Packers over/unders for the second half of the season
By adamczech
The Green Bay Packers bye week ends on Monday. Once the players return to work, they'll continue their march toward a perfect season and another Super Bowl title.
If I bet you that the Packers would go 19-0, would you take me up on it? You should, because the Packers probably aren't going 19-0.
But as long as we're talking betting, let's take a look at five Packers over/under props I came up with for the second half of the season. Let me know which way you'd wager in the comments, and feel free to come up with some over/under props of your own.
- The Packers will win over/under (o/u) 6 1/2 of their final 10 games. If the Packers go over, it’d mean they’d finish 13-3 at worst. Call me crazy, but I’m taking the over. As long as the injury rush is over, this team should actually get better down the stretch. Sure, the schedule gets tougher, but my money is still on the Packers.
- Eddie Lacy will receive o/u 57 percent of the Packers rushing attempts in the last 10 games. Lacy’s 246 carries in 2014 accounted for almost 57 percent of Green Bay’s carries. So far, Lacy has 67 carries, about 44 percent of Green Bay’s total. I say Lacy’s ankle heals up, the weather gets cold, and ‘ol Phat Eddie hits the over on this one.
- Randall Cobb will be o/u 61 catches the rest of the season. Cobb caught 91 passes in 2014. He needs 61 grabs over the last 10 games to match that total. With a bum shoulder and extra attention thrown his way since Jordy Nelson’s been out, I’m betting the under here.
- Datone Jones record o/u 3 ½ sacks in the last 10 games. Jones’ career high for sacks was 3 ½ in his rookie season. He has one this season, so recording more than 3 ½ would get him his career high. I say he goes over and plays a key role on this team down the stretch.
- A total of o/u 2 ½ starters will suffer significant injuries the rest of the season. This might be the most important over/under of them all. By significant injury, I’m saying missing three games or more. I’m going to guess the under just because the football gods can’t hate the Packers that much, can they?
- Bonus over/under: I will have to pay o/u $250 per ticket to attend the Thanksgiving night game against the Bears. The wife and I are heading to Lambeau on Thanksgiving to honor Favre and watch the Packers maul the Bears. I'm hoping secondary market ticket prices come down, because right now they are ridiculously high. As I type this, the lowest price seat, before fees, runs $271 a pop. I'm a cheap SOB and will do whatever it takes to save a few bucks. But am I fighting a losing battle in this case? Will I just have to pony up a mortgage payment to go to this game and apologize to my financial advisor later?
Comments (18)
Since'61
October 25, 2015 at 08:55 am
I'm taking the over on the Packers wins.
Under on Lacy's carries because Starks is playing well and he will get more carries than he did last season.
Under on Cobb.
Over on D. Jones.
Under on injuries to starters.
Over on Thanksgiving tickets, as it becomes a media circus.
Go Pack Go! Thanks, Since '61
4thand1
October 25, 2015 at 09:45 am
I really don't care about the over/under on anything. As long as this team is playing its best football in December. Its not right now and we're 6-0. The Packers seem to figure things out by the end of the season, so my over would be firing on all cylinders.
Tundraboy
October 25, 2015 at 11:27 am
Yes I will go with that.
AZPack
October 25, 2015 at 11:42 am
Agreed. It only matters, as long as you make the playoffs, how you're playing at the end of the season. Plenty of time left for the Packers to get the offense figured out and performing efficiently.
Over/Under as in betting, or for this article means nothing to me. Just want the Packers peaking in Dec/Jan.
4thand1
October 25, 2015 at 08:47 pm
I see some certain assclown quit posting, but not disliking. What a tool.
AZPack
October 25, 2015 at 09:37 pm
+1
NickPerry
October 26, 2015 at 05:09 am
+2
Otto
October 26, 2015 at 01:05 pm
Was it me?
PortlandMark
October 25, 2015 at 11:04 am
Easily take the over on the Thanksgiving Day tickets. My family and I (a total of 6 people, sitting together) shelled $340 per ticket to sit in the 3rd row of the south end zone for the Charger game. Since I live far away and I'm not likely to go again, it was worth it.
