Packers vs. Falcons Game Predictions from CheeseheadTV.com

 

 GAME PREDICTIONS - NFC Championship Game 

Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Name Record   Pick Prediction
Adam 16-0 Green Bay Packers  
Jersey Al 10-8 Green Bay Packers 34-31
I was much more confident last week with the Packers going up against a rookie quarterback, regardless of his first year success. This week is a different story. Matt Ryan will likley win the NFL MVP Award and has the numbers to justify it. The Packers will have to win this game like they did many in the late playoff run of 2010 - a late interception will be needed to save the day and send the Packers to the Super Bowl.
Andrew 12-6 Green Bay Packers 38-31
These get tougher each week and I wish we had a better idea what shape Davante Adams and Jordy Nelson really are in. because one of those guys missing isn't a big deal. Both? That's problematic. The key here will really be getting after Matt Ryan, and ultimately I feel the Falcons offensive line is vulnerable on pass plays. It should be a shoot out, and I am gambling that one big momentum changing play is via Green Bay's defense.
Cory 13-5 Atlanta Falcons 37-31
With three wideouts nursing injuries, Aaron Rodgers will have his work cut out for him. Matt Ryan and the 1-2 punch of Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman will make the Packers' bend-but-don't-break defense ulitmately break. If the Packers faced any other team in the NFC, I'd pick them to go to the Super Bowl. 
Jason 13-5 Green Bay Packers 42-38
I made the mistake of questioning this team's ability to rise up in the biggest of moments and I'm not doing it again. Atlanta is on a roll and their offense is incredibly potent, especially at home. The two-headed monster of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman is enough to give the Packers defense fits and then throw in Julio Jones and the Falcons receivers and it's a tough task for Dom Capers and his crew.  But the Packers are scoring just as often, match up well against Atlanta's defense and they have Aaron Rodgers, something Atlanta does not.  Matt Ryan may be MVP but no one is dealing like Rodgers right now.  This shoot out ends with the Packers celebrating another trip to the Super Bowl and culminating an incredible run, rising like the Phoenix when all seemed lost just two months ago.
Jayme 12-6 Green Bay Packers 28-21
I feel good about this game. Better than I did about the previous two playoff matches. The Packers came close to winning in Atlanta earlier this year, and while the injuries this time around are different, this Packers team is stronger than they were in October. 28-21 has worked so far, I'm riding it out. 
Michelle 12-6 Green Bay Packers 28-27
Both quarterbacks are deadly and both secondaries are middling. One interception will decide this entire game. Micah Hyde or Ha Ha Clinton-Dix - step up!
Ross 13-5 Green Bay Packers 38-36
I said on the radio and on the internet that the Packers and Cowboys were the two best teams remaining.  I believe now that the two best teams left are Green Bay and Atlanta.  Now is not the time to stop believing. Atlanta is the worst defensive team Green Bay has faced during this run with the exception of Detroit.  There isn't any real reason to believe Atlanta is significantly better than Dallas on offense.  Aaron Rodgers or Matt Ryan in a big game? Easy decision.
Zach 12-6 Green Bay Packers 31-26
I just can't see the Packers losing this game. I can't see the Football Gods flipping the script and ending this dream of a season. Not again. I think the "high scoring" narrative will be somewhat put to rest on Sunday - this is the second time these teams are meeting. There will be more familiarity.
Mr. X 12-6 Green Bay Packers 41-38
Same comment as last week: This will be a wild barn-burner of a game. Defense will go out the window but the Packers will be the last team standing.

 

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"Jersey Al" Bracco is the Editor-In-Chief, part owner and wearer of many hats for CheeseheadTV.com and PackersTalk.com. He is also a recovering Mason Crosby truther.  Follow Al on twitter at @JerseyalGBP

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Comments (40)

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Anthony Johnson's picture

January 20, 2017 at 09:52 pm

Me being a Falcons fan, I respect your predictions but you say Atlanta is the worst defense that Green Bay has faced but Green Bay is the worst defense Atlanta has faced. I still think Atlanta playing at home will get it done.

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Bearmeat's picture

January 21, 2017 at 06:12 am

I'm getting really sick of Atlanta fans telling us their defense isn't bad. IT IS BAD. All your rankings are bad. All of them. All your metrics are bad. All of them. You've played one good offense in the last 8 weeks, and they dropped 30+ on you with nothing to play for. WRs or no WRs, your D will get eaten alive by ARod. Your defense is actually worse than ours, which is really hard to manage. Kudos!

