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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Giants

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Against the Spread: Packers vs. Giants

Throughout the course of the season we're highlighting the betting lines for every Packers game, both against the spread and the over/under. I'm going to make the case for each possibility, then choose one of each, and track my winnings (or losings) for every game. Here goes...

(For what it's worth, I'm using Danny Sheridan's lines.)

Line: Packers -7 1/2

  • Bet the Packers: Yes, the Packers only won by three points in their first meeting with the Giants earlier this season. But that was in New York. This one is in Green Bay with a lot more at stake. Plus, fans don't have to go that far back to remember when the Packers beat the Giants 45-17 in Week 16 of the 2010 season. The playmakers from both teams aren't a lot different now compared to then.
  • Bet the Giants: The Giants are on a roll. Their defensive line is obviously one of the best in the NFL. They're talented, deep and healthy. Getting a pass rush without having to blitz will only help them put more defenders in coverage against an effective Aaron Rodgers. And since getting Ahmad Bradshaw back from injury, their running game has been much more effective when he and Brandon Jacobs can share the load. Eli Manning is Eli Manning. He's not Rodgers or Drew Brees or Tom Brady, but he knows how to win.

Final decision: Bet the Giants. I'm not saying they're going to win straight up, but this team can come within a touchdown of the Packers.

Last week: I picked the Packers at +3 against the Lions in the regular season finale and covered.

Over/under: 52 1/2

  • Bet the over: Aaron Rodgers is going to do what he's done all season long, direct the Packers to several scoring drives. And the Packers defense is going to do what they've done all season long as well. They're going to give up some yards and give up some points to the opposition. The Giants have enough talent at the skill position to move the ball.
  • Bet the under: It's the playoffs. Push will come to shove. The Giants defense, led by their front seven will force some three-and-outs and some punts. And the Packers defense will do what they do best, get some turnovers. Several opportunities to score will be squandered by both sides.

Final decision: Bet the under. The final score isn't going to be 10-7 by any means, but the defenses on both sides will do enough to keep this game from being a scoring bonanza.

Prediction: Packers 28, Giants 24. The Packers will win, but the Giants are good enough to keep this too close for comfort. It would not surprise me in the least if the Packers needed a come-from-behind victory.

Last week: I picked the over 45, and covered as the Packers and the Lions ended up in a shoot out.

Cumulative record vs. the line: 16-16

Cumulative record straight up: 13-3

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Fan friendly comments only: off Comments (16) This filter will hide comments which have ratio of 5 to 1 down-vote to up-vote.

FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

" It would not surprise me in the least if the Packers needed a come-from-behind victory."

Not mad at you Brian, just disappointed... That's all.

Green Bay Football Packers - 45
new jersey football giants - 17 (that's right, we all know where you play you bunch of snookies!) Aaaahaha


Brian Carriveau's picture

LOL. It's not enough that I pick the Packers to win. If I even suggest they fall behind, I'm a disappointment.

Bob's picture

It's the price you pay for being a celebrity.

FITZCORE1252's picture

Yes, yes you are!

PackersRS's picture

I'm pretty confident on this team, and I also think it's not gonna be as close as people think, but 45 to 17 ain't happening.

FITZCORE1252's picture

Call it then RS. I put something on 'film' 8-) even though I might not fully believe it's gonna be that ugly, it's on 'film' for the whole world to see, and dammit, I'm rollin' with it... what's your score?

Ruppert's picture

I'll happily risk looking like an idiot if the Packers lose.

It will take pretty big collapse for the Packers not to score 40, IMO. Look at the scores in all our home games this year. For cripes sake, WE'RE HEALTHY.

Everybody talks about how this matchup is a nightmare for the Pack? That's ridiculous. This matchup is a HUGE nightmare for the Gnats. On the road, on a slower track, against a QB who not only has the mobility to run away from rushers, but has the quick release to unload the ball before the rush arrives? That's the Gnats' worst nightmare. We could give up 4 sacks and still score 40.

This is the week where all the national media types hype the Giants all week, then they all pick the Pack by a TD when it's time to commit.