NickPerry
October 25, 2015 at 11:45 am
Tell you one thing I'm wondering after watching Allen Robinson today, last year, and what he done this season.... Why the hell did Ted T take Adams over Robinson? Time will tell but this Robinson kid is going to be great, and that's with Blake Bortles throwing him the ball. Common Adams, this team needs you.
How about over or under 50 catches and 6 TD's for Adams this season.
AZPack
October 25, 2015 at 12:17 pm
I've never quite understood the Adams pick either. But I don't like to criticize Thompson and his scouts. I'm sure they had a consensus for the top WR prospects in the draft. But there were a couple that I would have taken ahead of Adams. Allen Robinson is one and Donte Moncrief is another. My guess is it might comes down to scheme fit somehow, but I agree Robinison and my guy Moncrief from that draft seem like better players at the same position. Both have the ability to be #1 WR for their teams, while I see Adams as a really good complimentary WR, not a legit #1.
Oppy
October 25, 2015 at 12:12 pm
Despite what the ticket brokers charge, you can almost always cop tickets near face value to a regular season game at Lambeau if you search far and wide in Packers forums or have friends who live in the WI area (someone always knows someone who has season tickets they are willing to part with to Packers fans), and when that fails, taking cold hard cash into the parking lot an hour before kick off usually yields results.
That being said... We're talking about what amounts to a historic night in Lambeau, in a prime time Turkey day game vs. the Bears. Not only is it Favre's jersey retirement, but it's also the game that symbolizes the changing of the guard in the NFL's more storied rivalry... The Packers are evening the all-time record with the Bears.
My advice: Take the tickets for $270 each and simply forget about ever looking at ticket prices again. It'll be worth it, lifetime memory of a once-in-a-lifetime, unique event.
Don't eff up your chance to see history because you want to save between $40-$200 bucks. You can always work overtime. You will NEVER again get an opportunity to witness Favre's circle of honor induction.
John Galt III
October 25, 2015 at 01:46 pm
Fool me once department:
My wife bought me a present at Christmas some years back - the retirement game for Brett Favre. Turned out to be Aaron Rodgers first start and we won against the Vikings, but ol' Brett was a Jet that evening.
I'll watch this one from home just in case an NFL team loses its starting QB in the next few weeks and signs No 4 as a back up.
adamczech
October 26, 2015 at 07:39 am
I've had excellent luck in recent seasons scoring tix at face value from friends of friends or other connections. But for this Thanksgiving game, everyone is either a) holding on to their tix no matter what or b) trying to sell them at absolutely ridiculous prices. I've got one guy offering me two seats in the 52nd row for $475 apiece and he thinks he's giving me a deal.
I remind these folks that if they were offering me such a deal, why has nobody purchased their seats yet? But that doesn't seem to phase them. People genuinely think they can fund their retirements off this game.
I'm convinced that many of these people will be left holding their tix come the Monday before Thanksgiving and we'll see prices come down on the broker sites once they panic.
Cheap Ass Adam will prevail!
AZPack
October 26, 2015 at 12:05 pm
Those folks know that the closer the game gets, as in days instead of weeks, the demand for those tix will skyrocket. So unless they get exactly what they want now, they have no need to be worried. In another week or 2 they might easily be able to get more.
adamczech
October 27, 2015 at 07:59 am
Typically in the days and hours before the game, prices go down as people get skittish and don't want to be stuck holding their tickets. For example, some friends of mine got into the 07 NFC title game for less than face value because they didn't panic buy early in the week and waited until a few hours before kickoff.
FITZCORE1252
October 26, 2015 at 08:05 pm
Dude, we paid $600 a ticket for the week2 hawk game. Primetime games ain't cheap for a good seat and a 'guaranteed' ticket. I'm sure we could've scalped them cheaper, but we didn't want to risk it with the travel involved and all.
Suck it up and pay the man his money.
EdsLaces
October 26, 2015 at 06:45 am
If the tickets are 270 a piece a mortgage payment would only get me a ticket and a half ....lucky me?