The real question is if ATL will score more on our almost equally crappy defense. That might just happen. But the way he's playing, I'm not betting against QB1. The guess here is that GB finds a way. 35-34 Pack.

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marpag1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 01:54 am

I don't know which Atlanta fans are telling you their defense isn't bad, but Anthony Johnson didn't actually say anything of the sort. He said GB is the worst defense that ATL has faced, which is... um, y'know... quite possibly true.

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dobber's picture

January 21, 2017 at 05:35 am

That's a hard sell...they did play New Orleans and Carolina twice. And San Francisco who was almost historically bad.

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marpag1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 11:53 am

Yeah, but the point, of course, is this: Anthony Johnson was saying that the "your defense sucks" argument can cut both ways, and that certainly seems to be quite true.

I would note, however, that no one actually said ATL is the worst defense GB has faced.... period. What the author really said was, "Atlanta is the worst defensive team Green Bay has faced DURING THIS RUN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF DETROIT." And that's something different.

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dobber's picture

January 21, 2017 at 10:56 am

Well, "of course"... ;)

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NickPerry's picture

January 21, 2017 at 05:37 am

I'm there with Bearmeat. It's not so much the media, fans, or experts calling our defense bad which it has been, but they FAIL to mention a word about Atlanta's Defense which is actually worse in many areas. They give up more points, passing yards, rushing yards, and have fewer sacks yet it's the Packers defense that's the only one talked about.

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Iain's picture

January 21, 2017 at 06:04 am

At least you're consistent.

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chugwater's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:31 am

Atlanta's defense couldn't stop the bottom of our depth chart in Allison, Davis, and Janis last time they played. They've showed no signs they can do that at this point.

Their improved scoring defense has more to do with strength of schedule than anything else. They held CAR, LA, and SF to an average of 14 points. NWO, a comparable offense to GB's, hung 32 points on them.

Yes they have Beasley rushing the passer, but the rest of the defensive front is pedestrian. They only rank 16th in sacks as a unit. Oh, and their second leading sack rusher was placed on IR earlier this week. The Packer 'Has Beens' you speak of rank 6th.

You can talk team speed all you want, but ATL hasn't been able to translate it into effectiveness on the field. No one in the secondary scares GB. There is no Janoris Jenkins or Xavier Rhodes.

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chugwater's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:31 am

Sorry. Trevor Davis. (Now corrected.)

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marpag1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:57 am

Vic Beasley is a physical freak and a good pass rusher, but I don't think he's quite as good as some people say. Give him props for his athleticism and motor. But to me his sack numbers this year are a bit misleading. He's a bit of a janitor... he cleans up other people's garbage. I wouldn't be surprised if he struggled a bit against decent GB tackles and without Adrian Clayborn. And Beasley's too light and long to be a plus run defender. But even so, if I'm ATL I gotta be pretty dang happy with the pick.

I actually think the ATL secondary is a little underrated, though I'm not saying that they're good.

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pooch's picture

January 21, 2017 at 12:53 pm

But we have A.R.

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LayingTheLawe's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:51 pm

You cant argue with Cow. he hates the Packers with a white hot passion you can feel from half way across the country.

Every message he has should come with a disclaimer....This is only a test. If this had been an actual message from a Packer fam there would be at least some credit given to one packer player coach or management personnel once in history.

Before the season it is the Packers will never make the playoffs... then after they do its the Packers will be one and done... then after they win a game they are going to be destroyed by Dallas.... and now after that this prediction. So at least he's consistently anti Packer. And consistently wrong in every single thing he says. So after this week he will talk about how the packers are going to be destroyed by whoever they play in the Super Bowl.

So to argue is pointless its like trying to argue with the sun coming up. He will never like any thing the packers do and will always be pissed when they win and gleeful when they lose. Always.

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NickPerry's picture

January 22, 2017 at 05:40 am

Since week 12 the Packers have scored 257 points in 8 games..32.125 points a game.

Atlantas last 8 games have scored 271 points and average of 33.875

Or to even this out and talk about the last 6 regular season games the Falcons played ONE playoff team...AND LOST!!!

The Packers played 3 playoff teams in the last 6 games and won them all, none by fewer than 7 points.

