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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Vikings

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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Vikings

Throughout the course of the season we're highlighting the betting lines for every Packers game, both against the spread and the over/under. I'm going to make the case for each possibility, then choose one of each, and track my winnings (or losings) for every game. Here goes...

(For what it's worth, I'm using Danny Sheridan's odds.)

Line: Packers -12 1/2

  • Bet the Packers: The Vikings were able able to keep it close at home in the first meeting between the two teams this season. This time, the Packers have home-field advantage and will be jacked up for a national television appearance on Monday Night Football. The defensive issues the Packers are dealing with this season have been front in center in the media all week long, and they'll be looking to put those deficiencies behind them. And Aaron Rodgers should once again be able to have success against a leaky Vikings secondary, even if Antoine Winfield is back.
  • Bet the Vikings: While there's holes all over the Vikings, they have the star power to carry them. Guys such as running back Adrian Peterson and defensive Jared Allen are too good not to have success. As long as Christian Ponder can protect the football, the Vikings are good enough to move the ball down the field on the Packers defense that gives up yards with regularity.

Final decision: Bet the Vikings. They might not win the game, but as they showed in their last meeting, they can keep it close.

Last week: I picked the Packers at -5 1/2, and they covered by beating the Chargers by a touchdown, 45-38.

Over/under: 50 1/2 points

  • Bet the over: The Packers alone scored more than 40 points three times this season. Aaron Rodgers knows how to take what the defense gives him, and he'll be able to do that once again against the Vikings. The consistency of kicker Mason Crosby shouldn't be ignored this season either. He's been money this season and in betting the over, every point counts. Those field goals add up. On the other side of the football, you know Peterson will drive the Vikings into the redzone on multiple occasions.
  • Bet the under: The healthier the Packers defense gets from Mike Neal to Tramon Williams to Morgan Burnett, the tougher they'll become. And the better chance they have of keeping the Vikings out of the endzone. The Vikings defense, meanwhile, is better equipped to slow down the Packers offense with Winfield back in the fold. They won't stop the Packers cold, but they don't have to. They just need to keep them going wild.

Final decision: Bet the over. I see the Vikings holding the Packers to several field goal attempts. But if the Packers can turn those field goals into touchdowns instead, it won't even be close.

Prediction: Packers 33 Vikings 21

Last week: I picked the over, and it was a high scoring affair by both teams, covering easily.

Cumulative record vs. the line: 8–8

Cumulative record straight up: 7–1

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (8) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

Doug In Sandpoint's picture

"Cumulative record straight up: 7–1"

Boy that's gotta hurt. Perfection was within your grasp. You will likely be a Patriot-like 18-1. Oh what could have been...

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

The sad part is where his one blemish came from!

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

It's a lot of points to lay, but what the Hell... Monday night, division rival, our house, rookie QB who we now have film on... Pack by 17.

Take the over

Pack 41
Queens 24


Bob's picture

Packers/Vikings for the most part is a nasty close game. In the Vikings favor are 1) Second chance to defeat team they really want to beat. 2) 2 weeks for Vikings staff to prepare for game. 3) extra motivation because of the 16-0 talk. 4) lack of discipline on the defensive side of the ball for the Packers. 5) It's late November and soon, maybe even this week the weather will start to hurt the passing game. Just a few reasons to worry about this game and one more thing. After watching that San Diego game. I would judge the effort on the part of a lot of players to be less than 100%. Do that against the Vikings on Monday night and the result could be a good old fashioned butt whooping at the hands of a team that is nowhere near as good as the Pack.

Evan's picture

I don't think the weather has much, if any, affect on the Packers passing attack.

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

Soooo... You're picking the queens?

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

Have you been listening to Bill "Chicken Little" Johnson this week by chance?

Otto's picture

Sept 30, 2007 Packers defeat the Vikings at Metrodome by a touchdown:

Nov 11, 2007 Packers defeat the Vikings at Lambeau by 34 points:

I see a bit of history repeating. Take the Pack and the points.

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