FITZCORE1252's EVO's picture

That's just it Rupp, we're the best team in the league, at home, rested, peeved at all the bums writing us off...and we're HEALTHY. Just not a good mix for the giants.

I actually think I went too conservative. I'm officially changing my score from 45-17 to 55-13. Maybe still too conservative, but I don't want to come off as bias! 8-)

PackersRS's picture

42 - 21 ;)

Bob's picture

How about a guess the first offensive play article. I'll take a "play action fake, rollout right, fake the deep ball to Nelson, throw back left, screen pass to Starks/Grant for 75 and touchdown.

Mark's picture

Hey Brian, I enjoyed the show last night, on CheeseheadTV first time, I think the defense will also be the key, Packers D needs to jam at the line more, Dom needs to show something new! hoping! he is saving the best for the playoffs. The time of possession is what worries me. The Long ball is great, but not good for our D. My Prediction is still, 34-20 Packers, with a couple Picks the difference.'s picture

Nelson and Driver must continue to step up….

Again, I am pleasantly surprised as I received two Jordy Nelson cards and two Donald Driver cards back in the mail complete with signatures on the same day. Nelson an all-American country boy from Kansas and Driver a former car thief from Houston turned Packers receiving leader need to have stellar performances this weekend. As the Packers have dominated all year, I have a bit of an uneasy feeling about this weekend. Eli Manning and the Giants are coming into Lambeau field red hot and ready to revenge their 38-35 loss in week 13. The Giants defense is athletic, scary, and physical as Jason Pierre Paul and Justin Tuck both control the outside. Last meeting between them Rodgers threw for 369 yards, 4 TD’s and 1 INT and I am expecting a similar result this go around, however I do predict a better ground attack from the Packers. In the first meeting this season, Rodgers led the team in rushing with 32 yards. This time around, Grant and Starks must make the most of their touches in order to keep the Giants defense honest and take some pressure off of Rodgers.

If the Packers can establish a respectable running attack early, mix in some play action, the Giants secondary won’t be able to hold up the entirety of the game. At some point Jennings, Finley, Driver, Nelson or Jones will break down the coverage and go to the house. The Packers offensive line is a huge X-factor as the unit has been banged up the past few weeks. Extra time to prepare should be huge.

Bottom line: If someone is going to take down the Packers, the Giants are poised to do so. The Giants are comfortable in cold weather, have a formidable running attack and are led by quarterback that has been to the promise land before and won. Although anything is possible, the Packers did not go (15-1) because they are lucky. Their record shows they are a team with determination, high-octane offensive fire -power, and an opportunistic defense that refuses to give up excessive points. With plenty of time to prepare, Rodgers and the rest of the squad will come out on fire and take down the G-men, stopping Brandon Jacobs and forcing Eli Manning to press early. It should be a long day for Eli and to be honest I really hope it is.


Green Bay- 30
New York- 21

Tommyboy's picture

I said after the Packers played the Giants that I hoped we wouldn't run into them in the playoffs. So, I certainly can't say this game doesn't make me nervous. That said, I think I've heard 90% of national media guys say "I know everyone thinks the Packers will run away with this one, but I think the Giants will take it." It's driving me nuts. Then, I hear "The Giants are the hot team right now." Really? REALLY?!?!?!?!?!?!?! 21 of 22. Yeah, that blip in KC was a total derailment. Those tempid Pack.

TundraBoy's picture

Hmmm I think the spread going down probably because the giants are so HOT and we should be scared means the final margin will only go up Players must be foamimg at the mouthI( I know I am) for payback after this past week of constant anointing of the white hot on a roll giants. Beat down is called for


Honest John's picture

Packers by 10. I think we're going to see the Packers take it up a notch. Expect a tough game, but the extra rest will make a difference for GB.

Doug In Sandpoint's picture

I'll jump in and say the Pack will win rather handily...31-17. And it won't seem even that close. Flynn may see some action when mopping up in the 4th. Check out this great article on Tramon too:

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"A school without football is in danger of deteriorating into a medieval study hall. "
"The Bears still suck!"
"I firmly believe that any man’s finest hour, the greatest fulfillment of all that he holds dear, is that moment when he has worked his heart out in a good cause and lies exhausted on the field of battle – victorious."