Atlanta does have an elite edge rusher, and not much else. Take away his sacks and Clayborn's who's injured and they have like 9 or 10 sacks on the rest of the team.

You show up here later and later each week Cow. I don't really understand you at all. At times no matter how infrequent, you make some really great observations. Then the rest of the time (Like 92%) you make these absurd, hateful comments about the Packers.

See you Super Bowl Sunday. Judging from the last 2 weeks we shouldn't expect you much before then if things go OUR way.

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chugwater's picture

January 21, 2017 at 06:39 am

By the way Anthony, welcome to the site. Appreciate your post. It's always more rewarding when you can have a friendly and thoughtful debate about your team with someone on the opposing side.

As for the game, I would only add that GB really hasn't shown any loss of production on the road vs home. In fact, most players will tell you that while it's nice to be home at Lambeau, the indoor conditions are better for the offense. (Yet another aspect of the debate most of the national media hasn't mentioned.)

Good luck on Sunday. I think we can all agree we hope there are no injuries and that the refs call a good game.

Cheers...

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Norm's picture

January 20, 2017 at 10:05 pm

So hard to predict without knowing the injury status of Burnett, Adams, Geronimo, Randall, Rollins and Matthews, not to mention Julio for the Falcons. And throw in a bit of the flu bug too. If both teams were at full strength (ignoring IR'ed guys like Lacy and Shields) I'd go with the Packers and feel confident. I'm guessing all of the above but Jordy play, although none at 100%. Right now I'd say it's a toss-up so picking with my heart and not my head I'll go Pack 38 Falcons 31. I'm betting on Matt Ryan making a mistake at a crucial time and Rodgers not doing that.

We'll give Ryan the MVP but we'll take the NFC Championship. And the Super Bowl.

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dobber's picture

January 20, 2017 at 10:51 pm

Eight weeks ago, I gave in and picked the Eagles to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Seven weeks ago, I picked the Texans to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Six weeks ago, I picked the Seahawks to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Five weeks ago, I picked the Bears to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Four weeks ago, I picked the Vikings to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Three weeks ago, I picked the Lions to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Two weeks ago, I picked the Giants to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Last week, I picked the Cowboys to beat the Packers, 27-13...Packers won.

Falcons, 27-13.

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marpag1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 02:02 am

Keep up the fine work, buddy. You have an eight game lead on COW, with two games remaining.

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NickPerry's picture

January 21, 2017 at 04:57 am

BOOM, there it is folks!! The "Fat Lady" has just sung and Elvis has left the building!!

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Doug_In_Sandpoint's picture

January 21, 2017 at 05:18 pm

Atta boy Dobber. And I'll hold up my end with my equally consistent prediction...

32-12...Pack rolls.

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Gman1976's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:02 pm

Keep the streak alive Dobber!

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Tundraboy's picture

January 21, 2017 at 10:36 pm

Keep it coming. Run the table.

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chugwater's picture

January 21, 2017 at 03:39 am

Nobody's Underdog.

35-30 Packers.

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TommyG's picture

January 21, 2017 at 04:49 am

35-33 Packers. That final drive doesn't go four and out this time and mason sends us to the Super Bowl.

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ironman3169's picture

January 21, 2017 at 08:26 am

Safety by Micah Hyde on the blitz.

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4thand1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 10:24 am

For your information cowpie, there are many different ways to score in the NFL. you suck.

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Rockydjy Djy's picture

January 21, 2017 at 06:49 am

Packers vs Falcons Live Stream

Watch Packers vs Falcons Live Stream Online Game. Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers predicted the Packers would “run the table’ to earn a playoff berth. Rodgers and the Packers have far exceeded that prediction and will face the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship game on Sunday (12:05 p.m. PT/3:05 p.m. ET, FOX).

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Rossonero's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:22 am

Keep in mind that the last time these 2 teams played, the Packers did not have Montgomery, Cobb, Cook or Clay Matthews. For the Falcons, Julio Jones was hobbled with an ankle injury and Taylor Gabriel hadn't burst onto the scene yet.

I can see Adams playing with a heavily taped ankle, but Jordy I can't see playing.

It's gonna be a wild one. All of the Packers injuries and flu bug worry me a ton, but considering the fact that the Packers weren't playing as well during the 33-32 loss earlier in the season, and didn't have all the guys I listed above, they can absolutely win.

