rodgers held onto the ball to long, and only had eyes for Adams. Yet when he's up against tanking opponents, he's superman. (?) Were in a rebuild with new coaches and schemes coming in. You can't teach an old dog new tricks. And as I pointed out. New coaches can't change losers into champs in 1 year. So take a good look at what happened. Qbs thinking with the wrong head, aren't going to the super-bowl.

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fastmoving's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:34 am

I would say the same thing as you about AR. bad year, hold the ball way too long and mechanics were not easy to watch. the trust thing drives me nuts since 2012...…..but he can still be good and you cant trade him.

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Bure9620's picture

December 30, 2018 at 10:09 am

Pretty hefty cap hits, $26.6 mil next year and a $33 mil cap hit in 2020. It would be difficult to find teams to trade with that are even in a position to make that work.

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PatrickGB's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:09 am

In my opinion, the biggest reason why we may lose is our “special teams “. They have been a head slapper all season.

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NickPerry's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:12 am

I understand wanting to win, going out on a high note and hopefully carrying that over to the next year. It would also be nice to see Matthews get a win in his final game if in fact it is. It would be even better to see him get a win AND get 2 sacks in the game.

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4zone's picture

December 30, 2018 at 08:34 am

Last week was kinda fun to listen to. Didn't have any vested interest in winning or losing, just following along on the roller coaster. Would love to see a blowout today though. I think we got 4 solid newbies from this draft and a couple more with potential. Gute did well at his first ride on top of the bull.

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Samson's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:13 am

Looking for something at least entertaining. As many have already stated, the game will be forgotten sooner than later. --- Fans need to remember one thing -- this game is the last of the "Old Pack". -- After today, Gute & the new HC (and his staff) will reform the Pack into a better version than the last two seasons.

Free-agency & the 2019 draft is going to drastically change the 53 man roster. -- Say adios to the underperforming & overpaid. -- Their days are drawing to an end in GB.

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Bure9620's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:27 am

I am one those whom believe Kizer can actually be a good QB with coaching. As this IS a meaningless game, would it not make sense to give the kid these valuable live reps today to see how far he has progessed in the offense this year and not wait until a preseason game when he's playing against non NFL players???? We then know if Kizer is capable of runnng this offense should Rodgers go down next year? Or does that make too much sense?

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KnockTheSnotOutOfYou's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:10 am

Totally makes sense and what I have been saying for several weeks now.

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HankScorpio's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:32 am

"As this IS a meaningless game, would it not make sense to give the kid these valuable live reps today to see how far he has progessed in the offense this year and not wait until a preseason game when he's playing against non NFL players???? "

I guess we'll see if the Packers share your opinion that this game is meaningless. They have been consistent in saying they see meaning in each of their 16 games, regardless of playoff/draft picture.

I have seen no evidence they are being less than truthful, including when I look at today's inactive list, which includes healthy scratches in favor of guys that were limited in practice and officially listed as questionable.

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Handsback's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:34 am

In most cases, in meaningless games the home team seems to come out the victor. I don't know who will win or why. What I do know is that the coaching decision is by far the most important decision that comes from the Packer's front office in quite some time.

I hope the Pack brings in the W today, but will have one eyeball glued to the possible coaching change.

A rumor that seems to have some truth behind it is that Jerry Jones is seriously considering MM as coach if Garret doesn't take the Cowboys deep into the playoffs.

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Lphill's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:37 am

Way too many haters here blaming Rodgers for the bad season , what about all the injuries especially on defense ? The entire D line? The Bad special teams play, the lethargic play calling , injuries on the O line ? anyone who thinks Rodgers should be traded is out of their mind. Give him s solid O line next year and receivers who run the right routes and then let’s see if he should have been traded.

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fastmoving's picture

December 30, 2018 at 11:13 am

the haters blame everything and everyone, not just AR.
But he was also a big part of the problem and as he is 20% of the team/SC he should play like that. Sure he is still just a part, but a huge one.
O line was not so bad and the WRs helped more than they hurt him. They run good enough routes and get open a lot but he missed them anyway.
He even got a running game to help him out...…..

I dont want him traded, but you cant not act all the time like nothing is his fall if we lose and when we win he is the outerworldly hero. He did not play like a top 10 QB at all...….

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Tundraboy's picture

December 30, 2018 at 09:42 am

Hell yes. Unless they sit Rodgers this is going to be a blowout or a shootout, but we will win. Last week was great. Seemed like the entire first and second quarter the defense was a sieve and all I kept hearing was Jets first down as it's called by the obnoxious MetLife stadium PA announcer,they even rubbed in the third-and-longs for the Packers. At one point when they were down 35 20 I said to my sons, they are going to win this game somehow, and I think the score would be 4138. Needless to say I turned out to be right and it was a great experience , It was an emotional uplifting win and I'm pretty sure it was for the players as well, so I expect it will carry over.

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Packers0808's picture

December 30, 2018 at 10:07 am

I think honestly Matthews has gas left in the tank, however as a rotational inside LB when needed and he will still get a number of sacks, rushes and hits! He still has a decent motor but at a different position!

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