If you ask a Vikings fan, the Favre led purple is destined to claim the Lombardi trophy this season. If you ask me, the wise money bets against Favre this weekend. Why? I’ll let history speak for itself.
We can argue all day about Favre’s late game heroics. Many say he has led comebacks over 43 times in his career. I personally only count 22 real comebacks, but what I don’t see in that stat line are the monumental collapses in all the big games in-between. If history remains consistent there is no reason to believe Favre can get it done in a game with the magnitude he will face this weekend at Lambeau.
Former NFL great Fran Tarkenton said it best stating, “Favre has made more stupid plays than any great quarterback I have ever seen.” Is Frank right? Let’s take a look back at the track record.
The Choke List
2008 Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets
Brett Favre kills the Jets hopes of making the playoffs by tossing three interceptions and being outplayed by the guy he replaced Chad Pennington.
1999 Regular Season vs. Minnesota
Both teams enter the game at 7-6 with the loser likely out of the playoffs. Down by four with 9:00 minutes left on the clock, Brett throws two interceptions in the final drives of the game sending the Packers to defeat and eventually not making the playoffs.
1995 NFC Championship game vs. Dallas
Packers are down 31-27 with a chance to win it in the fourth quarter. After previously throwing a pick to Leon Lett, Favre goes gunslinger in the fourth quarter, scrambles out of the pocket, and throws an interception to seal the game for the Cowboys.
Super Bowl XXXII vs. Denver
Packers have a chance late to drive eighties yards and take home to trophy. Favre manages to drive into Bronco territory only to go four and out and leaving John Elway with one final ring.
2002 Wild Card vs. Atlanta
Not much to say about this one. The Packers go down early and Favre cannot bring them back. He throws multiple interceptions and doesn’t do a thing to get the Packers back in the game.
2004 NFC Wildcard vs. Minnesota
I’ll keep this one simple. Daunte Culpepper four touchdowns, Brett Favre four interceptions.
2001 NFC Divisonal Playoffs vs. Rams
Perhaps the single worst performance by Favre in his career. Favre gives the Rams a gift by throwing 6 interceptions. Three of those picks are returned for touchdowns.
2003 NFC Divionsal Playoffs vs. Philadelphia
Another overtime meltdown for Favre. It only took one play as Brett threw away the game with an interception to Brian Dawkins. I could swear that Favre was throwing right at him.
2007 NFC Championship vs. New York
This one still gets me and probably cost Favre his job in Green Bay. No need to re-live this one folks. With about three guys wide open, on the second play in overtime Favre tosses the ball to Corey Webster setting up the winning Giants field goal.
Now I realize that the NFL betting odds seem to think history is not going to repeat itself again. However, if you are a Packer fan you know the smart money rides on a monumental collapse for the Vikings. This may be a regular season game, but it has all the hoopla that any of Favre’s big games ever had.
You can lay your money on Favre this weekend if you wish, but remember it’s all just history repeating. Where is my money going? It’s going to be used for sports betting at BetUS.com. I say bet the house on the Packers, the past rarely lies.
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