Whoever's holding the ball last and whoever's defense can get get the most stops will win. We saw the Packers defense surrender points on six straight possessions until Hyde's interception. That's all it takes -- either a turnover or one key stop. Packers 36, Falcons 34.

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stockholder's picture

January 21, 2017 at 07:22 am

Packers 35- Falcons- 33 Score says it all.

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cheddarhead's picture

January 21, 2017 at 08:51 am

I know the odds are stacked against us. But this game is going to b won in the trenches. Forget about Rodgers and Matt for just a moment. Our offensive line is better than theirs. These 2 quarterbacks will go as far as their protection holds up. Between our line and Rodgers foot work, he could even find one of us open. So our O against their D, or their D against our O. I like our chances Even with a banged up crew.
So GO PACK GO!!

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Since'61's picture

January 21, 2017 at 09:04 am

The way I'm seeing this game is that the Packers OL will be solid again which means Rodgers and the ground game will both be effective against the Falcons defense. After facing the Dallas OL last week the Packers defense should have a better day against the Atlanta OL. Our defense doesn't need to be great but they should be able to disrupt the Falcons run game and harass Ryan who doesn't move very well. Many pundits state that the Packers defense is not very good but in fact, during this 8-0 run the Packers defense is allowing a very respectable 19.5 points per game. Also, the Falcons have not faced a QB playing as well as Aaron Rodgers has played during the streak. The Packers can win the LOS on both sides of the ball and that will win the day. I like the Pack 36 - 23. Thanks, Since '61

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Bert's picture

January 21, 2017 at 09:08 am

Very tough one to call. Two not very good defenses against two very hot offenses. Let me preface my prediction by saying I HOPE I AM WRONG!!! 34-26 Falcons.

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marpag1's picture

January 21, 2017 at 11:12 am

Back in early September, I made the predictions below, and got blasted with eight downvotes and zero upvotes:

marpag1 says:
September 06, 2016 at 09:55 am(edit)

1) Aaron Rodgers wins his third MVP award...

2)... despite the fact that the Packers run the ball more often and more effectively than any season in the past five years.

3) The Packers ride an easy schedule and home field advantage to a repeat of Superbowl XLV (2010), but this time they lose the Lombardi to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Like Dislike -8 points (0 like | 8 dislike)

http://cheeseheadtv.com/blog/packers-question-of-the-day-three-bold-pred...

Obviously, I whiffed on #2 for obvious reasons, but I could still look like a genius on #1 and most of #3. As I see things now, my head is telling me the Packers lose this game in a squeaker, but.... Go, Packers!

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mrtundra's picture

January 21, 2017 at 11:16 am

Packers win with last possession score 38-35. Thank you Mr. Crosby.

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Pack88's picture

January 21, 2017 at 12:39 pm

While neither defensive squad team is going to remind me of the 63 Bears defense (GOAT in my opinion), it is safe to view the pieces and check and see how the whole matches up. I suspect that the Falcons D-line is outside of Beasley pedestrian, they looked much better last week because they played a terrible O line and they took advantage of it. The Packer Linebackers are as good as the Falcons so it is a wash. This week it is a different story the Packer O line is better than the Falcon D line and it will show in how they control the front. Beasley is talented but Bulaga killed him in 1st game. The Packer receivers are very banged up but the Falcon secondary is as weak as our own and they are also missing their best defender (Trufant) . This matchup will be key, as at some point they will play a lot of man coverage and it will be incumbent to see how GB handles this, if they crush the man coverage it will be game over as Rodgers is a zone killer. If, as in the last drive Atlanta wins the 1 on 1 matchups they will win. So for me I pray Alien AAron shows up and the WRs and TYmo have big games, if so GB wins if not I will still have enjoyed the rise from the ashes

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Allan Murphy's picture

January 21, 2017 at 10:49 pm

Are you kidding me if the Packers win it will be best win ever ...............

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NashvilleCheesehead's picture

January 22, 2017 at 06:39 am

History repeats. Packers win 48-21

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Lphill's picture

January 22, 2017 at 08:22 am

Atlanta ranked 32 nd in red zone defense the packers red zone defense 21 st, Atlanta 17 th rushing defense Packers 10 th, don't forget a lot of garbage time scores and points by the Packers.

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