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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 13 Rankings

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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 13 Rankings

Packers Predictions

  • Jordy Nelson reaches 70+ yards for the first time since week 4 – In Hundley’s five starts, Nelson has 13 receptions for 103 yards and no touchdowns. Tampa’s league worst secondary is the recipe for a Nelson slump-buster.
  • Davante Adams puts up 80+ yards for the fourth consecutive game – Adams has emerged as the Packers top receiver with Hundley at the helm and he shouldn’t have any trouble taking advantage of this mouth-watering matchup.
  • Jamaal Williams totals 100 scrimmage yards for the second consecutive game – Last week, Williams gashed a much tougher Steelers defense for 135 scrimmage yards and two scores. The rookie should be in line for another heavy workload this week.
  • For the first time this season, Mike Evans puts up at least 100 receiving yards and a score – Here are some lines the Packers have allowed to opposing receivers this year: 10/169/2 to Antonio Brown, 4/56/1 to Mike Wallace, 7/107/2 to Marvin Jones, 7/113/0 to Golden Tate, 7/141/0 to Ted Ginn, 7/82/0 to Michael Thomas, 9/96/0 to Adam Thielen, 5/52/1 to Dez, 10/111/1 to A.J. Green, and 5/108/0 to Julio Jones. The Packers only hope against Evans is a healthy Kevin King.

Likes/Dislikes

Week 12 Recap

Hits – likes: Andy Dalton (QB12), Philip Rivers (QB2), Ben Roethlisberger (QB1), Rex Burkhead (RB5/7), Samaje Perine (RB10/9), Alshon Jeffrey (WR15/16), Davante Adams (WR10/12), Jamison Crowder (WR6).

Hits – dislikes: Drew Brees (QB19), Dak Prescott (QB30), Derek Carr (QB17), Matthew Stafford (QB20), Doug Martin (RB43/55), Ameer Abdullah (RB37/36), Larry Fitzgerald (WR50/52), Dez Bryant (WR45/49), Michael Crabtree (0 rec), Jesse James (TE21/22).

Misses – likes: Kirk Cousins (QB16), Kareem Hunt (RB48/53), Orleans Darkwa (RB39/45), Kenny Stills (WR40/44), Vernon Davis (0 rec), Evan Engram (TE27/25).

Misses – dislikes: Adrian Peterson (RB19/12), Alex Collins (RB14), Jason Witten (TE15/TE9), Marvin Jones (WR5).

  • Week 12 record: 18/28 (64%). Season hit rate: 182/322 (57%).

Likes

Kirk Cousins – The Cowboys have allowed at least 18 points to each of the last five quarterbacks they have faced at home. Cousins is a top-8 option this week, especially if Trent Williams is able to go.

Drew Brees – Brees has now had less than 15 points in five games this year, though it has yet to happen in back-to-back games. He should be able to rebound against a Panthers defense that has allowed multiple touchdown passes to seven of the last nine quarterbacks they have gone up against.

Jordan Howard – Howard has bounced back nicely from poor performances this year. In the previous four instances where Howard failed to score double-digits in PPR leagues, he rebounded with 31.6, 18.6, 15.1, and 18.5. He should have a big game against a 49ers defense that is allowing the most points to running backs this year.

Adrian Peterson – The Rams have allowed over 100 rushing yards to running backs in each of their five road games, as well as six touchdowns. AP struggled against the Rams in week 7, but he could be in line for a big game on his home turf this week.

Michael Thomas – Thomas hasn’t scored since week 4 and has only topped 100 yards once. I think both of those will change this week against a Panthers defense that just allowed 146 yards and two touchdowns to Robby Anderson.

Jamison Crowder – Crowder has put up at least 75 yards in each of his last four healthy games. The injury to Chris Thompson made him the clear number one option for Kirk Cousins.

Jared Cook – The Giants have allowed the most points to tight ends this year and Cook figures to be one of Carr’s top options with Cooper and Crabtree out.

Hunter Henry – The Browns have allowed at least 69 yards (nice) and/or one or more touchdowns to tight ends in all but one game this year. Henry is a decent bet to score this week.

  • Other likes: Philip Rivers vs. CLE, Josh McCown vs. KC, Leonard Fournette vs. IND, Rex Burkhead @ BUF, Robby Anderson vs. KC, Jordy Nelson vs. TB.

Dislikes

Matt Ryan – Ryan has yet to reach 20 points in any game in 2017 and only Kirk Cousins has scored more than 20 against the Vikings. His floor is somewhat safe, but there are plenty of better options out there.

Derek Carr – Carr has failed to reach 16 fantasy points in seven games this year, including five straight. He will likely be without Cooper and Crabtree against the Giants, who have looked a bit more alive on defense as of late.

Kareem Hunt – Hunt has failed to reach 100 scrimmage yards in four consecutive games and will now face a Jets defense that has allowed the fourth fewest points to running backs over their last four games. He is no longer a sure-fire top-12 running back.

Frank Gore – Gore is coming off a strong game against the Titans in week 12, though I wouldn’t advise starting him against a much-improved Jaguars run defense.

T.Y. Hilton – Hilton has been held to a meager 30 yards or less in six of his last eight games and that should happen again against the stingiest pass defense in the NFL.

DeVante Parker – Parker has scored just once all year and has a mere 31 receiving yards over his last two games. He’s flexworthy if Cutler returns - however, expectations should be tempered.

Tyler Kroft – Kroft has been touchdown-or-bust for most of the season and the Steelers have allowed only two touchdowns to the position in 2017.

Austin Hooper – Hooper has been hit-or-miss in 2017 and he’s likely to bust against a Vikings defense that hasn’t allowed a tight end to score since week 5.

  • Other dislikes: Jacoby Brissett @ JAX, Matthew Stafford @ BAL, Theo Riddick @ BAL, DeMarco Murray vs. HOU, Golden Tate @ BAL, Martavis Bryant @ CIN.

Week 13 Rankings

Please note: The Rankings will be updated at 7pm (ET) on Thursday and 12PM (ET) on Sunday.

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (3) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

al bundy's picture

First Brent had an avg of 8 yds per pass in college. They played short ball. He made a living throwing quickly over the middle to the slot receiver. Very few long balls.
So the fact jordy doesnt get a lot of attention kind of makes sense. Its not anything Jordy is doing.

dobber's picture

It's always a bad sign when half your roster is on the dislike list...

Thegreatreynoldo's picture

GB has allowed #1 WRs to be on a pace to gain 1416 yards. There is always a bad CB on the field for GB, and offenses know how to force the mismatch.

Actually, #2 WR are on a pace to gain well over 800 yards. That might improve as we get further removed from Rollins getting significant snaps.

I'd always like the opponent's #1 WR.

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