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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 12 Rankings

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Fantasy Football 2017: Packers Predictions, Likes/Dislikes, and Week 12 Rankings

Packers Predictions

  • Davante Adams puts up 90+ yards for the third consecutive game – Adams has 28 targets over the last three games and that has translated into 269 yards. He should once again be featured in the passing game and the Steelers have allowed the fourth most yards to receivers since week 8.
  • The Packers fail to score 20 points for the fifth time in six games – The Packers have averaged 13.4 points per game in their five (4.75?) games without Aaron Rodgers. Pittsburgh is ranked second in the league in points allowed per game, and fourth in yards. I don’t think Mike McCarthy is capable of coming up with a game plan that will allow Brett Hundley and the offense to score enough to win this game.
  • Antonio Brown totals AT LEAST 130 yards – The Packers don’t have the players or coaching capacity to slow down Antonio.

Likes/Dislikes

Week 11 Recap

Hits – likes: Drew Brees (QB6), Blaine Gabbert (QB8), Melvin Gordon (RB11/16), Jordan Howard (RB7/8), Amari Cooper (WR23/32), Larry Fitzgerald (WR8/6), Tyler Kroft (TE9/TE11).

Hits – dislikes: Marcus Mariota (QB16), Jared Goff (QB20), DeShone Kizer (QB25), Adrian Peterson (RB37/40), Alfred Morris (RB25/30), Joe Mixon (RB33/35), Jordy Nelson (WR51/57), Kelvin Benjamin (WR55/66), Charles Clay (TE18).

Misses – likes: Alex Smith (QB24), Eli Manning (QB22), Blake Bortles (QB23), Jay Ajayi (RB20/24), Doug Martin (RB35/36), Devante Parker (WR49/47), Cameron Brate (TE28/30).

Misses – dislikes: Matthew Stafford (QB10), Samaje Perine (RB6/5), DeAndre Hopkins (WR11/13), Corey Coleman (WR26/24), Delanie Walker (TE4/3).

DNP: Sterling Shepard.

Week 11 score: 16/28 (57%). Season score: 164/294 (56%).

Likes

Kirk Cousins – The Giants defense looked good against Alex Smith and the Chiefs, but they have still allowed more than 20 points to five of the last seven quarterbacks they have faced. Cousins is one of the most productive quarterbacks when he has a healthy offensive line.

Andy Dalton – Dalton has scored above 16 in each of his last five games against the Browns, with a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 13-0.

Kareem Hunt – Hunt hasn’t topped 100 rushing yards since week 5 and hasn’t scored since week 3. This week he will face a Bills defense that has allowed 614 rushing yards and nine touchdowns over their last three games. I expect Hunt to explode this week.

Orleans Darkwa – The Redskins started off the season as one of the better run defenses, but since week 8 they have allowed the third most points to opposing running backs. Darkwa has had at least 16 touches and 70+ yards in five of his last six games.

Alshon Jeffrey – Here is what the Bears have allowed to X receivers over their last three games: Marvin Jones – 4/85/1, Davante Adams – 5/90/1, Michael Thomas - 7/77/0. Jeffrey has had 60+ yards and at least one touchdown in three consecutive games, and I expect him to make it four.

Davante Adams – Adams has been the only bright spot in the Packers discombobulated offense. In five games with Hundley as quarterback, the free agent-to-be has reached double digits three times in standard leagues and four times in PPR.

Vernon Davis – Last week was the first time all season that the Giants did not allow a touchdown to the tight end position – though Travis Kelce still caught eight passes for 109 yards. Davis is a solid TE1 on Thursday night.

Evan Engram – Much like their opponent, the Redskins hemorrhage points to tight ends. Washington has allowed a tight end to hit paydirt in six of their last eight games.

  • Additional likes: Philip Rivers @ DAL, Ben Roethlisberger vs. GB, Rex Burkhead vs. MIA, Samaje Perine vs. NYG, Kenny Stills @ NE, Jamison Crowder vs. NYG.

Dislikes

Drew Brees – The Rams have not allowed more than 11.9 points to any quarterback at home this season. This could be another one of those games where a majority of the offensive production comes on the ground.

Dak Prescott – Prescott’s value improves significantly when all-pro left tackle Tyron Smith returns. The Chargers haven’t allowed a quarterback to reach 20 points since week 1, and that includes sub-20 performances from Tom Brady, Carson Wentz, and Alex Smith.

Adrian Peterson – Peterson is the ultimate matchup play at this point in the season. The Jaguars have allowed an average of 42.3 rushing yards per game since they acquired Marcell Dareus – which is more than enough reason for you to leave AP on your bench.

Alex Collins – Collins finally reached the end zone for the first time this season against the Packers, but he’ll be hard-pressed to do that again against a Texans defense that has not allowed a rushing touchdown since week 1.

Larry Fitzgerald – The Jaguars are the black hole for receivers. No receiver has scored on them since week 1, and only Antonio Brown has topped 100 yards. Fitz is still serviceable in PPR, though merely as a flex.

Dez Bryant – Dez has been one of the most inefficient receivers in the league and hasn’t scored since week 7. He gets a tough draw this week in Casey Hayward.

Jason Witten – Witten hasn’t scored since week 7 and the Chargers have allowed one touchdown to tight ends in 2017.

Jesse James – James is a touchdown-or-bust streaming option and the Packers have yet to allow a score to the position this season.

  • Additional dislikes: Derek Carr vs. DEN, Matthew Stafford vs. MIN, Doug Martin @ ATL, Ameer Abdullah vs. MIN, Michael Crabtree vs. DEN, Marvin Jones Jr. vs. MIN.

Week 11 Rankings

Please note: The rankings will be updated at 1130AM (ET) on Thursday and 12PM (ET) on Sunday.

 

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (7) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

4thand1's picture

Prediction, I'll stuff my face and be able to keep it down because it's not Sunday. The Pack doesn't play for 4 days. Guess I'll cheer for the Lions because I despise the Queens more. Happy thanksgiving to everyone.

Lphill's picture

Packers should have at least signed Revis to help out the secondary , but not to worry Ted Thompson will draft 2 defensive backs next year that are 5 ' 8 and played only 1 year at a D3 school .

The TKstinator's picture

Has he chosen short DB’s before?

Elishatwerski's picture

A) The Packers biggest problem isn't their secondary, it isn't even their second biggest. Their current QB is showing few signs of competence and the lack of pass rush is killing them on third down.
B) The Packers already have plenty of corners who can get beat like a stick, they don't need to add Revis to that collection.

Lphill's picture

TK that's sarcasm in regards to TT drafting developmental players instead of ones that actually play the position.

The TKstinator's picture

Yes, I think we are all tired of the “square peg round hole” approach.
(I was randomly recalling the whole Aaron Kampman to OLB mishap from years ago. The guy was a consistent double digit sack 4-3 DE but “the system” required him to try to convert. Ugh.)
Also sick of busted coverages due to “communication breakdowns”.
Double Ugh.

TommyG's picture

Prediction: I need to prepare my liver for another shut out.

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"The Bears still suck!"
"A school without football is in danger of deteriorating into a medieval study hall. "
"I firmly believe that any man’s finest hour, the greatest fulfillment of all that he holds dear, is that moment when he has worked his heart out in a good cause and lies exhausted on the field of battle – victorious."