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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Giants

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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Giants

Throughout the course of the season we're highlighting the betting lines for every Packers game, both against the spread and the over/under. I'm going to make the case for each possibility, then choose one of each, and track my winnings (or losings) for every game. Here goes...

(For what it's worth, I'm using Danny Sheridan's lines.)

Line: Packers -6 1/2

  • Bet the Packers: The Giants gave up 577 yards to the Saints on Monday night. How in the world are they supposed to contain an attack led by all-universe quarterback Aaron Rodgers? While the Giants offense should be able to score some points, they're not going to be able to keep pace with the Packers.
  • Bet the Giants: All the Giants heard all week is how they gave up against the Saints. With an NFC East championship and a playoff berth still within their grips, they'll be motivated to play in front of the home crowd. Plus they're getting healthy. The return of Michael Boley would help them contain the Packers offense. As would a healthy Ahmad Bradshaw, Justin Tuck and Victor Cruz.

Final decision: Bet the Packers. This Giants team is reeling and doesn't appear to have confidence in themselves. It wouldn't surprise anyone if the Packers won by three touchdowns.

Last week: I picked the Lions, but they fell apart in the second half and couldn't cover the -6 1/2 spread.

Over/under: 52 1/2

  • Bet the over: The Packers are going to score, that's a given. And the way the Packers defense has played this year, the Giants should be able to move the ball. If Bradshaw can play, the Giants have some talent at the skill positions to go along with him. Quarterback Eli Manning has talented receivers who are threats in Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham. They should be able to score on the up and down Packers secondary.
  • Bet the under: The Packers offense won't be stopped completely, but the return of linebacker Michael Boley will help slow them down. Plus the Packers offense is playing better since the bye. In the past three weeks, they've given up seven points to the Vikings, 26 to the Buccaneers and 15 to the Lions. It'll be tough to reach more than 52 points, if the Packers have to score all those points themselves.

Final decision: Bet the under. Both teams will score, but playing on the road, the Packers won't score a boatload. Just enough to win comfortably.

Prediction: Packers 31 Giants 14

Last week: I picked the over, and after a low-scoring first half, the total came in under.

Cumulative record vs. the line: 10-12

Cumulative record straight up: 10-1

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (4) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

Bob's picture

Key to this game for me, will be the offensive line. Keep the Giants pass rush from getting to Rodgers and the Packers win. Should they play like they did in Detoit last year, you could be looking at an upset similar to the Giants beating the Patriots 4 weeks ago.

CSS's picture

The key is the interior line. Pressures going to come from the outside, Rodgers will go for 350+ if he has a pocket to step into.

Ct Sharpe Cheddar's picture

Osi is out and Tuck is banged up not doing much this season.So Rodgers should have time,Giants are'nt great against the run either should be big day for the offence.Manningham looks to be out also.Bradshaw did not practice.I listen to NY radio all day on the Fan

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

We cover, bet the over.

GBP 4 LIFE

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