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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 16 Rankings

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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 16 Rankings

Packers Predictions

  • Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones will combine for 150+ yards from scrimmage – The Packers will have to rely on the running game in this game more than ever, with Davante Adams likely out. The Vikings aren’t easy to run on, but the rookies are the Packers only hope of staying in the game.
  • Brett Hundley’s home struggles will continue – Hundley’s next touchdown pass at Lambeau will be his first. He has also committed six turnovers in just four games at home. So much for home field advantage.
  • The Packers lose by at least three scores – I don’t expect the Packers to have much success on offense, and I certainly don’t expect much from the defense. For the first time since 2009, Green Bay is out of the playoff picture, and I’d be shocked if they respond well to that.

Likes/Dislikes

Week 15 Recap

Hits – likes: Blake Bortles (QB5), Nick Foles (QB4), Devonta Freeman (RB4), Kenyan Drake (RB9/8).

Hits – dislikes: Andy Dalton (QB32), Lamar Miller (RB49/45), DeMarco Murray (RB32/35), Frank Gore (RB29/26), Isaiah Crowell (RB31/22), T.Y. Hilton (WR42/36), Jermaine Kearse (WR50), Josh Doctson (WR72), Corey Coleman (WR59), Julius Thomas (TE31/32).

Misses – likes: Drew Brees (QB16), Dak Prescott (QB21), Jay Ajayi (RB24/21), Mike Davis (RB44/40), Julio Jones (WR36/39), Jordy Nelson (WR49), Robby Anderson (WR43/37), Jack Doyle (TE19/12), Ricky Seals-Jones (TE35).

Misses – dislikes: Alex Smith (QB11), Marcus Mariota (QB13), Jimmy Garoppolo (QB10), Greg Olsen (TE2).

DNP: Chris Hogan.

 

  • Week 15 record: 14/27 (52%). Season hit rate: 236/414 (57%).

Likes

Jameis Winston – The Panthers have allowed 15 touchdown passes over their last 6 home games. I have no idea why some consider them to be an imposing matchups for quarterbacks. Winston looked sharp against the Falcons and that should carry over to week 16.

Blake Bortles – Bortles has 18 or more in four consecutive games and 16+ in seven of his last eight games. There’s no reason to think that he will cool down against a 49ers defense that has given up 16+ on 10 different occasions this season.

Alex Collins – The Colts have struggled to defend the run all year. Collins should bounce back this week.

Dion Lewis – Rex Burkhead’s injury opens the door for an expanded workload for Lewis, especially in the red zone. He should be in for a monster performance against the worst run defense in the NFL.

JuJu Smith-Schuster – Smith-Schuster is the de facto number one receiver for Big Ben with Antonio out for the rest of the regular season. The Texans have been the fourth most generous team to opposing receivers - so the rookie is a top 15 option this week.

Dede Westbrook – Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns will likely miss this game, opening the door for increased production from Westbrook and Keelan Cole. The 49ers don’t have an imposing secondary.

Jesse James – There will be targets to be had with Antonio out, and James is likely to benefit, especially in the red zone. Houston has allowed the fifth most points to the position in 2017.

Cameron Brate – Brate should see a significant increase in snap percentage with O.J. Howard set to be placed on IR. The Panthers are a middle-tier defense against tight ends.

  • Other likes: Nick Foles vs. OAK, Case Keenum @ GB, Jamaal Williams vs. MIN, Jay Ajayi vs. OAK, Mike Wallace vs. IND, Martavis Bryant @ HOU.

Dislikes

Matt Ryan – The matchup doesn’t matter. Ryan is not a QB1 this year.

Jimmy Garoppolo – 49ers fans should be ecstatic about the way Jimmy G has played in his first three starts, but he will likely struggle against Sacksonville.

Carlos Hyde – In short, don’t start anyone against the Jaguars…unless their name is Robbie Gould.

Isaiah Crowell – The Bears have been a top-10 defense against the run all year, and the third best over the last four weeks. Side note: This game is unlikely to be a preview of the Super Bowl.

Robby Anderson – Anderson is still startable with Bryce Petty, but Casey Hayward is a pretty daunting matchup for any receiver.

Jamison Crowder – I’m benching Crowder against the league’s best slot corner in Chris Harris.

Charles Clay – Clay has yet to reach the end zone since returning from injury, and the Patriots haven’t allowed a tight end to score since week 6.

Vernon Davis – Davis has posted an average of 1.5 receptions and 14.75 yards over his last four games, and that’s…not good. The Broncos have allowed the sixth fewest points to tight ends over the last four weeks.

  • Other dislikes: Marcus Mariota vs. LAR, Brett Hundley vs. MIN, Mike Davis @ DAL, Wayne Gallman @ ARI, Marquise Goodwin vs. JAX, Demaryius Thomas @ WAS.

Week 16 Rankings

Please note: The rankings will be updated at 730pm (ET) on Thursday, and 12pm (ET) on Sunday.

 

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (4) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

Samson's picture

Wow! -- I'm not (even a little) into fantasy football but have to admit it must take some time & effort to produce this. -- Kudos to your dedication.

Elisha Twerski's picture

I appreciate it. This was the last one. Next week I move on to the Packers offseason. Never thought I'd have to start so early on that.

dobber's picture

I enjoy reading this each week. Thanks, Elisha.

Elisha Twerski's picture

Thank you, it means a lot.

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