Moving up and down the draft board with Paul Bretl

Aaron chats with Paul Bretl about a number of different ways the Packers could move up or down the draft board. Paul also gives his top three prospects he hopes are available if the Packers make the pick at 29th overall. 

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Comments (5)

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Turophile's picture

April 20, 2021 at 07:19 am

I attempted to get some idea of what the player tiers would be in round one, using Connor Rogers player rankings. I ended up with this:
Tier 1, picks 1-5 (ranking 9.5 to 8.9) Lawrence distorts this tier somewhat, being ranked 0.3 above any other prospect.
Tier 2, picks 6-10 (ranking 8.75 to 8.6)
Tier 3, picks 11-20 (ranking 8.51 to 8.3)
Tier 4, picks 21-30 (ranking 8.2 to 8.0) Packers pick is currently 29.
Tier 5, picks 31-55 (ranking 7.92 to 7.8)

If this is close to being correct, then when the Packers pick there might be as few as two players left on the highest tier. This is not a good position from which to trade up or down given these tiers. If the Packers traded down more than one spot, they would be in a lower tier, while to trade into a higher tier would mean moving up at least nine spots, which is going to be expensive. The grades seemed to fit fit into the higher value tiers very pleasingly, with player groups of 5, 5, 10, 10, 25, but no-one really knows how the Packers will tier players.

The other consideration is trading picks due to loving and targeting specific players. There is evidence that Gute does this, and he may do it irrespective of the tier.

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Ferrari-Driver's picture

April 20, 2021 at 08:41 am

Thanks for the info. I haven't come across that particular analysis. Good post.

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mrtundra's picture

April 20, 2021 at 09:14 am

Depending on how far up Gute wants to move up to, if he wants to move up, at all, I'd look at Rashawn Slater, OL, NW. The guy is listed in Draft Blaster's rankings as the top C AND as the top G and then some have him listed as an OT. That kind of versatility, at a position of need, could be too hard, for Gute, to pass up. Of course, Slater will probably go, somewhere, in the top ten picks. I do not know if Gute wants to spend that much draft capital to get Slater, but if he did, our OL would have a ton of versatility in it and not be a major concern, for years to come. A more likely move up would entail Gute going after Greg Newsome, CB, NW. Solidifying our CB position is a concern. Yes, they re-signed King, but that is for a one year deal. Newsome would be our CB answer for the long term and he would line up across from Jaire Alexander. What if Caleb Farley fell to us at 29? Like Paul Bretl said, he's a top ten talent in this draft. Would Gute take a chance on him? The upside is huge, if he can stay healthy. Once again, this draft will be fun and nerve wracking, all at the same time, just based on last year's draft and every Packers fans' perceived needs. GO PACK, GO!!!

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mbpacker's picture

April 20, 2021 at 10:05 am

Good show!

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ChristyPalmer's picture

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